Kelly Loeffler's 2022 opponent

[VAR]

If she wins next year, obviously.

This isn't discussed nearly enough. Who would it be?

[Mike Thick]

Bordeaux is likely getting drawn out, so I imagine she has dibs? Who knows though

[JMT]

Bordeaux is likely getting drawn out, so I imagine she has dibs? Who knows though

That’s what I’m thinking, too

[S019]

Bordeaux is likely getting drawn out, so I imagine she has dibs? Who knows though

That’s what I’m thinking, too

I think McBath is the likelier one to be drawn out, Gwinnett is more of a problem than Cobb is, so they'd opt to crack Cobb over cracking Gwinnett

[VAR]

Bourdeaux strikes me as a meh statewide candidate, but then again, we're talking about Georgia here. #candidatequality doesn't matter much in that state. Besides, Stacey Abrams will be at the top of the ticket, and Loeffler's not a strong incumbent really (though I think she'll become overrated if/when she wins).

[WD]

Probably someone like McBath or Bordeaux? And I could see KLB potentially going for it. But either way this is an irreverent question, since Weak Candidate Kelly Loeffler will lose by double digits (even as Perdue is easily re-elected). As we all know, there is nothing Georgians value more than Candidate Quality™. Once Democrats start running ads across the state reminding voters of how electorally ineffectual Loeffler is, the people of Georgia will turn out in droves to split their tickets for Strong and electable candidates like David Perdue and Raphael Warnock.

County maps:

Ossoff (D) vs Perdue (R):



(Perdue is cracking 85% in all of the suburban counties, Ossoff’s performance in the rurals is because of #populist  Dixiecrats)

Warnock (D) vs Loeffler (R):



County comparisons:

Gwinnett

GA-Regular:

Gwinnett County: Perdue 89.37% - 10.63% Ossoff

GA-Special:

Gwinnett County: Warnock 64.28% - 35.72% Loeffler

[VAR]

^ lol

[S019]

Bourdeaux strikes me as a meh statewide candidate, but then again, we're talking about Georgia here. #candidatequality doesn't matter much in that state. Besides, Stacey Abrams will be on the top of the ticket, and Loeffler's not a strong incumbent really (though I think she'll become overrated if/when she wins).

Yeah candidate quality is basically irrelevant in GA due to the extremely polarized nature of the state (which also makes national environment irrelevant), Governor, Lt. Gov, AG, SoS, and Senate should all track very closely

[Frenchrepublican]

Bourdeaux as her district could be nuked, McBath could run too if the Warnock comes close.

[MargieCat]

Bourdeaux strikes me as a meh statewide candidate, but then again, we're talking about Georgia here. #candidatequality doesn't matter much in that state. Besides, Stacey Abrams will be on the top of the ticket, and Loeffler's not a strong incumbent really (though I think she'll become overrated if/when she wins).

While I don't typically recommend following in the footsteps of John James and Martha McSally, I think Warnock could go for a rematch in 2022 if he loses this time to Loeffler for that same reason (provided he loses by a skinny margin).

Having Abrams at the top of the ticket is going to help whichever democrat runs in the senate in 2022.

[here2view]

I could see Bourdeaux/McBath running in 2022, losing, and then running in 2024 for the other seat and winning.

Jeanne Shaheen had a somewhat similar path when she lost the 2002 NH Senate election before winning a rematch in 2008.

[Sir Mohamed]

If the runoff ends up very close, I would bet on Raphael Warnock seeking a rematch.

[progressive85]

What about Michelle Nunn or Jason Carter?

[Sir Mohamed]

What about Michelle Nunn or Jason Carter?

They're so 2014. Next.

[MargieCat]

Another option is Sally Yates, if Biden doesn't give her the AG or cabinet position.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Probably someone like McBath or Bordeaux? And I could see KLB potentially going for it. But either way this is an irreverent question, since Weak Candidate Kelly Loeffler will lose by double digits (even as Perdue is easily re-elected). As we all know, there is nothing Georgians value more than Candidate Quality™. Once Democrats start running ads across the state reminding voters of how electorally ineffectual Loeffler is, the people of Georgia will turn out in droves to split their tickets for Strong and electable candidates like David Perdue and Raphael Warnock.

County maps:

Ossoff (D) vs Perdue (R):



(Perdue is cracking 85% in all of the suburban counties, Ossoff’s performance in the rurals is because of #populist  Dixiecrats)

Warnock (D) vs Loeffler (R):



County comparisons:

Gwinnett

GA-Regular:

Gwinnett County: Perdue 89.37% - 10.63% Ossoff

GA-Special:

Gwinnett County: Warnock 64.28% - 35.72% Loeffler

Thanks for this! Made my day!

[South Dakota Democrat]

I could see Bourdeaux/McBath running in 2022, losing, and then running in 2024 for the other seat and winning.

Jeanne Shaheen had a somewhat similar path when she lost the 2002 NH Senate election before winning a rematch in 2008.

GA doesn't have a seat up in 2024.

[MT Treasurer]

Thanks for this! Made my day!

I’ll have to watch 1980 election night coverage from FOX 5 Atlanta to know when Perdue will take the lead next year.

[WD]

Thanks for this! Made my day!

I’ll have to watch 1980 election night coverage from FOX 5 Atlanta to know when Perdue will take the lead next year.

How likely do you think it’ll take for GA-S to be called? If my full county sweep prediction pans out, probably right at poll closing. In fact they’ll probably make a call for Warnock based off Exit Polls alone imo imo

[MT Treasurer]

Thanks for this! Made my day!

I’ll have to watch 1980 election night coverage from FOX 5 Atlanta to know when Perdue will take the lead next year.

How likely do you think it’ll take for GA-S to be called? If my full county sweep prediction pans out, probably right at poll closing. In fact they’ll probably make a call for Warnock based off Exit Polls alone imo imo

They’ll have a good idea based on the exits but probably when the first precincts in Long County report and it’s clear Ossoff/Loeffler are underperforming even in their base areas:

1% in (statewide)

✓ Perdue, David (R, inc.) - 857 - 48.83%
Ossoff, Jonathan (D) - 898 - 51.17%

Loeffler, Kelly (R, inc.) - 946 - 53.90%
✓ Warnock, Raphael (D) - 809 - 46.10%

[Rookie Yinzer]

McBath or Warnock.

[jingletoes]

How about Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms? I don't think she will run, but if she does she will definitely be the frontrunner.

[Rookie Yinzer]

How about Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms? I don't think she will run, but if she does she will definitely be the frontrunner.

I feel like she'll be in Biden's cabinet and she won't leave to run. I don't get the attitude that she would be up for a hard scrabble fight like trying to win statewide especially in a Dem midterm (even though GA isn't fazed by the national mood)

[MargieCat]

Maybe Andrew Yang would run against Loeffler in 2022. He just moved to Georgia.

[sofaboi]

Maybe Andrew Yang would run against Loeffler in 2022. He just moved to Georgia.

Really? Well, RIP my dreams of NYC Mayor Yang.