If after the 2016 election you were told: (user search)
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  If after the 2016 election you were told: (search mode)
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Author Topic: If after the 2016 election you were told:  (Read 1417 times)
forsythvoter
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Posts: 736


« on: November 16, 2020, 12:03:40 AM »

I would have guessed Biden wins Hillary states, with the following changes:

Trump flips, due to Hispanic swings that cost Biden Zapata County and gave him a sharply reduced margin in Miami-Dade :
- NM
- NV

I assume Biden loses AZ because of the same Hispanic swings.

Biden flips (given 5 states have to flip, GA is more D than WI so I assume the same trends in the sunbelt that gave him GA would give him NC).
+ Michigan
+ Georgia
+ North Carolina
+ NE-2

So this leads to a 269-269 tie!

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