Did this election reveal any new battleground states?

[ProgressiveModerate]

Like how 2016 revealed TX had potential to be more competitive down the road

[UncleSam]

Maybe N.M.? We already knew about Georgia so that doesn’t count, and everything else < 10 points in margin was pretty much expected to be close.

[Roll Roons]

It confirmed that GA is indeed "there". Could honestly see Democrats now prioritizing it over FL.

[Meatball Ron]

Maybe N.M.? We already knew about Georgia so that doesn’t count, and everything else < 10 points in margin was pretty much expected to be close.

The margin in NM was 3 points more Dem this year than it was in 2016, and Biden out-ran Hillary by ~5 points. Depending on the final PV margin, that means it was as Dem this year as in 2016, or more Dem.

Yes, the Senate race was closer than it should've been - but I think the presidential results are probably more indicative here. Not a battleground.

[wbrocks67]

Pretty much solidifies AZ and GA as new battlegrounds.

[forsythvoter]

Not really - I think this election was more notable for revealing which states might not actually be true battlegrounds right now (OH, FL, IA, TX for Rs; MN, VA, CO, NH, ME-Al, NM for Ds).

Of the remaining battleground states (PA, MI, WI, NV, AZ, GA, NC), I think GA was probably the most shocking. This is the first statewide election that Dems have won since 2006 and first Presidential election that Dems have won since 1992 (thanks to Perot). Most people acknowledged the D trends but didn't expect it to flip entirely, given 2018 was such a favorable D year and Abrams still lost by 1.4%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Like how 2016 revealed TX had potential to be more competitive down the road

TX isn't gonna to be competetive any longer, Abbott is gonna win reelection and Cruz and Haley are likely to be the next R nominees for Prez and Crenshaw is likely to replace Cruz, get over it, IA and TX aren't battlegrounds, 2024

OH and FL and ME2 will be back competitive, Sherrod Brown is likely to get reelected, ME2 will go back due to Angus King winning reelection in 2024 and Rick Scott is gonna face stiff competetion in 2024

[Sir Mohamed]

Not really, but it confirmed IA and OH are gone for Dems, while CO and VA are gone for the GOP.

[Crumpets]

I guess we can start our next "is it there?" clocks, first for Texas in 2024/28, and heck, maybe Kansas for, like, 2036?

[Calthrina950]

It confirmed that GA is indeed "there". Could honestly see Democrats now prioritizing it over FL.

Agreed. I'm still stunned by the extent to which Cubans swung to Trump this year. And once again, Florida has disappointed the Democrats. Given these results, it's hard for me to see DeSantis losing reelection in 2022, and I think the state starts out as Lean R in 2024.

[It’s so Joever]

Utah will be a battleground in the future. Blutah is coming.
 If current trends hold....Idaho as well.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Utah will be a battleground in the future. Blutah is coming.
 If current trends hold....Idaho as well.

It'll still be a little while, but I agree. SLC still shifted left in UT despite rural UT bouncing back, and that's the part of the state with the most growth, and it's probably safe R for 2024, but under the current re-alignment, UT isn't going back to R + 50 margins. Neither UT or ID bounced back R as hard as many people were expecting.

[Tender Branson]

GA and AZ.

But they could also revert back to R with a normal Republican in 2024 and 2028.

Trump was a pretty abnormal Republican.

[Hope For A New Era]

Utah will be a battleground in the future. Blutah is coming.
 If current trends hold....Idaho as well.

It's coming!

Salt Lake County
54D/42R
First time over 50% D since 1964
Only the third D win since 1964 (the others were 2008 by literally 296 votes and 2016 because of McMullin)

Utah County
67R/27D
First time over 25% D since 1964
Was over 80% R in 2000 and over 85% R in 2004 and 2012

Davis County
61R/34D
First time over 30% D since 1968
Johnson didn't even win this county

Cache County
65R/29D
First time over 25% D since 1964
Johnson didn't win here either
Over 80% R in 2004 and 2012

[One Term Floridian]

Blutah, Blorgia, Blurizona, Blansas, Blexas, Nebluska, and depending on final margins, maybe Blaska

Potentials for GOP as well:

Redvada, New Redico, Red Island, and depending on final margins, maybe New YoRed

[Skill and Chance]

It confirmed that GA is indeed "there". Could honestly see Democrats now prioritizing it over FL.

Agreed. I'm still stunned by the extent to which Cubans swung to Trump this year. And once again, Florida has disappointed the Democrats. Given these results, it's hard for me to see DeSantis losing reelection in 2022, and I think the state starts out as Lean R in 2024.

Yeah, Florida just isn't worth it for national Democrats anymore.  If Fried can get reelected, she should try for governor when it's open in 2026.  It might flip if a Republican is president, but that's about it.

[It’s so Joever]

Utah will be a battleground in the future. Blutah is coming.
 If current trends hold....Idaho as well.

It's coming!

Salt Lake County
54D/42R
First time over 50% D since 1964
Only the third D win since 1964 (the others were 2008 by literally 296 votes and 2016 because of McMullin)

Utah County
67R/27D
First time over 25% D since 1964
Was over 80% R in 2000 and over 85% R in 2004 and 2012

Davis County
61R/34D
First time over 30% D since 1968
Johnson didn't even win this county

Cache County
65R/29D
First time over 25% D since 1964
Johnson didn't win here either
Over 80% R in 2004 and 2012

I will be alive to see this 2056 NUT electoral map:
https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=4uy3

The #realignment