MN 2022 Gov Race Megathread

[Octowakandi]

Mike Lindell, commonly known as the My Pillow Guy, already announced earlier this year that he was running for Governor of Minnesota. A firm ally of President Trump, Lindell has an impressive story of going from a crack addict to a self made national businessman who has all his pillows made in the US. He is also a strong Christian, always seen with his crucifix necklace. How will he do? Will he win?

Something that's struck me about him is he seems to have a sunny disposition which is very helpful in running for office. The key question though seems to be if he can win the St. Paul suburbs which this year trampled to the left. They tend to be more of a tech Bro type too so not likely to come back post Trump but midterm elections rely upon on weird turnout. What do we all think?

[Astatine]

Considering that MN swung blue this year and did not elect any Republicans statewide even in red wave elections (2010 / 2014), I'd rate MN-Gov as Lean/Likely D as of now.

[Orwell]

So when you were once a Crack head that doesn't seem helpful.

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

I'd say lean rather than likely, far closer to likely than toss up, purely because this is Minnesota, I wouldn't be shocked if a meme got to happen here. Do I expect it to vote Dem again, but a midterm wave and meme candidate  gives Lindell a chance.

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Random question: does "made in the USA" mean "made in USA prisons"?

[GALeftist]

Tim Walz will easily vanquish this oafish buffoon.

[Real Texan Politics]

A politician vs a pillow salesman/Trump ally.

This'll be interesting. If Lindell does good with the suburbs and Iron Range workers he could pull this off, not saying he's guaranteed since right now I'd rate it as lean D until it starts getting closer.

[neostassenite31]

Despite the leftward swing MN will end up with a PVI of EVEN after this election. An EVEN seat in a midterm with a D White House would normally start out as a Tossup, but given that this is the Minnesota GOP that we're talking about I'd rate this seat as a Lean or Likely D to start off with if Lindell gets the nomination.

The point is that no sane person can expect the Minnesota Republican Party to be able to actually accomplish anything as a political organization at this point, regardless of what election cycle it is. These people make even the FL Dems look competent

[Hope For A New Era]

lol, what a joke

Walz will win by even more than in 2018.

[KaiserDave]

A politician vs a pillow salesman/Trump ally.

This'll be interesting. If Lindell does good with the suburbs and Iron Range workers he could pull this off, not saying he's guaranteed since right now I'd rate it as lean D until it starts getting closer.

Given what happened with MN suburbs this year, that ain't happening.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

A politician vs a pillow salesman/Trump ally.

This'll be interesting. If Lindell does good with the suburbs and Iron Range workers he could pull this off, not saying he's guaranteed since right now I'd rate it as lean D until it starts getting closer.

Given what happened with MN suburbs this year, that ain't happening.

That kind of mean reversion is quite possible in midterms. Northern rural Democrats got a bump in 2018.

[KaiserDave]

A politician vs a pillow salesman/Trump ally.

This'll be interesting. If Lindell does good with the suburbs and Iron Range workers he could pull this off, not saying he's guaranteed since right now I'd rate it as lean D until it starts getting closer.

Given what happened with MN suburbs this year, that ain't happening.

That kind of mean reversion is quite possible in midterms. Northern rural Democrats got a bump in 2018.

Possibly, but with Tim Waltz and Amy Klobuchar, sure. Mike Lindell? Suburbs? Minnesota? I'm skeptical.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Would love to see BRTD and Minnesota Mike weigh in on this

[Hope For A New Era]

A politician vs a pillow salesman/Trump ally.

This'll be interesting. If Lindell does good with the suburbs and Iron Range workers he could pull this off, not saying he's guaranteed since right now I'd rate it as lean D until it starts getting closer.

Given what happened with MN suburbs this year, that ain't happening.

That kind of mean reversion is quite possible in midterms. Northern rural Democrats got a bump in 2018.

The question is whether that was a temporary reversal in trends or a response to Trump not being on the ballot.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Would love to see BRTD and Minnesota Mike weigh in on this

A guy who said that he's not worried about coronavirus at Trump rallies because he takes a herbal supplement that supposedly prevents infection isn't going to break a 16-year losing streak.

[Mr. Matt]

Attorney: Mike Lindell Among Those Who Paid To Bail Out Kyle Rittenhouse, Charged In Kenosha Protest Shootings

[Never Made it to Graceland]

A guy with a F from the BBB ain’t holding Trump’s numbers on the Iron Range.

Although Greater MN does seem quite mad at Walz right now, Ellison is probably somewhat vulnerable

While I agree with your point in general, the BBB ratings aren't worth the paper they may or may not be printed on. Companies pay them to remove bad reviews. A pyramid scheme a former user/mod on this blog was formerly ensnared in and tried to recruit Atlas users for  had an A+ rating. Many such cases. And I doubt the kind of people who vote for a failed businessman really care about another businessman's BBB rating.

[Real Texan Politics]

Attorney: Mike Lindell Among Those Who Paid To Bail Out Kyle Rittenhouse, Charged In Kenosha Protest Shootings

That's an attack ad in itself.

[KaiserDave]

Looking forward to Lindell raking in the donations McGrath style to lose by 5.

[bagelman]

Looking forward to Lindell raking in the donations McGrath style to lose by 5.

5? lol maybe in a proper Yuge GOP wave

[KaiserDave]

Looking forward to Lindell raking in the donations McGrath style to lose by 5.

5? lol maybe in a proper Yuge GOP wave

Yeah I was assuming Rs would do well, but I think that 5-6 is a reasonable estimate.

[Benjamin Frank]

Reminder: Lindell hasn't even won the Republican nomination yet.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

As a Hunter Biden fan, I will have to be supporting Mike Lindell.

[Real Texan Politics]

Actually now that I think about it, Mike Lindell could very likely win assuming 2022 is a red wave year.

Remember this is the same state that elected a professional wrestler as their governor from 1999-2003 (Jesse Ventura) and a Saturday Night Live comedian as one of their senators from 2009-2018 (Al Franken), so Mike Lindell as governor wouldn't really be anything new for Minnesota. They seem to like oddball candidates.

Though on the other hand, Ventura was an independent while Franken was a democrat, so that could spell trouble for Lindell? Especially if he faces tons of attacks for his connection to Trump (who already endorsed Lindell's potential bid for governor).

[Alcibiades]

Actually now that I think about it, Mike Lindell could very likely win assuming 2022 is a red wave year.

Remember this is the same state that elected a professional wrestler as their governor from 1999-2003 (Jesse Ventura) and a Saturday Night Live comedian as one of their senators from 2009-2018 (Al Franken), so Mike Lindell as governor wouldn't really be anything new for Minnesota. They seem to like oddball candidates.

Though on the other hand, Ventura was an independent while Franken was a democrat, so that could spell trouble for Lindell? Especially if he faces tons of attacks for his connection to Trump (who already endorsed Lindell's potential bid for governor).

Remember this is also the state where a Republican hasn’t won statewide in 14 years.