Who will be the first candidate to announce and when?
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Author Topic: Who will be the first candidate to announce and when?  (Read 1524 times)
BlueDogDemocrat
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« on: November 13, 2020, 03:36:39 PM »
 John Delaney announced his campaign in 2017, a full three years before the election. Who do you think will be the first to do so this time and how long out before the election do you think it will be?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #1 on: November 13, 2020, 03:39:48 PM »
Donald Trump, early 2021.
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neostassenite31
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« Reply #2 on: November 13, 2020, 03:44:08 PM »

He could announce tomorrow and claim he's just running for a third-term because of the impeachment etc. and how "MASSIVE FRAUD" stole the election and so forth.     
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
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« Reply #3 on: November 13, 2020, 03:45:45 PM »
If Trump does announce the day he leave(is forced) out of office I will be surprised
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SN2903
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« Reply #4 on: November 13, 2020, 03:56:34 PM »
Donald Trump sometime in 2022.
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Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver
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« Reply #5 on: November 17, 2020, 04:39:09 PM »
If not Trump sometime in the next few months, Tom Cotton will announce by summer 2021
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NYDem
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« Reply #6 on: November 18, 2020, 01:08:56 PM »
Trump, within a year of the current date. Nobody else will join the primary for a long time after that. You’ll get a couple other challengers: a never-Trumper (Hogan or Kasich), perhaps someone from the “Libertarian wing” (Sasse or Massie), and maybe you get a more mainline Trumpish Republican who says the party needs someone new and younger (Haley?).

I don’t see there being much of a primary. It will be like an incumbent renomination more than an actual primary process.
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Agonized-Statism
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« Reply #7 on: November 18, 2020, 01:26:08 PM »
If not Trump, then one of those obscure candidates like Ken Nwadike.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #8 on: November 19, 2020, 06:50:38 PM »
Trump, obviously. He'll announce in the next several months, but be locked up by the time the primary starts.
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KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸
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« Reply #9 on: November 19, 2020, 06:54:42 PM »
John Delaney, somewhere in 2021.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #10 on: November 19, 2020, 07:26:50 PM »
An early-announced Gabbard primary challenge wouldn't surprise me.
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NewYorkExpress
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« Reply #11 on: November 19, 2020, 11:21:43 PM »
Donald Trump, January 20, 2021 (he might announce before Biden's inauguration.)
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #12 on: November 20, 2020, 04:16:35 PM »
Donald Trump on January 20, 2021 at 12:00pm
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #13 on: November 20, 2020, 11:53:32 PM »
Quote from: NewYorkExpress on November 19, 2020, 11:21:43 PM
Donald Trump, January 20, 2021 (he might announce before Biden's inauguration.)

Maybe he goes to the inauguration after all, but pulls a Kanye and takes the microphone away from Biden in order to announce his next presidential campaign.
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AltWorlder
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« Reply #14 on: May 03, 2021, 06:02:59 PM »
Still want to know who the Republican version of John Delaney would be.

It won't be Trump, he'd do a replay of 2015 and not announce until early 2023.
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Chips
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« Reply #15 on: May 13, 2021, 01:28:51 PM »
Quote from: AltWorlder on May 03, 2021, 06:02:59 PM
Still want to know who the Republican version of John Delaney would be.

It won't be Trump, he'd do a replay of 2015 and not announce until early 2023.

That seems about right.
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beesley
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« Reply #16 on: May 13, 2021, 03:30:16 PM »
Roque de la Fuente
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PRESIDENT STANTON
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« Reply #17 on: May 15, 2021, 05:35:44 PM »
The minute that Trump announces, is when the countdown begins for his incarceration! There's no way in hell, that the powers to be, allow Trump the opportunity of regaining the White House again! The idea is, if you're not a threat to us Trump, then we'll leave you alone! If you have a chance of being competitive, we are taking you down brother!
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #18 on: May 16, 2021, 08:54:50 AM »
Running for president opens Trump up to a lot of financial issues that he probably doesn't want and can't afford to face without the power of the office of the presidency. If he runs, he'll wait until 2023.
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Torrain
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« Reply #19 on: May 16, 2021, 02:33:20 PM »
Hot take: GOP candidates declare later than usual this cycle, as they wait to see whether Trump runs.

Preparing to run for President is a fairly public process, full of superpacs, dinners, polling etc. If Trump is undecided, I could see some candidates remaining low-key, while they wait for him to make up his mind. If they're all this scared of him, the last thing they'd want is to seem to be trying to steal his thunder/directly opposing him.

If Trump is doing a public 'will-I/won't-I" dance in '22/'23, I can see candidates like Ted Cruz waiting until the mid/back part of 2023 to declare, rather than the start of that year.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #20 on: May 16, 2021, 10:23:05 PM »
I'm sure John Delaney will declare this year.
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