How many CDs has Biden won?

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

I don't think there were that many Trump/dem CDs

There were a few. ME-02 and PA-08 immediately come to mind.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

I’m guessing that if Douglas County as a whole was so close, he probably even got close to winning the DougCo part of the district.
I am eager for Colorado precinct data.

Biden probably won it outright. Isn't that the most Dem-favoring area of the county? It looks like Crow won it 49-48 according to the NYT.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Maybe Rs will draw Soto out instead of Murphy

It would be smarter.

You overrate how easy it is to cut Orlando from 3 Dem to 2 Dem districts while Florida adds 2 districts overall. It's almost certainly not possible to do without a Jacksonville swing seat. Otherwise, all the surrounding territory which is also compensating for parts of Tampa jut gets too close for comfort.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

GA-11: Trump +14 (Trump +25 in 2016)

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1329978054681235456

PSA to the Republicans angling for 10-4 in GA. These Atlanta-Appalachia seats you keep wanting to draw have swung 10-15 points towards Biden from Clinton '16 alone, and in every single election for the past decade+, metro Atlanta has moved left. Gerrymander at your own risk!

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

GA-11: Trump +14 (Trump +25 in 2016)

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1329978054681235456

PSA to the Republicans angling for 10-4 in GA. These Atlanta-Appalachia seats you keep wanting to draw have swung 10-15 points towards Biden from Clinton '16 alone, and in every single election for the past decade+, metro Atlanta has moved left. Gerrymander at your own risk!

I think the Republicans will probably cede the Gwinnett seat and try to crack Cobb, I'm genuinely not sure if it'll last the decade though.

The wisest thing they could do would be to try to flip GA-02 and instead concede 5 seats in the Atlanta area (4 would need to be black majority CVAP for this to hold up in court).

I don't think you can "trade-out" VRA seats to hit some quota. It doesn't work like that.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

5 seats in Atlanta is a fair map lol.

Uh-uh. 7 seats in Atlanta is a fair map. It's half the state. One (Milton, Forsyth) would lean R but be cancelled by the Columbus/Macon seat for 7-7 statewide.