2022 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread

[Flyersfan232]

Democrats lost house seats in 2020.

They’re losing a ton in 2022. I will not take anyone who claims that Democrats can keep the house seriously or even give their judgement equal footing of validity as the judgement of someone like myself.

Again, Kevin McCarthy.  KEVIN MCCARTHY.

That's all I really need to say lol.  All these guy scan make complex arguments with like stats and sh**t or whatever but if you have a leader who can't even select people for a committee I really don't know what to tell you.  I just don't.

No hard feelings man.  Just saying.

have u seen pelosi?

[Pollster]

How Quinnipiac maintains its A rating is beyond me..

The 538 pollster ratings are based almost entirely on methodology and not on accuracy/track record.

[KaiserDave]

Paying close attention to generic ballot polls this far out from the midterm seems like a waste.

[Sir Mohamed]

Even if the Quinnipiac poll doesn't have a GOP bias, it's for sure nowhere near we'd like to see it. Dems must get better at messaging: Do they really want to have a party back in power that still embraces an orange buffoon who wanted to overturn American democracy and a party that is filled anti-intellectual, conspiracy loving hacks that have no real policy priorities to help average Americans? A party that has been absolutely ignorant when it comes to upholding basic norms and the rule of law?

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Even if the Quinnipiac poll doesn't have a GOP bias, it's for sure nowhere near we'd like to see it. Dems must get better at messaging: Do they really want to have a party back in power that still embraces an orange buffoon who wanted to overturn American democracy and a party that is filled anti-intellectual, conspiracy loving hacks that have no real policy priorities to help average Americans? A party that has been absolutely ignorant when it comes to upholding basic norms and the rule of law?

I don't think any of these messages actually appeal to the average swing voter. You sound too stuck in the political game and out of touch with issues people care about 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a Neutral Environment in the Senate and D's are gonna win AZ, MA, MD Govs KS, NH are Tossup and Redistricting in H depends on Majority
.a Neutral Environment means 220/215D H, 52/48 S and 26 D Govs

You keep looking for a Generic ballot test, and Biden Approvals are tracking Gallup 50/45 right where he was on Election night.
Cali, orange Suburbs will determine control of the H make up losses along with NY and IL for TX and FL, GA and NC

[Non Swing Voter]

So like R+4? I guess 1/6 helped the Republicans; we're living in Weimar America.

Democrats need to do a better job of playing hardball.  They control congress.  They should use the committee to embarrass the GOP right before the next election when investigating this.  The GOP had no qualms about doing it regarding Benghazi, which was not an issue that deserved national attention like 1/6 does.

[SnowLabrador]

So like R+4? I guess 1/6 helped the Republicans; we're living in Weimar America.

Democrats need to do a better job of playing hardball.  They control congress.  They should use the committee to embarrass the GOP right before the next election when investigating this.  The GOP had no qualms about doing it regarding Benghazi, which was not an issue that deserved national attention like 1/6 does.

My thoughts exactly!

[S019]

https://twitter.com/allymutnick/status/1428410708354641926?s=19

Rudy Salas (maybe?) in, he has been viewed as a top challenger to Valadao for many cycles, and his candidacy would greatly help Democratic chances of taking back the competitive (and elastic) 21st district.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/decunningham2/status/1428404091936518145?s=19

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/decunningham2/status/1428404091936518145?s=19

Yikes. The Dems are in for a bloodbath.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/decunningham2/status/1428404091936518145?s=19

LOL, Biden down -11 in a state he lost by 2. Sure Jan.

[Hope For A New Era]

https://twitter.com/decunningham2/status/1428404091936518145?s=19

LOL, Biden down -11 in a state he lost by 2. Sure Jan.

And simultaneously mask mandates up by 19?

Junk it!

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/decunningham2/status/1428404091936518145?s=19

LOL, Biden down -11 in a state he lost by 2. Sure Jan.

And simultaneously mask mandates up by 19?

Junk it!

Approval of mask mandates in schools is like nearly 70% nationally, so it would not surprise me if +19 was undercounting that as well.

[MT Treasurer]

*SNIP*

LOL, Biden down -11 in a state he lost by 2. Sure Jan.

And simultaneously mask mandates up by 19?

Junk it!

It’s only August 2021 and we’ve already entered that stage? Pretty remarkable.

[Hope For A New Era]

*SNIP*

LOL, Biden down -11 in a state he lost by 2. Sure Jan.

And simultaneously mask mandates up by 19?

Junk it!

It’s only August 2021 and we’ve already entered that stage? Pretty remarkable.

We all know that mask mandates are much more partisan than this. There is not going to be a 30-point gap.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Wbrocks discounting polls never ends well.. lmao

[AncestralDemocrat.]

*SNIP*

LOL, Biden down -11 in a state he lost by 2. Sure Jan.

And simultaneously mask mandates up by 19?

Junk it!

It’s only August 2021 and we’ve already entered that stage? Pretty remarkable.

They haven't learned.. the cycle of junking polls that don't fit your political bias is as tiresome as it gets.

[wbrocks67]

*SNIP*

LOL, Biden down -11 in a state he lost by 2. Sure Jan.

And simultaneously mask mandates up by 19?

Junk it!

It’s only August 2021 and we’ve already entered that stage? Pretty remarkable.

We all know that mask mandates are much more partisan than this. There is not going to be a 30-point gap.

They're not though. Axios/Ipsos just had school mask mandates at 69% national approval this week.

[Pollster]

*SNIP*

LOL, Biden down -11 in a state he lost by 2. Sure Jan.

And simultaneously mask mandates up by 19?

Junk it!

It’s only August 2021 and we’ve already entered that stage? Pretty remarkable.

We all know that mask mandates are much more partisan than this. There is not going to be a 30-point gap.

Never underestimate the Democratic party's ability to be fooled into a fight they've already won.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Wbrooks along with Landslide Lyndon said D's we're gonna win TX in 2020 and KS

The Afghanistan withdrawal knocked Jan Commission off the front burner and now Pat McCrory will be the next Senator, Rs have a veto proof Majority in the state legislature

[Lief 🗽]

The Democratic lead on the generic ballot surged to an incredible ten points in August.

https://twitter.com/EchelonInsights/status/1428808044251598858

[Matty]

Lmao if you believe that

Just lmao

[SnowLabrador]

The Democratic lead on the generic ballot surged to an incredible ten points in August.

https://twitter.com/EchelonInsights/status/1428808044251598858

Seems like an outlier. That said, normally the previous President doesn't insert themselves in the midterms as much.

[Young Conservative]

The Democratic lead on the generic ballot surged to an incredible ten points in August.

https://twitter.com/EchelonInsights/status/1428808044251598858

Seems like an outlier. That said, normally the previous President doesn't insert themselves in the midterms as much.

If you believe this is any way accurate...I have some Enron stock to sell you.