FL-SEN 2022: Nothing to see here

[wbrocks67]

Stuff like this, to me, is why you see Rubio underperforming DeSantis and Demings inching closer

https://twitter.com/LeahFeiger/status/1572919820831571969

[UWS]

As this advertisement indicates, in the context of the Border Crisis at the US-Mexico border which saw a record-high two million illegal immigrants that have crossed the border in the past year, 100,000 Americans died of drug overdoses (surpassing all previous records), Demings has referred to the Border Crisis as a “seasonal thing”.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JGLRTe5XHJg

https://www.webmd.com/mental-health/addiction/news/20220512/drug-overdose-deaths-top-100000-for-first-time

A Border Crisis that sees over two million illegal immigrants crossing the border last year, saw 203,598 migrant encounters at the border in August, saw an increase of the migrant encounters by 400,000 from FY 2021 to FY 2022, 12 arrests on the FBI’s Terror Watchlist at the southern border that brought the total for FY 2022 to 78 people (a triple of the previous five years combined) and caused 100,000 overdose deaths isn’t a seasonal thing. It’s a very serious and deadly crisis that requires securing the border for the sake of America’s security.

That is another example of Demings’ incredibly weak record on immigration that is also displayed by her call for open borders and her vote against reporting illegal immigrants to ICE while her colleague Stephanie Murphy voted yes. She refused to condemn the calls from the radical left to abolish ICE. She called to for closure of key ICE Detention Center, the Glades County Detention Center in Moore Haven, Florida

https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/201998

https://www.numbersusa.org/news/house-approves-pro-ice-resolution

https://townhall.com/tipsheet/madelineleesman/2021/07/29/val-demmings-ice-detention-center-n2593295?fbclid=IwAR3PqglmQh8o2v7AyQTngZJ0_DnCAqMxbrQLXl9O1m9nJnx0-lCRj7Z-Sec

In 2018, she voted against a bill providing funding for infrastructure, law enforcement, and border security, including funds for a border wall along the southern border and voted against a bill that would have provided nearly $1.6 billion in funding for the U.S. Department of Homeland Security, specifically, U.S. Customs and Border Protection. In 2019, Demings called President Trump’s southern border wall "an absurd waste of money and a violation of our values as a nation of immigrants," and she voted "yes" to terminate his declaration of an emergency at the border, which freed up billions in funding for the wall.

https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/2018297

https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/2017435

While Ron DeSantis signed laws to eliminate sanctuary cities, Demings supports Sanctuary Cities. In fact, Demings voted against a bill that would make it easier to deport illegal immigrants who are suspected of gang activity and also against a bill that would restrict taxpayer grant money to sanctuary cities.

https://justfacts.votesmart.org/bill/23224/60153/137637/no-sanctuary-for-criminals-act#60153

Demings advocated for ending Title 42 and wants to allow terrorists just like Isnardo Garcia-Amado arrested in May into our society.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/rep-val-demings-title-42-covid-numbers-down

https://www.foxnews.com/us/border-patrol-released-suspected-terrorist-ice-rearrest-weeks

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This is gonna be a major upset Demings Winning

[bagelman]

Narrator: And he lost 0 votes for doing so.

.... Florida is an incredibly pro-choice state. Not sure how this tracks.

Not just that, but Rubio signed on to this but also supports a complete ban as well

Agreed, Rubio will lose votes for this. But it won't matter. It will never be enough to flip Florida.

Safe R -> Safe R with a less impressive margin.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not safe R Civiq just polled this race Rubio +2 and that's not Safe R

[2016]

bagelman,
You are complete bonkers. Rubio always said that he supports Excemptions for Abortions while Extremist Val Demings supports Abortions until just before birth.
Floridas Abortion Ban is in line with most European Countries like France and Germany.

Demings, like the other Extremist Democrats, is running a single issue Campaign on abortion because she has nothing else to run on. She truly voted 100 % with the Pelosi/Schumer/Biden/Harris Agenda since Biden was inaugurated and voted 100 % with Democrats even before Biden became President..
You can do that if you are running for Orlando Police Chief or in a D+30 PVI Seat but not Statewide in a big State like Florida with a much more diverse Electorate.

Not having a real Primary Opponent like Demings, Beasley and Barnes had and therefore not being properly vetted by the Voters will hurt all 3 Candidates and we are seeing that now with Barnes and Demings.

Finally there are a lot more issues on the ballot in Florida then just abortion and Rubio is leading on all those such as Inflation, Crime, the Border, etc.

I do think Rubio probably would have lost in 2018 so he is a little bit lucky his Seat wasn't up for Reelection back then. But now with a neutral to tilt R Environment + a 287K Registration Edge by Republicans it has become near impossible for someone like Demings to win. Her ceiling is about 45-47 % and that's what she will be getting in November. It's now Rubios Race to lose.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Barnes and Beasley and Ryan are tied or Leading all their races Rubio benefits because he take Latino votes away from Ds not Blk votes that otherwise go D that's why if Gwen Graham runs she will beat Rick Scott

[Unelectable Bystander]

https://twitter.com/orlandosentinel/status/1570083454448181248

In one of the poll threads I made the argument that Rubio would not lose any support for this and I’m going to acknowledge that this was correct given that he has actually increased his polling average lead by half a point since that time.

This to me says a few things:

-Democrats are way overestimating the effect of this issue on people like Rubio who sponsor the 15 week law or say they are personally against it in all cases

-Most on here, including Trump republicans, have an unrealistic view of Rubio’s skills and underestimate him. Sure there are pro-republican demographic trends in Florida, but being up by 5 in the Florida polling average is an incredible performance. This was considered a 50-50 state until last year and generally nobody wins a blowout.

