Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[MT Treasurer]

Link?

He’s always doing this, don’t trust anything that hasn’t been posted on the polling boards already.

[jamestroll]

The big lesson here is: There is ZERO chance that Democrats will continue to perform as well as they have during the Trump era with college educated whites.

[Spectator]

The big lesson here is: There is ZERO chance that Democrats will continue to perform as well as they have during the Trump era with college educated whites.

It would really help the signal to noise ratio of this entire thread if you didn’t post anything unless you had some hard facts or logic behind them.

[jamestroll]

The big lesson here is: There is ZERO chance that Democrats will continue to perform as well as they have during the Trump era with college educated whites.

It would really help the signal to noise ratio of this entire thread if you didn’t post anything unless you had some hard facts or logic behind them.

Look at the results of the Georgia Special Elections in January. Oh and of course the result of VA HOD special election in district 2. A district is is nearly unanimously college educated white.

[Tender Branson]

Should be noted:

Trafalgar nailed the R-primary with a poll conducted last week.

[Spectator]

The big lesson here is: There is ZERO chance that Democrats will continue to perform as well as they have during the Trump era with college educated whites.

It would really help the signal to noise ratio of this entire thread if you didn’t post anything unless you had some hard facts or logic behind them.

Look at the results of the Georgia Special Elections in January. Oh and of course the result of VA HOD special election in district 2. A district is is nearly unanimously college educated white.

Then maybe articulate those points instead of spewing brain diarrhea like “Youngkin is going to win by double digits” and “TMAC will win by 3 now”  or “I predict this thread will have 100 pages” every other post. It’s not insightful at all, and really clutters up this thread while contributing nothing to it. It will probably have 100 pages of mostly useless drivel if this keeps up.

[Xing]

 

[President Johnson]

My prediction is that T-Mac will win 53-46%. So not much change from 2017.

[Young Conservative]

Iowa’s gubernatorial election WAS competitive in 2018.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

snip

Iowa’s gubernatorial election WAS competitive in 2018.

This.

[lfromnj]

The big lesson here is: There is ZERO chance that Democrats will continue to perform as well as they have during the Trump era with college educated whites.

It would really help the signal to noise ratio of this entire thread if you didn’t post anything unless you had some hard facts or logic behind them.

Look at the results of the Georgia Special Elections in January. Oh and of course the result of VA HOD special election in district 2. A district is is nearly unanimously college educated white.

HD02 is like 49% CVAP white lol.

[Non Swing Voter]

My predictions:

This thread will end up with 100 pages.

And Terry Mcaufflie will win by 3%. Basically the destined result this entire time

No way.  Just no friggin way that happens.  Not with this GOP crop of losers and Terry at the top of the ticket. 

[Non Swing Voter]

https://www.npr.org/2021/05/10/995715076/virginia-gop-chooses-political-newcomer-youngkin-as-nominee-for-governor

This guy is wildly out of touch with the Virginia general electorate.  He's not diverse.  He does not have an appealing background.  He seems unlikable.  This race is Safe D.

[Gracile]

Iowa’s gubernatorial election WAS competitive in 2018.

An election being close doesn't always mean it's competitive or winnable. Maybe the GOP could get to a 3% loss if the national environment for the Democrats truly falls off, but at a certain point, it becomes challenging to find enough amenable voters to close the gap (as was the case in IA-GOV 2018).

[Woody]

https://www.npr.org/2021/05/10/995715076/virginia-gop-chooses-political-newcomer-youngkin-as-nominee-for-governor

This guy is wildly out of touch with the Virginia general electorate.  He's not diverse.  He does not have an appealing background.  He seems unlikable.  This race is Safe D.

Maybe up in Fake Virginia he is... but in the rest of the state, his policies are more in line with public & more helpful and attractive.

[President Johnson]

https://www.npr.org/2021/05/10/995715076/virginia-gop-chooses-political-newcomer-youngkin-as-nominee-for-governor

This guy is wildly out of touch with the Virginia general electorate.  He's not diverse.  He does not have an appealing background.  He seems unlikable.  This race is Safe D.

Maybe up in Fake Virginia he is... but in the rest of the state, his policies are more in line with public & more helpful and attractive.

Well, but so called "Fake Virginia" makes up a larger share of the population. And that's how elections are won.

[Xing]

Iowa’s gubernatorial election WAS competitive in 2018.

And Virginia's gubernatorial election might've been about as close in 2017 had Clinton won in 2016. And a 3-point loss in a wave year doesn't exactly suggest that a state is still particularly competitive or winnable. Either way, it's 2021, though, and Virginia hasn't gotten any redder.

[slothdem]

https://www.npr.org/2021/05/10/995715076/virginia-gop-chooses-political-newcomer-youngkin-as-nominee-for-governor

This guy is wildly out of touch with the Virginia general electorate.  He's not diverse.  He does not have an appealing background.  He seems unlikable.  This race is Safe D.

