How many CDs has Biden won?

[Roll Roons]

Only Biden/Rep district that immediately comes to mind is Nebraska’s 2nd

PA-01 and (almost certainly) NY-24 also do. How many Biden/R districts were there in Texas?

[Roll Roons]

Right now, between confirmed flips and eyeballing results, I have the following districts as Trump-Biden:
AZ-01
GA-06
GA-07
IL-14
MI-11
MN-02
NE-02
NV-03
NH-01
NJ-05
NJ-11
NY-18
PA-17
TX-24
VA-02
VA-07

The only Clinton-Trump district I for sure know of is FL-26. What other districts flipped in both directions?

[Roll Roons]

Right now, between confirmed flips and eyeballing results, I have the following districts as Trump-Biden:
AZ-01
GA-06
GA-07
IL-14
MI-11
MN-02
NE-02
NV-03
NH-01
NJ-05
NJ-11
NY-18
PA-17
TX-24
VA-02
VA-07

The only Clinton-Trump district I for sure know of is FL-26. What other districts flipped in both directions?

Some potential flips:

Clinton - Trump:
TX-23

Trump - Biden:
IA-1
NJ-3
TX-3

Re-elected Abby Finkenauer agrees.

I think I saw that all Iowa districts voted for Trump (IA-3 was actually the closest and was decided by 0.1%) and that TX-3 did as well.

Yeah, Trump won all four districts in Iowa again. TX-24 was the only Trump-Biden district in Texas, as Biden lost TX-02, TX-03, TX-10, TX-21 and TX-22 by around 1-2 points each. Not sure about the margins in TX-06, TX-25 and TX-31.

NJ-03 is possible, since Burlington and Ocean both swung about 5 points left. Though I think Trump probably won NJ-02.

[Roll Roons]

Right now, between confirmed flips and eyeballing results, I have the following districts as Trump-Biden:
AZ-01
GA-06
GA-07
IL-14
MI-11
MN-02
NE-02
NV-03
NH-01
NJ-05
NJ-11
NY-18
PA-17
TX-24
VA-02
VA-07

The only Clinton-Trump district I for sure know of is FL-26. What other districts flipped in both directions?

Some potential flips:

Clinton - Trump:
TX-23

Trump - Biden:
IA-1
NJ-3
TX-3

Re-elected Abby Finkenauer agrees.

I think I saw that all Iowa districts voted for Trump (IA-3 was actually the closest and was decided by 0.1%) and that TX-3 did as well.

Yeah, Trump won all four districts in Iowa again. TX-24 was the only Trump-Biden district in Texas, as Biden lost TX-02, TX-03, TX-10, TX-21 and TX-22 by around 1-2 points each. Not sure about the margins in TX-06, TX-25 and TX-31.

NJ-03 is possible, since Burlington and Ocean both swung about 5 points left. Though I think Trump probably won NJ-02.

How about Ohio? Did Biden flip any districts or did he only win the usual four?

Possibly OH-01, but I don't think he won any others.

[Roll Roons]

OK, it seems Trump did win TX-23, but by only 2%. Biden won the Bexar portion by 4.4%, Trump won it by 3 in 2016 IIRC.

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1328564452199895040

Hillary won TX-23. Hurd, Katko and Fitz were the only Clinton district Republicans after 2018.

[Roll Roons]

OK, it seems Trump did win TX-23, but by only 2%. Biden won the Bexar portion by 4.4%, Trump won it by 3 in 2016 IIRC.

https://twitter.com/OryxMaps/status/1328564452199895040

Hillary won TX-23. Hurd, Katko and Fitz were the only Clinton district Republicans after 2018.

I was referring to the Bexar portion, which is basically San Antonio suburbs, not the entire district.

Ah, got it. Yeah in that case, those RGV swings toward Trump really were wild.

[Roll Roons]

Florida

Interesting how Matt Gaetz' district had the biggest leftward swing.

Man, South Florida was just so brutal for Biden.

[Roll Roons]

MI-06 went to Trump by under 5 points, but Fred Upton outran him by 11:

https://twitter.com/im_sorry_wtf/status/1330184763680944128

[Roll Roons]

Also maybe this was already brought up, but what congressional district had the strongest leftward shift at the presidential level? I assume the strongest rightward shift was probably either a Cuban district in Florida or a fajita strip in the RGV.

