GA SEN : Perdue +4 / Loeffler +1 (Remington for the AJC)
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  GA SEN : Perdue +4 / Loeffler +1 (Remington for the AJC)
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Author Topic: GA SEN : Perdue +4 / Loeffler +1 (Remington for the AJC)  (Read 2743 times)
VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: November 11, 2020, 01:59:01 PM »

No, I'm not going to trust early polls and predict a 3 point gap between the two races, and neither should you
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Buzz
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« Reply #26 on: November 11, 2020, 02:09:56 PM »

Y’all out here believing polls?  Couldn’t be me, straight to the garbage can.  Remington did terrible this year underestimating Trump in Missouri.  Junkkkkkk
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Malarkey Decider
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« Reply #27 on: November 11, 2020, 03:07:02 PM »

I thought we stopped calling Remington (R)emington since they underestimated Trump by double digits in Missouri but whatever.

Same pollster that had Markey up 10 in the General, so I think they're just bad.
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #28 on: November 11, 2020, 03:08:31 PM »

I thought we stopped calling Remington (R)emington since they underestimated Trump by double digits in Missouri but whatever.

Same pollster that had Markey up 10 in the General, so I think they're just bad.

I think that poll was conducted for the O'Connor campaign.
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #29 on: November 11, 2020, 03:09:56 PM »

Polls are junk but Ga is still a tossup. It's all groundgame now, Son!
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #30 on: November 11, 2020, 03:12:51 PM »

Polls LOL
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #31 on: November 11, 2020, 03:14:55 PM »

I think only Ann Selzer should poll Georgia.
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WD
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« Reply #32 on: November 11, 2020, 03:15:46 PM »


FTFY
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #33 on: November 11, 2020, 04:20:59 PM »

This is more of a lock than Jones losing in Alabama.

F#ck off
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Horus
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« Reply #34 on: November 11, 2020, 04:29:41 PM »

Tossup/Tilt D
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Horus
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« Reply #35 on: November 11, 2020, 04:33:40 PM »

I’m so mad there is nowhere I can gamble on this race.

This is more of a lock than Jones losing in Alabama.

Georgia is a joke - Biden has a minuscule chance there, Osoff has almost no chance and Warnock forget it

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jamestroll
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« Reply #36 on: November 11, 2020, 04:40:42 PM »

God has told me the GOP will win both.. and will gain 47 seats in the 2022 midterms Sad
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Pericles
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« Reply #37 on: November 11, 2020, 04:44:07 PM »

Seems about right.
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Canis
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« Reply #38 on: November 11, 2020, 04:45:01 PM »

Polls this far out mean nothing wait till the state is carpet-bombed with ads by the GOP and DNC and then the polls will be meaningful give it a month regardless this is how I rate the runoffs as of right now both runoffs are competitive thought this is just gonna come down to who can get their voters out their it will be harder than people give it credit for the GOP to get their base to turnout without Trump on the ballot 
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Lean Perdue
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #39 on: November 12, 2020, 02:34:28 AM »

How does wbrocks go straight back to  unskewing.

Because many people are devoid of any sense of shame and we live in terrible times where that’s no longer a liability.

In any case, no, it is not obvious that the liberal black Democrat has a much better chance of winning a runoff which will decide Senate control than Ossoff -- or that he will he outrun Ossoff at all/that there will be a non-negligible gap between those races, for that matter. I have a feeling ‘Warnock probably wins, Ossoff has a more difficult path’ will be the new ‘Gillum will have to drag Nelson across the finish line.’
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #40 on: November 12, 2020, 03:12:24 AM »

Generally - what i expect. Perdue is somewhat stronger, then Loeffler, but both will win..
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #41 on: November 12, 2020, 04:02:56 AM »
« Edited: November 12, 2020, 04:10:32 AM by Taking the D out of Driftless :( »

Both races are pure Tossups. With no one other than these four on the ballot, and huge uncertainty about what will happen during the 55 days between now and the runoffs, it is impossible to call them anything else. I would not be surprised to see any result between R+5 and D+5 for both races.

I thought we stopped calling Remington (R)emington since they underestimated Trump by double digits in Missouri but whatever.

That's Missouri's problem, not Remington's. They underestimated him in 2016 too. I'll never trust a poll of this state again.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #42 on: November 12, 2020, 06:49:55 AM »

Warnock is gonna win, but Ossoff has a smaller window and D's in Senate still blocking the 1.8T and they have a smaller majority in the House and might not even win the Senate is just as bad as Trump not conceding defeat.

D's need to stop filibustering the stimulus and give voter 1200, if they don't win the Senate anyways they will have to compromise. Voters need their stimulus by Xmas

That's why Gideon and CUNNINGHAM lost, they would of been helped if Pelosi passed the 1.8T on 10/1 and voters would of had it by Election day. Then, later coming back to ask for more should Biden get elected
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #43 on: November 12, 2020, 09:48:14 AM »

I’m so mad there is nowhere I can gamble on this race.

This is more of a lock than Jones losing in Alabama.

Why do you keep asking Georgia to burn you

I hope Georgia sets me on fire. I hope I burn in a pit of Georgia hell
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #44 on: November 12, 2020, 09:56:20 AM »

LOL when did I unskew other than to reiterate what is true and fact - that this is a Republican leaning firm? The AJC even says that!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #45 on: November 12, 2020, 09:58:09 AM »

I’m so mad there is nowhere I can gamble on this race.

This is more of a lock than Jones losing in Alabama.

Why do you keep asking Georgia to burn you

I hope Georgia sets me on fire. I hope I burn in a pit of Georgia hell

If the Rs hold GA, it's the D's fault again, they are filibustering the 1.8T stimulus package, wanting 2.2T even if they win both GA seats they wont overcome an R filibuster of the stimulus until Reconciliation and that is a long time between Jan and Reconciliation and May 2021
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Pollster
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« Reply #46 on: November 12, 2020, 10:15:29 AM »


Honestly, Selzer could probably become the Nate Silver of this decade if she does a poll of this race that winds up being accurate/looking like it's accurate. She definitely doesn't want that, but if she did it could easily be hers.
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Rookie Yinzer
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« Reply #47 on: November 12, 2020, 12:43:00 PM »

Both are toss ups and it will be the ground game that wins this election.
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MATTROSE94
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« Reply #48 on: November 12, 2020, 03:28:28 PM »

Until polling improves, I am going to give the Republicans in each race going forward about 5 percentage points, so Perdue +9 and Loeffler +6 seems to be likely.
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AGA
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« Reply #49 on: November 12, 2020, 10:28:19 PM »

You guys know that Georgia was one of the few states were polls were actually pretty good, right?
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