How many CDs has Biden won?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 02:01:17 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  How many CDs has Biden won?
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 12
Author Topic: How many CDs has Biden won?  (Read 17006 times)
Bootes Void
iamaganster123
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,682
Canada


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 09, 2020, 03:44:16 AM »

Congressional districts? I believe he has won 225 or so so far but I'm not sure. I don't think there were that many Trump/dem CDs
Logged
Starry Eyed Jagaloon
Blairite
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,853
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 09, 2020, 03:46:52 AM »

I don't think there were that many Trump/dem CDs

There were a few. ME-02 and PA-08 immediately come to mind.
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,536
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2020, 06:50:57 AM »
« Edited: November 09, 2020, 06:54:28 AM by JerryArkansas »

I don't think there were that many Trump/dem CDs

There were a few. ME-02 and PA-08 immediately come to mind.
I know TX 34 is one too, unless the late ballots flipped it back.

It also has a few Biden/reps too.  I know 2nd, 10th, 23rd (surprising given the rio collapse), and 24th.
Logged
Ferguson97
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,801
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 09, 2020, 08:25:42 AM »

Only Biden/Rep district that immediately comes to mind is Nebraska’s 2nd
Logged
Alben Barkley
KYWildman
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,282
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.97, S: -5.74

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 09, 2020, 08:28:51 AM »

Only Biden/Rep district that immediately comes to mind is Nebraska’s 2nd

Funny how that and ME-02 worked out, huh?

Immediate and obvious proof that ticket-splitting ain't dead, for better or worse.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 09, 2020, 08:31:45 AM »

IA-02 is Trump/Dem if Hart wins, IA-03 is probably Trump/Dem as well
Logged
Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,983
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 09, 2020, 08:55:36 AM »
« Edited: November 09, 2020, 09:04:07 AM by Roll Roons »

Only Biden/Rep district that immediately comes to mind is Nebraska’s 2nd

PA-01 and (almost certainly) NY-24 also do. How many Biden/R districts were there in Texas?
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,569


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 09, 2020, 09:43:36 AM »

This was 2016:



224-211

My guess is that number roughly flips on it's head
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,522
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 09, 2020, 09:54:19 AM »
« Edited: November 09, 2020, 10:25:06 AM by Skill and Chance »

Only Biden/Rep district that immediately comes to mind is Nebraska’s 2nd

PA-01 and (almost certainly) NY-24 also do. How many Biden/R districts were there in Texas?

I think just TX-24?  TX-23 looks like it flipped to Trump unless its part of Bexar swung really hard to Biden.

Are we sure Biden didn't flip PA-08?  He did 5% better than Clinton in Lackawanna and Monroe and also improved in the safe Trump NEPA counties.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,569


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 09, 2020, 09:57:14 AM »

IA-02 is Trump/Dem if Hart wins, IA-03 is probably Trump/Dem as well

Biden may have won IA-3. Axne won by a decent amount, it's the most "urban" of the IA districts, and most of the parts of the district that swung towards Trump were very low population. I think IA-3 is prolly very very close, but ye, Trump prolly did win IA-1 and IA-2 again, probably by slightly larger margins than last time.
Logged
Wiz in Wis
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,711


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 09, 2020, 10:03:56 AM »

I think I read somewhere that Biden won Connor Lamb's district too.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,522
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 09, 2020, 10:09:53 AM »

IA-02 is Trump/Dem if Hart wins, IA-03 is probably Trump/Dem as well

Biden may have won IA-3. Axne won by a decent amount, it's the most "urban" of the IA districts, and most of the parts of the district that swung towards Trump were very low population. I think IA-3 is prolly very very close, but ye, Trump prolly did win IA-1 and IA-2 again, probably by slightly larger margins than last time.

I'm surprised the open seat was closer than Finkenauer's seat.  What happened there?
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,569


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 09, 2020, 10:22:15 AM »

IA-02 is Trump/Dem if Hart wins, IA-03 is probably Trump/Dem as well

Biden may have won IA-3. Axne won by a decent amount, it's the most "urban" of the IA districts, and most of the parts of the district that swung towards Trump were very low population. I think IA-3 is prolly very very close, but ye, Trump prolly did win IA-1 and IA-2 again, probably by slightly larger margins than last time.

I'm surprised the open seat was closer than Finkenauer's seat.  What happened there?

IA-1 is basically entirely rural, and as I suspected, higher turnout would cause Trump to continue to make gains in rural IA, since the higher the turnout, the lower the educational attainment is. Many of these people are straight ticket partisans who probably don't even know who Finkenauer was.
Logged
Skill and Chance
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,522
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 09, 2020, 10:25:58 AM »

Biden undoubtedly flipped GA-06 and GA-07.  Did he flip VA-07?
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 09, 2020, 10:26:49 AM »

Biden undoubtedly flipped GA-06 and GA-07.  Did he flip VA-07?

Yes.
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,217


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 09, 2020, 10:27:55 AM »

Tx 23 might be an anti bellwether district this decade. I'm not sure how the Bexar portion went  though.
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 09, 2020, 10:37:43 AM »

IA-02 is Trump/Dem if Hart wins, IA-03 is probably Trump/Dem as well

Biden may have won IA-3. Axne won by a decent amount, it's the most "urban" of the IA districts, and most of the parts of the district that swung towards Trump were very low population. I think IA-3 is prolly very very close, but ye, Trump prolly did win IA-1 and IA-2 again, probably by slightly larger margins than last time.

Yep, it's very close. Trump won IA-03 by 563 votes. Also he won both IA-01 and IA-02 by 4%.


Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 09, 2020, 10:41:34 AM »

Trump won WI-03 by 4.6%. Congressman Ron Kind (D) won reelection by 2.8%.
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,217


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 09, 2020, 10:42:16 AM »

Trump won WI-03 by 4.6%. Congressman Ron Kind (D) won reelection by 2.8%.
Ouch better than last time.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,569


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 09, 2020, 10:43:00 AM »

Trump won WI-03 by 4.6%. Congressman Ron Kind (D) won reelection by 2.8%.

Where are you getting this data?
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 09, 2020, 10:45:43 AM »

Trump won WI-03 by 4.6%. Congressman Ron Kind (D) won reelection by 2.8%.

Where are you getting this data?

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1324162971468259334
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,569


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 09, 2020, 10:46:36 AM »


Thanks
Logged
VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,755
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 09, 2020, 10:55:13 AM »

Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,569


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 09, 2020, 11:06:53 AM »

Also, I think it's crazy how different the CD map looked just a few years ago with Obama in 2012:



Crazy to see rural IA/WI/MN so blue and districts like GA-6, GA-7, and whole bunch of districts in TX, and other suburban districts safe R. Amazing how much these things can shift in just the course of 4 years.
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,217


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 09, 2020, 12:13:42 PM »

NV 3rd was an Obama Trump district albiet it only trended like 0.2 points R. Pretty Confident Biden won it this year just as he won MN02/NH1 which are 2 very similar districts. However I wonder if Trump won NV 4th,I say no but there is a slight chance there.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 12  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.044 seconds with 13 queries.