Alaska's still out. Which of these is the second most likely scenairo?
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  Alaska's still out. Which of these is the second most likely scenairo? 		« previous next »
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Poll
Question: We know most likely is Trump (306-232)/Sullivan
#1
Biden (309-229)/Sullivan		  
#2
Trump (306-232)/Gross		  
#3
Biden (309-229)/Gross		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 25

Author Topic: Alaska's still out. Which of these is the second most likely scenairo?  (Read 414 times)
bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 08, 2020, 06:59:41 PM »
I've heard some claims that the known vote from AK is heavily biased enough towards the Republicans enough that the outstanding vote may still somehow make it competitive. Best case scenario IMO is close but no cigar for Gross or Biden.
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bagelman
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 11, 2020, 12:17:39 AM »
Most here voted for Trump/Gross. The latest dump however seems to indicate that Biden/Sullivan is more likely. However the latest dump also shows <0.1% chance of either winning.
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mileslunn
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2020, 12:31:03 AM »
None of the above.  Gross is slightly underperforming Biden and no way Biden wins Alaska.  That would mean a bigger swing towards him than any state and by a long shot.  If it were a massive landslide, then maybe possible, but trends suggests only small swings towards Biden not massive ones.
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