Seven Letter Insights: 66% of GOP voters support Trump running for president in 2024

[Pollster]

Sixty-six percent of Republican voters support President Trump running for president again in 2024, according to a new survey.

The poll from Seven Letter Insight asked what voters would support or oppose Trump doing after the 2020 election wraps up. While two-thirds of Republican respondents said they would support another presidential bid in 2024, 41 percent of independent voters and 26 percent of Democrats said the same.

The survey Seven Letter Insight's first-ever nationwide voter priorities poll and included 1,500 respondents fielded from Nov. 10 – 19.

Link, and more details

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

It’s actually 71% who want him to run again in 2024 (according to the poll’s release). I presume some supporters of him running again weren’t among the 66% who would approve of him doing that after 2020 wraps up as they’d prefer him to focus contesting the election.

Democrats break in favour of Biden serving a second term, 74-28.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Update: I don’t know why this pollster isn’t publishing full crosstabs in their release, but they have released the correct figure to their Twitter. The 66%/71% shares are for those who would support him running; when it comes to actually giving their first primary choice, the larger pool of Republicans and independents indicate they’d vote this way in a 2024 primary:

https://mobile.twitter.com/BrendanBuck/status/1330908849562394625

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Obviously all polls should be treated with caution but another interesting finding is AOC having a lower net favourability than Warren and Sanders (29% v.s. 49% and 51% respectively) among Democrats. I am increasingly skeptical of her ability to hold most of one of their coalitions together, let alone both.

[Sir Mohamed]

The GOP is an orange cult. News at 11.

[Mr. Morden]

Update: I don’t know why this pollster isn’t publishing full crosstabs in their release, but they have released the correct figure to their Twitter. The 66%/71% shares are for those who would support him running; when it comes to actually giving their first primary choice, the larger pool of Republicans and independents indicate they’d vote this way in a 2024 primary:

https://mobile.twitter.com/BrendanBuck/status/1330908849562394625

So, among Republicans, it’s:

Trump 35%
Pence 19%
Trump Jr. 11%
Haley 7%
Cruz 6%
Rubio 4%
Ivanka Trump 2%
Tim Scott 2%
Carlson 2%
Sasse 1%
Cotton 1%
Hawley 1%

[Mr. Morden]

fav/unfav % among Democrats:
Biden 87/11% for +76%
Harris 85/12% for +73%
Sanders 72/22% for +50%
Warren 68/19% for +49%
Cuomo 68/19% for +49%
Ocasio-Cortez 56/26% for +30%

fav/unfav % among Republicans:
Pence 86/12% for +74%
Trump 78/20% for +58%
Cruz 68/20% for +48%
Rubo 61/24% for +37%
Cotton 36/16% for +20%
Sasse 23/20% for +3%

[Eraserhead]

Trump is going to win the primary easily if he runs again (and I suspect he will).

[kwabbit]

Trump only has 35%, but anyone who's supporting Don Jr. or Ivanka have their second choice as Trump. People named Trump have 48% and his VP has 19%. I doubt him and Pence would run concurrently. Bottom line, if Trump runs, he'll be so insurmountably ahead as to discourage anyone serious from running against him.

[VBM]

Trump only has 35%, but anyone who's supporting Don Jr. or Ivanka have their second choice as Trump. People named Trump have 48% and his VP has 19%. I doubt him and Pence would run concurrently. Bottom line, if Trump runs, he'll be so insurmountably ahead as to discourage anyone serious from running against him.

If someone accuses him of being an incompetent loser because of what happened in 2020, maybe they could win over some of Trump’s toxic masculine base who care too much about being “alpha”, and they think that you’re not alpha if you lose

[kwabbit]

Trump only has 35%, but anyone who's supporting Don Jr. or Ivanka have their second choice as Trump. People named Trump have 48% and his VP has 19%. I doubt him and Pence would run concurrently. Bottom line, if Trump runs, he'll be so insurmountably ahead as to discourage anyone serious from running against him.

If someone accuses him of being an incompetent loser because of what happened in 2020, maybe they could win over some of Trump’s toxic masculine base who care too much about being “alpha”, and they think that you’re not alpha if you lose

That could work, but the majority of die-hard Trump supporters believe he won the recent election. And he still is the only Republican to win the presidency recently.

[VBM]

Trump only has 35%, but anyone who's supporting Don Jr. or Ivanka have their second choice as Trump. People named Trump have 48% and his VP has 19%. I doubt him and Pence would run concurrently. Bottom line, if Trump runs, he'll be so insurmountably ahead as to discourage anyone serious from running against him.

If someone accuses him of being an incompetent loser because of what happened in 2020, maybe they could win over some of Trump’s toxic masculine base who care too much about being “alpha”, and they think that you’re not alpha if you lose

That could work, but the majority of die-hard Trump supporters believe he won the recent election. And he still is the only Republican to win the presidency recently.

If you lie, but sound really confident in what you’re saying, then the average GOP voter will likely believe you. Anyone who wants to become the GOP nominee just needs to boldly and confidently tear Trump a new one.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Trump only has 35%, but anyone who's supporting Don Jr. or Ivanka have their second choice as Trump. People named Trump have 48% and his VP has 19%. I doubt him and Pence would run concurrently. Bottom line, if Trump runs, he'll be so insurmountably ahead as to discourage anyone serious from running against him.

If someone accuses him of being an incompetent loser because of what happened in 2020, maybe they could win over some of Trump’s toxic masculine base who care too much about being “alpha”, and they think that you’re not alpha if you lose

That could work, but the majority of die-hard Trump supporters believe he won the recent election. And he still is the only Republican to win the presidency recently.

If you lie, but sound really confident in what you’re saying, then the average GOP voter will likely believe you. Anyone who wants to become the GOP nominee just needs to boldly and confidently tear Trump a new one.

Is there really a Republican nominee that can out macho Donald Trump?

[Mr. Morden]

Trump only has 35%, but anyone who's supporting Don Jr. or Ivanka have their second choice as Trump. People named Trump have 48% and his VP has 19%. I doubt him and Pence would run concurrently. Bottom line, if Trump runs, he'll be so insurmountably ahead as to discourage anyone serious from running against him.

If someone accuses him of being an incompetent loser because of what happened in 2020, maybe they could win over some of Trump’s toxic masculine base who care too much about being “alpha”, and they think that you’re not alpha if you lose

That could work, but the majority of die-hard Trump supporters believe he won the recent election. And he still is the only Republican to win the presidency recently.

If you lie, but sound really confident in what you’re saying, then the average GOP voter will likely believe you. Anyone who wants to become the GOP nominee just needs to boldly and confidently tear Trump a new one.

Is there really a Republican nominee that can out macho Donald Trump?

Why not?  Trump's lack of masculinity has in fact gotten a bit of press coverage over the years:

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/05/donald-trump-the-most-unmanly-president/612031/

https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/10/trump-feminine-speaking-style-214391