How many CDs has Biden won? (user search)
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  How many CDs has Biden won? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How many CDs has Biden won?  (Read 17169 times)
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« on: November 09, 2020, 08:31:45 AM »
IA-02 is Trump/Dem if Hart wins, IA-03 is probably Trump/Dem as well
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 09, 2020, 10:26:49 AM »
Quote from: Skill and Chance on November 09, 2020, 10:25:58 AM
Biden undoubtedly flipped GA-06 and GA-07.  Did he flip VA-07?

Yes.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2020, 10:37:43 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 09, 2020, 09:57:14 AM
Quote from: Senator Ernst on November 09, 2020, 08:31:45 AM
IA-02 is Trump/Dem if Hart wins, IA-03 is probably Trump/Dem as well

Biden may have won IA-3. Axne won by a decent amount, it's the most "urban" of the IA districts, and most of the parts of the district that swung towards Trump were very low population. I think IA-3 is prolly very very close, but ye, Trump prolly did win IA-1 and IA-2 again, probably by slightly larger margins than last time.

Yep, it's very close. Trump won IA-03 by 563 votes. Also he won both IA-01 and IA-02 by 4%.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #3 on: November 09, 2020, 10:41:34 AM »
Trump won WI-03 by 4.6%. Congressman Ron Kind (D) won reelection by 2.8%.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #4 on: November 09, 2020, 10:45:43 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 09, 2020, 10:43:00 AM
Quote from: Senator Ernst on November 09, 2020, 10:41:34 AM
Trump won WI-03 by 4.6%. Congressman Ron Kind (D) won reelection by 2.8%.

Where are you getting this data?

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1324162971468259334
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #5 on: November 09, 2020, 10:55:13 AM »
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #6 on: November 10, 2020, 06:35:22 AM »
Did Trump win Slotkin's district?
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #7 on: November 10, 2020, 11:51:41 AM »
Slotkin said Trump won MI-08.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #8 on: November 11, 2020, 04:35:07 AM »
Who won IL-14 (Underwood's district)?
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #9 on: November 11, 2020, 02:08:18 PM »
Quote from: Bootes Void on November 11, 2020, 02:06:38 PM
Underwood ahead by 3000 votes with 99% reporting(google). Looks like she will hang on

Oh I meant at the presidential level
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #10 on: November 13, 2020, 03:33:32 PM »
Trump carried NM-02 by 12%.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #11 on: November 13, 2020, 06:51:37 PM »
Biden carried TX-24 by 5.4%.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #12 on: November 13, 2020, 07:30:17 PM »

It seems like literally every non-incumbent Dem underperformed Biden by 4-6 points. Very interesting.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #13 on: November 13, 2020, 07:54:22 PM »
« Edited: November 13, 2020, 07:59:49 PM by #SaveTheSenate »
Trump carried OK-05 by 6.6% (Trump +13.4 in 2016). Stephanie Bice (R) defeated incumbent Kendra Horn (D) by 4.1%.

Other districts:
OK-01: Trump +22.8 (+28.7 in 2016)
OK-02: Trump +53.9 (+50.1 in 2016)
OK-03: Trump +51.4 (+52.7 in 2016)
OK-04: Trump +33.0 (+37.4 in 2016)
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #14 on: November 14, 2020, 11:37:16 AM »


Peter Meijer (R) won 53-47.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #15 on: November 14, 2020, 02:28:00 PM »
TX-22: Trump +1
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #16 on: November 14, 2020, 03:59:47 PM »
Biden carried MI-05 by 4%.

https://twitter.com/im_sorry_wtf/status/1327715755572432896
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #17 on: November 14, 2020, 04:12:11 PM »
FL-26: Trump +5
FL-27: Biden +3

https://twitter.com/mcimaps/status/1323912378472423424
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #18 on: November 14, 2020, 06:53:57 PM »
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #19 on: November 15, 2020, 01:38:57 PM »
WI districts:

WI-01: Trump +9.5 (Trump +10.3 in 2016)
WI-02: Biden +40.0 (Clinton +36.3)
WI-03: Trump +4.6 (Trump +4.5)
WI-04: Biden +52.0 (Clinton +51.5)
WI-05: Trump +15.0 (Trump +19.8
WI-06: Trump +15.2 (Trump +16.6)
WI-07: Trump +19.8 (Trump +20.3)
WI-08: Trump +15.9 (Trump +17.4)

https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1328024183947882497
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #20 on: November 16, 2020, 04:55:03 AM »
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #21 on: November 16, 2020, 10:23:37 AM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 16, 2020, 06:28:56 AM
Quote from: #SaveTheSenate on November 16, 2020, 04:55:03 AM


Why do you suppose that is, VAR? (As in why did AR-03 shift comparatively leftwards from 2016?)

Northwest Arkansas/Fayetteville metro swung to Clinton in 2016 as well. This year, Washington County, which includes Fayetteville, went from Trump +10 to Trump +4. Suburban Benton County went from Trump +34 to Trump +26. The rurals didn't swing R nearly enough, which is why it shifted 7% leftwards.

Little Rock suburbs (AR-02), though, barely swung to Biden.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #22 on: November 16, 2020, 01:30:44 PM »


If this is accurate, then Richard Hudson underperformed Trump in NC-08.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #23 on: November 16, 2020, 06:52:49 PM »
Biden lost FL-25 by 22 points. Trump +2 in 2016.
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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


« Reply #24 on: November 17, 2020, 04:06:20 AM »
PA-08: Trump +4.4
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