In hindsight, which congressmen do you think were DOA?

[Tekken_Guy]

When we talk about DOA congressmen this cycle, we usually say Doug Jones, Cory Gardner, and Collin Peterson once Fischbach entered the race. Are there any other congressmen, who in hindsight, had no pathway to re-election?

[NewYorkExpress]

Petersen was DOA no matter who the Republicans nominated.

Same with Doug Jones.

[Roll Roons]

Kendra Horn, Xochitl Torres Small and Max Rose.

[S019]

Collin Peterson (he was even without hindsight)


Debbie Mucarsel Powell (given MD swing), Xochitl Torres Small (given Trump won the seat by double digits again)

[Frenchrepublican]

Horn, Xochitl Torres, Rose, Finkenauer, Shalala

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Shalala

Huh? Considering Biden won the seat, Shalala is very much the definition of a non-DOA candidate who somehow screwed up.

[Frenchrepublican]

Shalala

Huh? Considering Biden won the seat, Shalala is very much the definition of a non-DOA candidate who somehow screwed up.

She was going to underperform Biden, that's not even a question, but had Biden won the district by 10 she would have survived, so if I knew that Biden would barely win this district then I would have considered Shalala as the underdog.

[JMT]

Martha McSally. While she was likely to lose for most of the campaign, I don't feel as though it was a given she would lose when she first got appointed. National Republicans had wanted Doug Ducey to appoint McSally in hopes that incumbency would get her over the finish line.

In hindsight, I do think she was DOA from the start for a few reasons, though. She's a weak candidate (even though she has a strong resume on paper) and she had an excellent opponent (I think Mark Kelly was Democrat's best recruit of the cycle). Also, I think she was DOA given how well other Republicans did down ballot. If you had told me that Biden would only win Arizona by about 0.3%, and that Republicans gained seats in the House and held the Senate, I would've thought McSally had a chance. The fact that she still lost shows she was a weak candidate who was always DOA.

[VAR]

-Collin Peterson
-Xochitl Torres Small
-Debbie Mucarsel-Powell
-Donna Shalala
-Abby Finkenauer
-Kendra 'Edmondson coattails' Horn
-Possibly Max Rose
-Hot take: Harley Rouda

I think CA-39 is the only race Democrats truly f**ked up. It seems like Kim overperformed Trump by 10% in Orange County and ~15% (!!) in LA County.

[It’s so Joever]

Only Torres and Peterson.
All the others could have been saved if things happened differently this year.

[Pollster]

Yeah, I fail to see how somebody is DOA if they are just short of 50%, lost by low single digits, and would have won if their party uniformly did just the slightest bit better.

Peterson was always the underdog at best, so I’d say the best fit for this question is XTS.

[MarkD]

Joe Cunningham's win in 2018 in SC-01 seemed to me like a fluke, and I assumed he was DOA for the 2020 election. I'm surprised this year's race turned out as close as it did.