Maybe up in Fake Virginia he is... but in the rest of the state, his policies are more in line with public & more helpful and attractive.

Clinton would have beaten Trump in Virginia even if no votes were counted in Arlington, Alexandria, and the "inside the beltway" portion of Fairfax. Biden would have defeated Trump in Virginia even if no votes were counted in Arlington, Alexandria, all of Fairfax, and Prince William. It looks like "Fake Virginia" is growing ever larger each election cycle. Soon there won't be any "Real Virginia" left east of the mountains.

[Duke of York]

https://www.npr.org/2021/05/10/995715076/virginia-gop-chooses-political-newcomer-youngkin-as-nominee-for-governor

This guy is wildly out of touch with the Virginia general electorate.  He's not diverse.  He does not have an appealing background.  He seems unlikable.  This race is Safe D.

Maybe up in Fake Virginia he is... but in the rest of the state, his policies are more in line with public & more helpful and attractive.

Fake Virginia? NOVA is part of the same state and this kind of insults doesn't endear people to vote for your candidates.

elections are won in the most populous counties and hes likely going to do terribly in NOVA the Richmond suburbs and the Hampton Roads. it doesn't;t matter if the rural counties like him., Its not enough to win.

[Spectator]

https://www.npr.org/2021/05/10/995715076/virginia-gop-chooses-political-newcomer-youngkin-as-nominee-for-governor

This guy is wildly out of touch with the Virginia general electorate.  He's not diverse.  He does not have an appealing background.  He seems unlikable.  This race is Safe D.

Maybe up in Fake Virginia he is... but in the rest of the state, his policies are more in line with public & more helpful and attractive.

Clinton would have beaten Trump in Virginia even if no votes were counted in Arlington, Alexandria, and the "inside the beltway" portion of Fairfax. Biden would have defeated Trump in Virginia even if no votes were counted in Arlington, Alexandria, all of Fairfax, and Prince William. It looks like "Fake Virginia" is growing ever larger each election cycle. Soon there won't be any "Real Virginia" left east of the mountains.

And that’s exactly why I can’t think of a path to victory for the GOP. They’d have to turn those 25-30 point losses in Loudoun, PWC, and Henrico County to about single digits, and I don’t see how that’s possible unless Democrats forget to show up. Youngkin can’t squeeze any more than Trump already did out of the rural vote, so to make up the 10 point margin in the state, it has to come from Ivan and suburban Dem-leaning voters being won over.

[wbrocks67]

It seems odd to me that pundits are now pulling a 2017 all over again and saying that the Republican has a good chance, despite all of the empirical and anecdotal evidence suggesting otherwise.

It's not impossible, of course. But just like the pundits were wrong about Northam in 2017, it feels like they're making the same goofs here again.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://www.npr.org/2021/05/10/995715076/virginia-gop-chooses-political-newcomer-youngkin-as-nominee-for-governor

This guy is wildly out of touch with the Virginia general electorate.  He's not diverse.  He does not have an appealing background.  He seems unlikable.  This race is Safe D.

Maybe up in Fake Virginia he is... but in the rest of the state, his policies are more in line with public & more helpful and attractive.

You mean the part of Virginia that pays for the state services you guys use?  that shoulders the tax burden for spiraling downward "real" Virginia? 

I'm sure this multimillionaire is really in touch with you guys.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://www.npr.org/2021/05/10/995715076/virginia-gop-chooses-political-newcomer-youngkin-as-nominee-for-governor

This guy is wildly out of touch with the Virginia general electorate.  He's not diverse.  He does not have an appealing background.  He seems unlikable.  This race is Safe D.

Maybe up in Fake Virginia he is... but in the rest of the state, his policies are more in line with public & more helpful and attractive.

Well, but so called "Fake Virginia" makes up a larger share of the population. And that's how elections are won.

Republicans like SirWoodbury don't actually believe in democracy.

[Duke of York]

https://www.npr.org/2021/05/10/995715076/virginia-gop-chooses-political-newcomer-youngkin-as-nominee-for-governor

This guy is wildly out of touch with the Virginia general electorate.  He's not diverse.  He does not have an appealing background.  He seems unlikable.  This race is Safe D.

Maybe up in Fake Virginia he is... but in the rest of the state, his policies are more in line with public & more helpful and attractive.

Well, but so called "Fake Virginia" makes up a larger share of the population. And that's how elections are won.

Republicans like SirWoodbury don't actually believe in democracy.

especially when you call a region of the state fake.

[Progressive Pessimist]

McAuliffe will win by at least 5%.

The Virginia GOP is lucky that they didn't nominate Chase, but all that's really worth is them losing by less than an absolute blowout.