Mississippi and Arkansas

[I Will Not Be Wrong]

I always figured Mississippi was trending D, but clearly that does not seem to be the case. And Arkansas, I can understand much easier, but what in the world happened in Mississippi this year? Did the African American vote move towards Trump there I am guessing?

[Bootes Void]

They haven't counted all the votes yet. But Mississippi won't trend D until it's more urbanized or people look at it as the VA,Co Ariz,Ga or NC where people start moving there in droves

[DINGO Joe]

Don't know if either of you have a web site with better numbers but the ones I've seen still have 150,000 to 200,000 missing votes for Mississippi.

[n1240]

A number of counties in MS aren't reporting mail-in vote yet, Hinds being one of them. Trump margin is likely smaller than it currently it once the state certifies results.

[n1240]

Mail-in vote clearly has a hard swing Dem, like other states with small % of mail-in vote relative to total vote. Harrison County mail looks like Biden+28 (Biden 8939 Trump 5111) even though it was Trump+37 end of election night result. Some counties have absolutely no mail-in vote reported, while others have partial or near complete counts.

On average it looks like Trump's margin is 2% worse in counties that are currently greater than their 2016 vote totals, so I think it's reasonable to think MS ends up swinging in the end, with a chance of trending D as well.

[Gass3268]

Yeah, people need to stop making proclamations about certain states until they've completed their count. 

[Alben Barkley]

As noted, it’s too early to say MS didn’t move left, but I think the AR results vindicate Hillary somewhat; guess she still had some fans left in the state.