IA-SEN 2022: Grassley vs Franken

[Lognog]

https://twitter.com/IAFieldReport/status/1397984288646258688

Alright, cue the memes.

wouldn't she have any easier time running for her old seat (assuming no gerrymandering)

Also, what earned her meme status

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/IAFieldReport/status/1397984288646258688

Alright, cue the memes.

wouldn't she have any easier time running for her old seat (assuming no gerrymandering)

Also, what earned her meme status

I'm also curious as to how she became a meme. Can someone seriously explain? Funny thing is that I'm fairly sure the "Unbeatable Finkenauer" memes only became a thing after she lost reelection. So maybe it was meant to be an ironic thing?

[Tartarus Sauce]

https://twitter.com/IAFieldReport/status/1397984288646258688
Alright, cue the memes.

wouldn't she have any easier time running for her old seat (assuming no gerrymandering)

Also, what earned her meme status

I'm also curious as to how she became a meme. Can someone seriously explain? Funny thing is that I'm fairly sure the "Unbeatable Finkenauer" memes only became a thing after she lost reelection. So maybe it was meant to be an ironic thing?

I consider it an homage to the titan that should have been.

In American Timeline 2.0, Queen Abby ascends to the throne to become the duly elected monarch of the American Empire, leading a blessed invasion into Canada for the purpose of expanding Moose ranching and making Iowa Caucuses the nationwide standard of voting for all offices.

[Spectator]

https://twitter.com/IAFieldReport/status/1397984288646258688
Alright, cue the memes.

wouldn't she have any easier time running for her old seat (assuming no gerrymandering)

Also, what earned her meme status

I'm also curious as to how she became a meme. Can someone seriously explain? Funny thing is that I'm fairly sure the "Unbeatable Finkenauer" memes only became a thing after she lost reelection. So maybe it was meant to be an ironic thing?

A lot of it seems to come from the fact that in 2018 all the prognosticators had her up there as one of the surest bets to flip a House seat of any race in the country and in the end she only won by an extremely underwhelming five points.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Iowa voted for Ernst last yr due to Kim Reynolds, we ran Patty Judge against Grassley in 2016, FINKEAUAR or Mauhlbauer aren't Patty Judge and IA like NH can have 3 females for Gov and Sen because Molly Kelly is thinking about running for Gov again in NH and Sununu will lose to Hassan without voter suppression but we need to see polls in these battleground states

[MT Treasurer]

I'm also curious as to how she became a meme. Can someone seriously explain? Funny thing is that I'm fairly sure the "Unbeatable Finkenauer" memes only became a thing after she lost reelection. So maybe it was meant to be an ironic thing?

A lot of it seems to come from the fact that in 2018 all the prognosticators had her up there as one of the surest bets to flip a House seat of any race in the country and in the end she only won by an extremely underwhelming five points.

https://www.rollcall.com/2018/09/06/the-10-most-vulnerable-house-members-in-2018-list-remains-all-republican/

"The 10 Most Vulnerable House Members in 2018 List Remains All-Republican
Iowa Rep. Rod Blum is once again in the top spot"

1. Rep. Rod Blum, R-Iowa

Operatives in both parties believe Blum ranks among the most vulnerable House Republicans, with the combination of a tough district and a formidable challenger in Democratic state Rep. Abby Finkenauer. And Blum is also facing an Ethics Committee investigation relating to his failure to disclose his role as CEO of a company. Trump carried the district by 3 points in 2016 after it backed Obama in 2008 and 2012.

Even in September 2018, they still considered him the most vulnerable R incumbent, even more likely to lose than Rothfus, Comstock, Coffman, Yoder, etc.

[Tekken_Guy]

https://twitter.com/IAFieldReport/status/1397984288646258688

Alright, cue the memes.

wouldn't she have any easier time running for her old seat (assuming no gerrymandering)

It’s hard to make IA-01 more Republican than the state itself, because most of the GOP advantage is in IA-04.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/IAFieldReport/status/1397984288646258688

Alright, cue the memes.

wouldn't she have any easier time running for her old seat (assuming no gerrymandering)

It’s hard to make IA-01 more Republican than the state itself, because most of the GOP advantage is in IA-04.

You know the Election is 16 mnths and Rs are -9 on Generic ballot the same as it was in 2018, because parents and people are still on Unemployment.

If Rs kept GA, we would have been cut off from 1400 stimulus

When are Rs gonna learn that Biden has the same Approvals as Bush W when he net seats in 2002

You guys never go to pbower2A Approvalls and see how D's are doing in wave insurance seats and that's not being a hack

[Pollster]

https://twitter.com/IAFieldReport/status/1397984288646258688

Alright, cue the memes.

wouldn't she have any easier time running for her old seat (assuming no gerrymandering)

It’s hard to make IA-01 more Republican than the state itself, because most of the GOP advantage is in IA-04.

Yeah, especially nowadays. It's easy to overlook because of how the other three district flipped from Obama/Trump in a very pronounced way, but the largest swing in the state from 2012 to 2016 happened in IA-04.

[Sir Mohamed]

INEVITABLE MAP with MRS. ABBY FINNEKAUER incoming:




Kidding aside, unless there's a Roy Moore like situation, this is Safe R, even without Grassley.

