2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

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/Rouda tweet

Didn't he announce the day after his loss that he was gonna run again?

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Italy stole the election? That’s a new one....

Indeed....

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My Hopium is wearing off with all the Dems jumping ship so early in the cycle.

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Neat overview, but I certainly wouldn't read into it this far out & pre-redistricting

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My Hopium is wearing off with all the Dems jumping ship so early in the cycle.

I was saying it’s hard to be optimistic that Dems will hold the House when so many incumbents are acting as if they believe they won’t.

Except there's just as many Dems that have jumped ship as Republicans so far. And even then, it's a combined 12 incumbents.

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It's easier to not argue schematics and just assume every competitive Senate/Governor race is gonna go to the GOP because B I D E N M I D T E R M

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Tbf, CA Latinos are disproportionately concentrated in greater LA so are prolly more prone to being liberal by default. You also have potentially more conservative ones in the Central Valley but those tend to be lower turnout and even then a lot are concentrated in liberal parts of Fresno and Bakerspider.

Good news for the GOP, there's absolutely no competitive districts in the Greater LA area

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Three millions of dollars being poured into Ohio in a race that Vance was never in any serious risk of losing is stunning.

Apparently the SLF has a different evaluation of the race than you do.

I’m old enough to remember both parties throwing money at states like Iowa and South Carolina in 2020 when many here (correctly) pointed out that both were Safe R the whole time.

The holy trinity

 

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Idk if this is the right thread to make this observation, but does anyone else feel like we really hit a brick wall with the state polling in the last week or so? Like there's been next to nothing coming out, even from the garbage pollsters.

Pollsters are cowards. They don’t want criticism if they get it wrong again so they’re just skipping the race entirely. We’ve gotten a Trump vs. Steven Segal poll in the last two weeks, but not a PA Sen poll.

Given how every single poll anymore is immediately discredited or derided as junk, regardless of the outlet, I don't blame pollsters one bit