[Roll Roons]

It appears that Trump won NJ-03 by 0.2%. God, Richter sucked so hard.

https://twitter.com/ECaliberSeven/status/1331097523562352643

[Roll Roons]

It appears that Trump won NJ-03 by 0.2%. God, Richter sucked so hard.

https://twitter.com/ECaliberSeven/status/1331097523562352643

I think you mean that Andy Kim is an unbeatable demigod.

I will say that he's a very nice guy.

[Roll Roons]

Utah:

https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/1331397731752038410

[Roll Roons]

Connecticut:

https://twitter.com/SenhorRaposa/status/1331414670209654785

very fitting that D gains among wealthier white voters have made CT-04 the most pro-Biden district in the state.

Doubly so when the district's former longtime GOP congressman is a staunch never-Trumper who endorsed Biden. If anything, Chris Shays epitomizes the politics of this area so well.

[Roll Roons]

Washington:

https://twitter.com/SenhorRaposa/status/1331721584596422659

I'm actually kinda surprised WA-3 was that close.

And of course JHB outran Trump by 10 points. Now that I think about it, which GOP House incumbents DIDN’T run ahead of Trump? Jim Hagedorn is the only one I know of.

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/BenJKest/status/1333549368004194304

NJ-05 was Biden +5. Gottheimer outperformed him by just over 2 points, but still ran significantly behind his 2018 performance. 

[Roll Roons]

Trump won NY-01 by 4%.

Huh. I wonder if there's a chance Biden won NY-02 even though Garbarino held it by 7.

[Roll Roons]

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/05/adam-kinzinger-trump-criticism-443043

No exact numbers, but this article says Adam Kinzinger outperformed Trump in his district by about a dozen points. Kinzinger won 65-35.

[Roll Roons]

Biden will likely win either 225 or 226 districts, most likely 225.

I have him getting 224 at a minimum:
https://www.270towin.com/2020-house-election/v5PQDQa.

At least 9 districts (CA-21, CA-25, CA-39, CA-48, FL-27, NE-02, NY-24, PA-01, TX-24) voted Biden and R for Congress, while 6 (IA-03, ME-02, MI-08, NJ-03, PA-08, WI-03) went Trump and D for Congress.

NY-02 went R for Congress, but given the swing in Suffolk, I think there's a chance Biden won it. And of course, the congressional race in NY-22 is unresolved. 

[Roll Roons]

Biden will likely win either 225 or 226 districts, most likely 225.

I have him getting 224 at a minimum:
https://www.270towin.com/2020-house-election/v5PQDQa.

At least 9 districts (CA-21, CA-25, CA-39, CA-48, FL-27, NE-02, NY-24, PA-01, TX-24) voted Biden and R for Congress, while 6 (IA-03, ME-02, MI-08, NJ-03, PA-08, WI-03) went Trump and D for Congress.

NY-02 went R for Congress, but given the swing in Suffolk, I think there's a chance Biden won it. And of course, the congressional race in NY-22 is unresolved. 

IL-17 went Trump/Dem as well I think (or at least, it certainly voted D for Congress, while you have it as Trump/Rep on your map).

You're right - I forgot about that one.

[Roll Roons]

Not surprised that Biden did worse in CA-21. It's mostly Hispanic and has a relatively low college-educated percentage - exactly the kind of place where Trump would be expected to improve.

[Roll Roons]

Results in MD:
https://twitter.com/greggiroux/status/1336778339508510721

Unsurprisingly, Trump only won MD-01, based on the Eastern Shore, although he did significantly worse there compared to 2016.

Somehow, there were people who split their ticket between Biden and Andy Harris. I get the people who voted Biden and split for Fitzpatrick or Katko, but Andy Harris is a far-right nutjob who loves Orban and refused to denounce QAnon. Someone explain this.

[Roll Roons]

Scott Perry outperforming Trump is another one that doesn't make much sense. Isn't he a Freedom Caucus guy?

[Roll Roons]

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=5mv4

Does this map seem accurate?

MI-08 narrowly went for Trump, and I think it's possible that NY-02 narrowly went for Biden. Other than that, yes.

[Roll Roons]

Biden carried CO-06 by 19%.

Trump carried MN-01 by only 10%. He won it by 15% in 2016.

That underscores why those two states swung so hard to the left.