Hilariously wrong predictions

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I say RealClearPolitics gets the award for terrible predictions. From Monday November 6th, 2000:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://web.archive.org/web/20001216085300/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Polls/polls-Electoral_11_06_EC.html

RealClearPolitics = total joke.

[J. J.]

I say RealClearPolitics gets the award for terrible predictions. From Monday November 6th, 2000:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://web.archive.org/web/20001216085300/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Polls/polls-Electoral_11_06_EC.html

RealClearPolitics = total joke.

First, you link doesn't work.  Second, the premise that a 2-3% win in the popular vote translates into a 397 EV total is usually correct.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I say RealClearPolitics gets the award for terrible predictions. From Monday November 6th, 2000:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://web.archive.org/web/20001216085300/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Polls/polls-Electoral_11_06_EC.html

RealClearPolitics = total joke.

First, you link doesn't work.  Second, the premise that a 2-3% win in the popular vote translates into a 397 EV total is usually correct.

They were predicting Bush winning by 9.3 points instead of Gore winning by 0.5 points. As for the link, yes, sometimes it doesn't work, but if you hit reload a few times, it should load.

[J. J.]

I say RealClearPolitics gets the award for terrible predictions. From Monday November 6th, 2000:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://web.archive.org/web/20001216085300/http://www.realclearpolitics.com/Polls/polls-Electoral_11_06_EC.html

RealClearPolitics = total joke.

First, you link doesn't work.  Second, the premise that a 2-3% win in the popular vote translates into a 397 EV total is usually correct.

They were predicting Bush winning by 9.3 points instead of Gore winning by 0.5 points. As for the link, yes, sometimes it doesn't work, but if you hit reload a few times, it should load.

Okay, I got the link.

No, that was way off, but a small popular vote win, 2% for example, probably will translate into a 297 (not 397) EV total.

[adam]

Not as wrong as my prediction was...

[Nym90]

Not as wrong as my prediction was...

That looks to me to have been a very reasonable prediction.

For the 1996 election.

[adam]

Not as wrong as my prediction was...

That looks to me to have been a very reasonable prediction.

For the 1996 election.

Haha, yeah it would actually. I just thought Gore would landslide that election. He had Bush killed in experience and speaking ability. Boy was I wrong.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Here's Freepers going wild about this.

http://www.freerepublic.com/forum/a3a0768da11cb.htm

[Alcon]

The best part is that there was only one person of all the comments that actually questioned the validity of RCP's prediction.  I love Free Republic.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

The best part is that there was only one person of all the comments that actually questioned the validity of RCP's prediction.  I love Free Republic.

Hey, now, that's not true. There was this comment:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[George W. Hobbes]

My prediction is 2000 was even worse, I think I said Gore would win TN and Bush would carry CA.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

This was mine.

Gore/Lieberman - 328- 50.2%
Bush/Cheney - 210 - 47.6%

[poughies]

This year they could have easily had it. There poll average said dems=6 seat gain in the senate. Granted some of the margins were small, but they were all right. And what did they do... they got stupid and decided to off base..... RCP=why did u do that.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

My prediction for that election.... was not bad for an 8th grader who had just recently discovered politics, and was rooting big time for Gore : )

It was eithyer that or very close to it

[Reignman]

i didn't have a prediction really, but if had sat down and thought about it I probably would've guessed:

Image Link

3 states wrong.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Here's my prediction BTW.
Didn't bother to predict the smaller swing states
PA for Gore
OH for Bush
Figured that it would probably come down to FL, and decided that Gore was slightly favored based upon tracking polls.

Gore ended up doing slightly better in the smaller swing states than I would have guessed. He almost won without FL.

[Gabu]

i didn't have a prediction really, but if had sat down and thought about it I probably would've guessed:

Image Link

3 states wrong.

There's Florida, but what are the other two?

[Ebowed]

i didn't have a prediction really, but if had sat down and thought about it I probably would've guessed:

Image Link

3 states wrong.

There's Florida, but what are the other two?

New Mexico & New Hampshire

[Gabu]

i didn't have a prediction really, but if had sat down and thought about it I probably would've guessed:

Image Link

3 states wrong.

There's Florida, but what are the other two?

New Mexico & New Hampshire

Oh, right.

I have 2004 embedded in my brain way too much...

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Here's a fun link from 2002 -- MyDD was predicting big Democratic gains, including a Democratic House.  And if you scroll down just long enough...you'll see a prediction from a certain Mr. Moderate!

http://web.archive.org/web/20021113060548/www.mydd.com/archives/000216.html

The most frustratingly wrong prediction was Jerome's decision to keep Torricelli in front of Forrester until, quite literally, the day before Torricelli withdrew from the race because he was back by 20+ in the polls.

RCP has nothing on Jerome Armstrong.

[DownWithTheLeft]

I do not even remember mine from 2000

[adam]

Not as wrong as my prediction was...

Why would Gore do better than Clinton did in 1996? You gave Gore Colorado and Virgnia. These did not even go for Clinton in 1996.

I was 10 or 11 in 2000. I rest my case.

[Dr. Cynic]

Not as wrong as my prediction was...

That looks to me to have been a very reasonable prediction.

For the 1996 election.

Haha, yeah it would actually. I just thought Gore would landslide that election. He had Bush killed in experience and speaking ability. Boy was I wrong.

It happens.

[Beet]

I had no "prediction", besides that Bush was going to win.

Back then the individual states just didn't seem to matter that much, what mattered was the popular vote.

[Eraserhead]

I do not even remember mine from 2000

I doubt you had one considering your age. I didn't even have one.