Morning Consult/Politico: Trump +40% pre-rounding

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/11/24/poll-republicans-support-trump-2024-439757

Trump 53%
Pence 12%
Trump Jr. 8%
Would not vote 5%
Cruz 4%
Haley 4%
Romney 4%
Someone else 3%
Rubio 2%
Noem 1%
Tim Scott 1%
Cotton 1%
Hawley 1%
Rick Scott 1%
Hogan 0% (but some voters)
Baker 0% (but some voters)

[tjstarling]

Give Jr.’s 8% to Trump as well. Why are pollsters including both Trump’s in the same horse race question? Another poll included three Trumps (Ivanka also) in one poll.

[Mr. Morden]

fav/unfav % among all voters:
Biden 57/41% for +16%
Harris 51/41% for +10%
Tim Scott 18/15% for +3%
Haley 25/23% for +2%
Noem 15/14% for +1%
Hogan 15/14% for +1%
Hawley 13/13% for +/-0
Cotton 17/18% for -1%
Pence 44/47% for -3%
Rubio 29/32% for -3%
Rick Scott 19/22% for -3%
Romney 36/40% for -4%
Cruz 33/38% for -5%
Trump 43/55% for -12%

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

fav/unfav % among all voters:
Biden 57/41% for +16%
Harris 51/41% for +10%

Love it.

[Never Made it to Graceland]

fav/unfav % among all voters:
Biden 57/41% for +16%
Harris 51/41% for +10%

Love it.

Not a great number for Kamala to be starting off with.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

fav/unfav % among all voters:
Biden 57/41% for +16%
Harris 51/41% for +10%

Love it.

Not a great number for Kamala to be starting off with.

Huh?

She's +10... and her having a lower net favorable than Biden is because of more people not knowing enough about her to form an opinion, as evident by their shared unfavorable rating.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Crosstabs are out if you want to read into the favourability numbers w.r.t. primaries: https://assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2020/11/24075325/2011112_crosstabs_POLITICO_RVs_v2.pdf

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Rubio 2%

Poor Little Marco   

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Rubio 2%

Poor Little Marco   

gotta grab a glass of water!
Some say Russian Bear doesn't know what he's doing. Russian Bear knows exactly what he's doing.

[Eraserhead]

I'd love to know what these people picking Trump Jr. over Trump the elder are like.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

I'd love to know what these people picking Trump Jr. over Trump the elder are like.

Presumably, people assuming he won't run.

[Canis]

Pollsters should reallu ask the question twice once with Trump in the field one where he doesn't run If Trump runs in 2024 he will certainly be the GOP nominee no one in the party can stop him. Their are two factors that could prevent him from running though if the Biden administration decides to attempt to prosecute him for any of the hundreds of laws he broke as president he's going to be way more concerned with his legal defense New York state just launched a probe into his finances again and this time since he's leaving office he really won't have the same amount of safeguards he had as president. Also if he figures he will make more money creating his own tv channel he'll do that too at this point it looks pretty 50/50 as to whether he'll run or not. Theirs a lot of people in the GOP like Haley Pence Cruz and his son probably very pissed at him for flirting with running again they want to run and know if Trump runs it will kill their chances at the nomination.

[Torrain]

Trump 53%

And the nightmare continues!