Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Person Man]

Eh…at least all of Northam’s reforms are protected. Good save on the HoD.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

WaPo finally fixed the error in Frederick, and Virginia Beach is no longer completely in.
Candidate Votes Pct.
Glenn Youngkin GOP 1,582,534 51.0%
Terry McAuliffe DEM 1,496,177 48.3
Princess Blanding OTH 21,760 0.7
An estimated 95% of votes have been counted.

I still think it's Youngkin+1-2.

Youngkin+2 feels like a bit much atm. But at the same time, who knows.
The last 5% will be very crucial, per always.

True, I think it'll be closer to 1 than 2. I feel like this race won't be called until sometime tomorrow.

Yeah.
If it counts for anything Arlington is only 98.3% in.
But yeah, this probably won't be called today.

Chesterfield is the bulk of what's out it seems. It's a 12 point Youngkin lead with 61% in. I think if McAuliffe is unable to get that margin down to 2-3, the race has a good chance of being over I think.

Interesting. I didn't even notice that.
Yeah I don't think I can disagree too much with that, though I probably assume there to be more presumably pro-D votes left than you do. It's up to Chesterfield and them. And those votes will have to be counted.
We might have a recount.

It's possible. If I had to estimate the probabilities, I'd say Youngkin has roughly an 80-85% chance to win based on what's out which I think is fair.

For what it's worth, turnout is a bit higher than 3 million here, which leaves more room for T-Mac - if he can get those votes he needs. I still am not inclined to uncall the race.

[certified hummus supporter 🇵🇸🤝🇺🇸🤝🇺🇦]

88K margin now

[Chips]

I hope NSV is alright. And I don't mean that in a spiteful way.

[Gass3268]

I could end up with egg on my face, but I'm guessing Herring pulls out a very narrow win.

[jojoju1998]

I keep on saying this : But Democrats have to find a better way of talking about working class issues or else they're going to get shut out of the working class for the next 50 years.

[Chips]

I think we'll have to wait for the 39% of Chesterfield still out to start to come in to make an accurate assessment.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I think we'll have to wait for the 39% of Chesterfield still out to start to come in to make an accurate assessment.

^What Chips said.

[Person Man]

I keep on saying this : But Democrats have to find a better way of talking about working class issues or else they're going to get shut out of the working class for the next 50 years.

They need people who actually benefit from them to vote for them.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

I hope NSV is alright. And I don't mean that in a spiteful way.

Why would you feel someone who treated people like sh**t..?

[Southern Reactionary Dem]

Wapo gives Terrance mcawfuliffe 4 Pinocchios for repeatedly inflating covid threat in the commonwealth

https://mobile.twitter.com/MattWolking/status/1452972964551475206

This fear mongering is a sign of a flailing campaign. Could Dems really not find anyone better?

Youngkin has literally been fear mongering this entire campaign...

They are really desperate for talking points on this.  It's going to be hilarious to read this forum when Youngkin loses.

Given that T-Mac is "more vulnerable than Tester" I guess when Youngkin loses it means the Dem senate is safe for 4 years!

LMAO but will he leave?

[Person Man]

Wapo gives Terrance mcawfuliffe 4 Pinocchios for repeatedly inflating covid threat in the commonwealth

https://mobile.twitter.com/MattWolking/status/1452972964551475206

This fear mongering is a sign of a flailing campaign. Could Dems really not find anyone better?

Youngkin has literally been fear mongering this entire campaign...

They are really desperate for talking points on this.  It's going to be hilarious to read this forum when Youngkin loses.

Given that T-Mac is "more vulnerable than Tester" I guess when Youngkin loses it means the Dem senate is safe for 4 years!

LMAO but will he leave?

No one leaves here.

[emailking]

Quick question....

Any intelligent poster here know how Virginia counts Provisional Votes?

Are they included in the initial results, set aside to be counted later, etc....?

Since nobody responded.... here is a follow-up question as someone who has lived in an exclusively VbM state for many years:

How does VA have ballot drop box locations staged?

For example: We voted today in OR and because my wife was working and the only thing on our ballot was an initiative to add $$$ for the local Sheriff's department, we weren't pressed to vote early and my wife dropped them off at a ballot box in the neighboring county.

Naturally these votes would not be included in the initial returns but will be added to the final returns, since dropping a ballot in a designated drop site by 8:00 PM on election Night is considered the vote delivered into the hands of the State Elections division, regardless of whatever county you are living in.

IDK how VA is on all this, especially since they are relatively new to VbM and all that, but I could imagine if VA law is similar there could be potentially 10-20k same day ballots in the most heavily populated regions of VA such as NoVA, metro Richmond, and Tidewater....

Thoughts Atlas Hive???

For some reason a political website where VA avatars are so over-represented, I still haven't seen a single response?

WTF is so difficult about the fundamental questions which I am asking when it comes to how VA counts votes, especially with the shift to mail in ballots?

This is not a College Grad School type question, but apparently the average VA poster has only an HS Educational Level if they can't even address the fundamentals of what could well take this election down to a potential DEM win or recount zone....

Or they just don't care to respond to this?

[One Term Floridian]

Wapo gives Terrance mcawfuliffe 4 Pinocchios for repeatedly inflating covid threat in the commonwealth

https://mobile.twitter.com/MattWolking/status/1452972964551475206

This fear mongering is a sign of a flailing campaign. Could Dems really not find anyone better?

Youngkin has literally been fear mongering this entire campaign...

They are really desperate for talking points on this.  It's going to be hilarious to read this forum when Youngkin loses.

Given that T-Mac is "more vulnerable than Tester" I guess when Youngkin loses it means the Dem senate is safe for 4 years!

LMAO but will he leave?

No one leaves here.

You can check out anytime you like, but you can never leave

[One Term Floridian]

I wonder if Herring can actually pull through. He’s running a full percentage point ahead of McAuliffe. Might be possible if this continues to narrow?

[Chips]

Lead has expanded to 92k.

[GALeftist]

Waiting for Youngkin vs McAuliffe 2025 rematch predictions

One of the very few good things about tonight in Virginia is that now we can count on Youngkin getting out forever in 2025 due to term limits. He could run for Senate in 2026 I guess but I kind of suspect the state will be too left to elect him by that point.

[Associate Justice PiT]

I hope NSV is alright. And I don't mean that in a spiteful way.

Why would you feel someone who treated people like sh**t..?

     We should hope for the best for everyone. Even those who would not do the same for us.

[Chips]

Still no signs of a Chesterfield dump...

[Chips]

I hope NSV is alright. And I don't mean that in a spiteful way.

Why would you feel someone who treated people like sh**t..?

     We should hope for the best for everyone. Even those who would not do the same for us.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Van Jones killing it on CNN, per usual.

[Thunder98]

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I hope NSV is alright. And I don't mean that in a spiteful way.

Why would you feel someone who treated people like sh**t..?

     We should hope for the best for everyone. Even those who would not do the same for us.

I would say charity in general is a virtue, not a vice.

[Chips]

I hope NSV is alright. And I don't mean that in a spiteful way.

Why would you feel someone who treated people like sh**t..?

     We should hope for the best for everyone. Even those who would not do the same for us.

I would say charity in general is a virtue, not a vice.

Agree 100%.

[swf541]

I hope NSV is alright. And I don't mean that in a spiteful way.

Why would you feel someone who treated people like sh**t..?

     We should hope for the best for everyone. Even those who would not do the same for us.