PA-SN 2022 megathread: Shrek vs. The Wizard of Oz

[Nyvin]

What the heck are his policy positions?   

Does he support universal healthcare with a generous prescription med plan or something?

[Nyvin]

It was a Trump rally.  They probably want Barnette to win,  which would be fantastic.

[Nyvin]

This is pretty good -

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ihRX-hXQjgo

[Nyvin]

This is pretty good -

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ihRX-hXQjgo

This one is resonating with the normies. I was speaking to my mom, who obv is not on Twitter, telling her how Fetterman has been dunking on Oz for different things. And she said, "oh did you see that Wizard of Oz ad? That was good."

All of it is clearly breaking through to average folks one way or another

So they aired this entire 142 second long ad on TV, and people watched it all? That's amazing.

The primary place to watch it is facebook, it's pretty viral on there.

[Nyvin]

A critical problem for Oz is there's so much media content for Fetterman to work with since he was a TV personality that delivered his own lines.   This makes putting attacks against him into video format incredibly easy.

Fetterman and his staff are also pretty talented at using social media to attack him as well, so that's a problem too.

[Nyvin]

Imagine eating broccoli and carrots with tomato salsa...yuck!

[Nyvin]

Oz has been steadily increasing his vote share. We can’t know if he’s stuck at 41-44% because he hasn’t leveled off yet. He is currently in that range, yes, but in a few weeks he could be out of it, given his vote share in the general will certainly be higher.

He has been stuck in the low 40's for a while, he had a few polls at 46% but those were few and far inbetween.   

[Nyvin]

Sounds like they have a tracking poll then, probably for Oz. Civiqs is R affiliated IIRC, but I don’t think most campaigns want a push poll so they conduct it fairly.

Civiqs was founded by Daily Kos and is under the same general management as Daily Kos is today, it's definitely not R affiliated.

[Nyvin]

According to Trafalgar, everything in the country is between X+1 and X+3

[Nyvin]

Why was Oz considered a weak candidate? He outperformed Mastriano by 10!

2.Oz was upper class, while Fetterman was working class.

Oz was an out-of-touch weirdo who got rich by selling snake oil on daytime TV and thought he could parachute in and become a Senator for a state that he didn't even live in and had minimal ties to.

That didn't stop others from gaining political office in the past, it was the combination of the things I listed that doomed Oz.

Scott Brown?