Latinos: Was It Because of Trump or Biden?
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  Latinos: Was It Because of Trump or Biden?
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Author Topic: Latinos: Was It Because of Trump or Biden?  (Read 201 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: November 12, 2020, 09:51:25 AM »

Latinos went more GOP this year than they did for Trump in 2016.

Was this because they liked Trump?
Was this because Dem outreach was not as good as it should've been?
Was this because they didn't really like Biden?
Was this because Trump was the incumbent?
Was this because they liked Trumps $1200 signed checks?

Latinos turned out in big numbers in 2018 for Dems, after turning out for Hillary in 2016. This year, the ones that did come out were more GOP. Was this a sole Trump thing, and will they revert back to Dems in future elections? Or are they going to get redder?

(i know they are not a monolith but for the purpose of this discussion, just debating the entire electorate at large)
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2020, 10:01:55 AM »

From a distance, it looks like the Hispanic communities of the southern states are exactly that, distinct communities with poor and wealthy, rural and urban, blue-collar and white-collar, liberal and conservative, elite and downtrodden, and everything in between. It makes sense that any community like that will be a microcosm of a nation at large, with their politics split down the middle. Voting as a single bloc becomes less likely as these communities grow and diversify. There are few, if any, party policies that disproportionately benefit or harm latinos - as opposed to other recognised voting blocks - perhaps the only thing keeping them mainly in the Dem column is Trump's rhetoric.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #2 on: November 12, 2020, 10:05:03 AM »

In recent political history, Latinos have historically had a pro-incumbent bias. Latinos swung strongly towards Obama in 2012 compared to 2008.  In 2004, Latinos swung 10 points toward George W. Bush compared to 2000
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Motorcity
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« Reply #3 on: November 12, 2020, 10:10:04 AM »

My theory is that hundreds of thousands of Hispanics came of age between 2016-2020, many are second and third generation who do not identify as Mexican-Americans or relate to recent arrivals. Democrats need to treat them as a different voting block.
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