[Spectator]

Rob Sand ruled out a Senate run yesterday, will likely run for Governor. At least that has a greater than zero shot of flipping, unlike the Senate race.

https://www.1380kcim.com/2021/05/27/state-auditor-rob-sand-rules-out-potential-run-for-u-s-senate/

[Skill and Chance]

https://twitter.com/IAFieldReport/status/1397984288646258688

Alright, cue the memes.

wouldn't she have any easier time running for her old seat (assuming no gerrymandering)

It’s hard to make IA-01 more Republican than the state itself, because most of the GOP advantage is in IA-04.

Well, it seems like we are moving into a new alignment where IA-04 trends Dem a bit (but nowhere near enough to matter), IA-01/02 trend hard right and IA-03 now sticks out as being more Dem leaning.  Population shifts and the Iowa redistricting rules will accentuate this as IA-03 should collapse inward into an urban Des Moines seat. 

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

INEVITABLE MAP with MRS. ABBY FINNEKAUER incoming:




Kidding aside, unless there's a Roy Moore like situation, this is Safe R, even without Grassley.

It's not safe R go to pbower2A Approvalls and Biden has a 59% and net positive rating in IA

Rs since blocking Commission are -9 on Generic ballot 49/40 in a QU poll on Generic ballot

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rob Sand ruled out a Senate run yesterday, will likely run for Governor. At least that has a greater than zero shot of flipping, unlike the Senate race.

https://www.1380kcim.com/2021/05/27/state-auditor-rob-sand-rules-out-potential-run-for-u-s-senate/

You guy is really don't understand how waves work, we didn't net 33H seats in 2017 we won them on ADS in 2018.  This is 2021, 16 mnths prior to Election

[Spectator]

Rob Sand ruled out a Senate run yesterday, will likely run for Governor. At least that has a greater than zero shot of flipping, unlike the Senate race.

https://www.1380kcim.com/2021/05/27/state-auditor-rob-sand-rules-out-potential-run-for-u-s-senate/

You guy is really don't understand how waves work, we didn't net 33H seats in 2017 we won them on ADS in 2018.  This is 2021, 16 mnths prior to Election

You’re right, I didn’t account for the Queen FINK wave

[MT Treasurer]

FINKEAUAR or Mauhlbauer

You’re amazing at this. Governor Mauhlbauer (D-IA) is inevitable.

He even 'misspelled' Finkenauer in his signature in exactly the same way as in that post. True sophisticated performance art.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Wave insurence candidates like Fink, Whaley and Hassan I am optimistic about due to fact Females whom are caretakers are still getting Stimulus cheques thanks to Biden in child tax credits

That's why Biden has a net positive approvals,and Pelosi will bring it home to Ds in 500 days in the H and Senate

Eventhough the 2K cheques are gone

If Rs kept the Senate, of Ron Johnson had his way we would be cut off, he objected to 1200 that's why we had to wait til April for our Stimulus not during Xmas and he is opponenr to a fourth round payments, 1400 again would do us well

I have no illusion that it's a 303, map now, but we have 16mnths til the Election. I always said the 278 Nate Silver blue wall but we need to Expand to keep the H

[Young Conservative]

Why would she think this race is winnable when Iowa voted for Trump by more than her a congressional district she could not win.

[SnowLabrador]

Why would she think this race is winnable when Iowa voted for Trump by more than her a congressional district she could not win.

Thank you for saying what needs to be said. Finkenauer is a sacrificial lamb.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why would she think this race is winnable when Iowa voted for Trump by more than her a congressional district she could not win.

The Ds are plus 9 on Generic Ballot the same as I'm 2018, the last poll had Reynolds at 47/46 v Generic D,, Conservatives forget 2008/12 when we won by PVI 6.0 OH, IA, NC and FL and we didn't win 33H seats in 2017/ we won them in 2018, this is still 2021 16 mnths before an Election

As D's we don't think narrow wins, we believe I'm blue waves and we got 4 Congressional districts that are winnable

Trump margin was inflatable in 2020 before the Insurrectionists, he has cratered to 32% from 46.9%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why would she think this race is winnable when Iowa voted for Trump by more than her a congressional district she could not win.

Thank you for saying what needs to be said. Finkenauer is a sacrificial lamb.

QU HAS DS PLUS 9 ON GENERIC BALLOT, you was bragging when Rs tied it


https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3810


QU poll plus 9 the Rs have Crater since blocking the Commission

[Conservatopia]

Ah well RIP the IA-GOP.  FINKEAUAR will win by such a large margin that there will be an inevitable mega-coattails effect.

Therefore thanks to FINKEAUAR the Democrats will sweep the midwest, even winning the Senate elections in South Dakota and Missouri thanks to mega-coattails.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Why would she think this race is winnable when Iowa voted for Trump by more than her a congressional district she could not win.

Fink was only using 20% of her true power

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lol we won in 2008/12 on a PVI 5.0 based on Joe the Plumber IA and OH

The saving grace for Trump on Election day was there wasnt an Insurrectionists, Rs just blocked the Commission, we haven't had a natl Election post Insurrectionists and the Primary fight is gonna Divide the Rs in OH and cause Whaley to win the D's aren't gonna win SD and MO, DeSantis and Abbott will win, in a landslide it won't be a shutout as we didn't shut Rs out in 2008(/12 or 18

But.....if Quinton Lucas gets in he will be competetive, I will donate to him if he runs in MO

[The Undefeatable Debbie Stabenow]

Why would she think this race is winnable when Iowa voted for Trump by more than her a congressional district she could not win.

I mean, it's not like she has anything more exciting going on. I doubt she's truly under the illusion that she'll be favored, but it's common practice for parties to field candidates in much less winnable races than this one.