I also don’t think the comparisons to DeSantis are fair. That is a state-level race and he has his own unique characteristics. Take any other GOP candidate and put them in a Florida senate race. They are more likely to have a razor thin race than to win by DeSantis margins.

[2016]

Two fantastic Ads by Rubio
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QRV8Ki_wcFg

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a9ifMJLZFaw

Marco just loves kiddos

And generally speaking Rubio has one of the hottest Wifes in the entire Congress

[Brittain33]

New thread title for the last few weeks? Rubio running for re-election isn’t that newsworthy

[2016]

Very big Deal: COOK moves FL SEN from Lean R to Likely R.

[Hope For A New Era]

Debate tonight. How's it looking?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

5 pts isn't likely R Rubio was leading 46/41 not by 11 in the last poll

It's a 303 map anyways what was it in 2012 RH and DS and PVI 51/47 D and 65/60M but Ryan, Barnes, FRANKEN and McMULLIN are tied or keading

[GeorgiaModerate]

Very big Deal: COOK moves FL SEN from Lean R to Likely R.

I always thought Lean was a bit of a stretch here.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Very big Deal: COOK moves FL SEN from Lean R to Likely R.

I always thought Lean was a bit of a stretch here.

Ah yes the fabulous Cook ratings that wrongly had AK Tilt R the maps are blank on Eday AK proves that we can win red states

2016 points to ratings but he believes and other Rs believe that Rs can Buck the blue wall and overcome ratings like MT Treasure has AZ and NV Lean R its his choice but maps are blank on Eday I don't go by rankings and didn't the rankings have Ds net gained H seats in 2020, we lost seats that's for your rankings

It's a 303 map anyways because the PVI is going by 2012 51/47 and that was a 303 map and every Pollsters except NY Times like Morning Consult has it 51/47 but we can get any wave insurance map, we never get the same map every Eday

[2016]

Very big Deal: COOK moves FL SEN from Lean R to Likely R.

I always thought Lean was a bit of a stretch here.

Rubio ABSOLUTELY DESTROYED Val Demings tonight. He said he is not ashamned calling them crazy, socialist, etc. He drew a lot of laughter, applause and was very funny too. Demings looked heresy, raspy IMO.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs are losing all the 303 states and FL is a red state they are supposed to win it especially when Rubio takes away Latino vote that otherwise go D

But it's votes that count what happened to the Cook rating in AK R, it didn't even matter maps are blank on Edays

[7,052,770]

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1582521103477788672

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1582521103477788672

I actually watched a clip of that particular exchange. Demings, whether you agree with her or not, is clearly passionate and genuine about her beliefs.

[2016]

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1582521103477788672

I actually watched a clip of that particular exchange. Demings, whether you agree with her or not, is clearly passionate and genuine about her beliefs.

Demings is a RADICAL. The 15-Week Abortion Ban is "normal" in many of Countries of the world except of course in the United States. Germany, France, you name it have all Abortion Restrictions.

Demings came over as too angry.

[Calthrina950]

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1582521103477788672

I actually watched a clip of that particular exchange. Demings, whether you agree with her or not, is clearly passionate and genuine about her beliefs.

Demings is a RADICAL. The 15-Week Abortion Ban is "normal" in many of Countries of the world except of course in the United States. Germany, France, you name it have all Abortion Restrictions.

Demings came over as too angry.

Again, I don't agree with Demings on these issues. I was saying that she's passionate about what she believes.

[7,052,770]

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1582521103477788672

I actually watched a clip of that particular exchange. Demings, whether you agree with her or not, is clearly passionate and genuine about her beliefs.

Demings is a RADICAL. The 15-Week Abortion Ban is "normal" in many of Countries of the world except of course in the United States. Germany, France, you name it have all Abortion Restrictions.

Demings came over as too angry.

I think you're being disingenuous when you compare the Republican "15 week ban" plan to what's in place in Germany and France. The two situations are not comparable.

[South Dakota Democrat]

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1582521103477788672

I actually watched a clip of that particular exchange. Demings, whether you agree with her or not, is clearly passionate and genuine about her beliefs.

Demings is a RADICAL. The 15-Week Abortion Ban is "normal" in many of Countries of the world except of course in the United States. Germany, France, you name it have all Abortion Restrictions.

Demings came over as too angry.

Ah, here comes the angry black woman trope.

[Not Me, Us]

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1582521103477788672

I actually watched a clip of that particular exchange. Demings, whether you agree with her or not, is clearly passionate and genuine about her beliefs.

Demings is a RADICAL. The 15-Week Abortion Ban is "normal" in many of Countries of the world except of course in the United States. Germany, France, you name it have all Abortion Restrictions.

Demings came over as too angry.

This talking point is so strange to me. Just because other countries insist on restricting women's right to choose doesn't mean America should. If you're anti-choice on bullsh*it religious grounds, just say so, don't hide behind the restrictive nonsense of other countries.

[2016]

https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1582521103477788672

I actually watched a clip of that particular exchange. Demings, whether you agree with her or not, is clearly passionate and genuine about her beliefs.

Demings is a RADICAL. The 15-Week Abortion Ban is "normal" in many of Countries of the world except of course in the United States. Germany, France, you name it have all Abortion Restrictions.

Demings came over as too angry.

This talking point is so strange to me. Just because other countries insist on restricting women's right to choose doesn't mean America should. If you're anti-choice on bullsh*it religious grounds, just say so, don't hide behind the restrictive nonsense of other countries.

You don't understand. Demings supports no Restrictions at all. She wants Abortion right up until birth. That is unfortunately the view the vast Majority of the Democratic Party holds now. That is radical and dangerous killing innocent babies.