More likely to be replaced by a member of the opposing party?
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  More likely to be replaced by a member of the opposing party?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: This is in the case of retirement or resignation.
#1
Phil Scott (R-VT)
#2
Susan Collins (R-ME)
#3
Joe Manchin (D-WV)
#4
Sherrod Brown (D-OH)
#5
John Bel Edwards (D-LA)
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Partisan results

Author Topic: More likely to be replaced by a member of the opposing party?  (Read 352 times)
Never Made it to Graceland
Crane
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
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Israel


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« on: November 09, 2020, 12:26:44 AM »
I'm going to guess Manchin or Edwards.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 09, 2020, 12:29:33 AM »
Manchin's seat is gone in 2024. Even if it were just blue enough for him to eke out another victory (it's not, by the way), I don't think anyone other WVDEM would be sufficiently popular to match his numbers at this point (maybe Earl Ray Tomblin?).

At least for the rest, it isn't quite guaranteed. Given the Democratic trend in Maine, Collins -> Democrat would seem the most likely of the changes.
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One Term Floridian
swamiG
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« Reply #2 on: November 09, 2020, 01:31:13 AM »
Phil Scott (R-VT) will likely be replaced by Phil Scott (D-VT) within a year. Calling it
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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United States


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E: -4.90, S: -4.17

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« Reply #3 on: November 09, 2020, 04:17:00 AM »
In case of immediate resignation, literally all of them will be replaced by an opposing party member.

Otherwise Manchin is the one closest to 100%.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #4 on: November 09, 2020, 05:04:24 AM »
Manchin and Jon Tester will lose against Rosendale in a 2024 rematch. The way MT went decisively against ALL STAR BULLOCK doesn't give Tester any comfort in 2024
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smoltchanov
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Russian Federation


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« Reply #5 on: November 09, 2020, 08:10:30 AM »
Quote from: bagelman on November 09, 2020, 04:17:00 AM
In case of immediate resignation, literally all of them will be replaced by an opposing party member.

Otherwise Manchin is the one closest to 100%.

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Stranger in a strange land
strangeland
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« Reply #6 on: November 09, 2020, 10:15:12 AM »
All of them, but Manchin is the only one who's a guarantee
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Red Wall
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« Reply #7 on: November 09, 2020, 02:13:58 PM »
The one who holds federal office on a state that voted for the opposing party by 40 points.
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andjey
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: November 09, 2020, 05:05:53 PM »
Quote from: smoltchanov on November 09, 2020, 08:10:30 AM
Quote from: bagelman on November 09, 2020, 04:17:00 AM
In case of immediate resignation, literally all of them will be replaced by an opposing party member.

Otherwise Manchin is the one closest to 100%.

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Lechasseur
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« Reply #9 on: November 09, 2020, 06:08:20 PM »
Manchin
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Figueira
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« Reply #10 on: November 09, 2020, 06:46:05 PM »
Manchin, and it's not even close.
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