Looks like the dems won Iowa-2 after all
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  Looks like the dems won Iowa-2 after all
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Author Topic: Looks like the dems won Iowa-2 after all  (Read 1396 times)
Left Wing
FalterinArc
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« Reply #25 on: November 23, 2020, 09:05:34 PM »
« edited: November 23, 2020, 09:22:14 PM by FalterinArc »

tbh ia-02 is likely d if fink runs in 2022. Republicans can’t survive those coattails.


Iowa-Sen (Grassley, INC) - Safe R
Iowa-Sen (Open)- Likely D

Even against Finkenauer, Grassley probably loses by 3-4 imo
We are talking about the Finkenauer that lost, right?
She’s an unbeatable titan imo. The fink is unstoppable tbh.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #26 on: November 23, 2020, 09:16:40 PM »

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Mike Thick
tedbessell
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« Reply #27 on: November 23, 2020, 09:29:08 PM »

It ain't complicated, folks

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WD
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« Reply #28 on: November 23, 2020, 09:38:17 PM »

tbh ia-02 is likely d if fink runs in 2022. Republicans can’t survive those coattails.


Iowa-Sen (Grassley, INC) - Safe R
Iowa-Sen (Open)- Likely D

Even against Finkenauer, Grassley probably loses by 3-4 imo
We are talking about the Finkenauer that lost, right?
She’s an unbeatable titan imo. The fink is unstoppable tbh.

She’ll probably sweep all counties and win by more than Harkin did in 2008 imo imo
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #29 on: November 23, 2020, 11:06:10 PM »


Iowa has some weird rules about the width-to-height ratio of districts. I don't think that map would be allowed.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #30 on: November 24, 2020, 02:01:53 AM »

I thought she was down by 36 votes? Either way, I wouldn’t conclude that she’s certain to gain more from the recount.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #31 on: November 24, 2020, 02:31:28 AM »


That would be quite interesting due to the SCOTUS implications for OMOV, although I think SCOTUS would be fine with that easily with 2018 estimates atleast for OMOV. However by 2020 it would have a decent bit of deviation.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #32 on: November 24, 2020, 06:32:44 AM »



take my populist energy mommy rita
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Figueira
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« Reply #33 on: November 24, 2020, 08:15:42 AM »

A 4-0 map sounds like a potential dummymander unless you think it's absolutely guaranteed that Iowa will trend further to the right. I suspect they'll go with something like 3-1, with the D sink being not that heavily D, so there's still a chance it could vote R if 2016 trends continue.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #34 on: November 24, 2020, 08:20:47 AM »

I have visited Iowa, the voters like Kim Reynolds, Grassley and Ernst bit it won't shutout D's through out the state. D's will control even in a gerrymandering, at least 1 Congressial district
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