it looks like the "latino gop surge" only materialized in presidential race, not senate/house

[Matty]

case in point: hegar in texas.

she is doing as well as clinton did in RVG.

[GALeftist]

Representatives Shalala, Mucarsel-Powell, and Ortiz Jones agree with this take.

That said, I think you're probably right that it was primarily a Trump phenomenon. Why this was the case is wholly beyond me but it's encouraging news for the Democrats, since Trump is unlikely to be at the top of the ballot again.

[lfromnj]

Representatives Shalala, Mucarsel-Powell, and Ortiz Jones agree with this take.

That said, I think you're probably right that it was primarily a Trump phenomenon. Why this was the case is wholly beyond me but it's encouraging news for the Democrats, since Trump is unlikely to be at the top of the ballot again.

No
Hidalgo County Texas was only +15 Hegarty. Gonzalez barely won

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

This looks like a trend that's just lagging a bit, as they did with the rural WWC shift in 2016 and (arguably) as they are for the ticket-splitting, Biden-voting suburbanites this year.

Perhaps it's a one-time thing, but is there a good reason to assume it's not a trend?

[Kuumo]

It's kind of funny that there were a lot of Latino Trump/Democrat voters and a lot of white Biden/Republican voters, since this was kind of the opposite of the conventional wisdom before the election.

[ملكة كرينجيتوك]

It's kind of funny that there were a lot of Latino Trump/Democrat voters and a lot of white Biden/Republican voters, since this was kind of the opposite of the conventional wisdom before the election.

This probably happened in the WA governor race. Crosstabs suggested there were a certain number of Trump-Inslee Latinos and Culp-Biden Asians.

[lfromnj]

 I wonder if Biden won the Bexar portion of tx 23 while losing the rest

[OSR stands with Israel]

Texas Republicans probably will put more effort into the RVG now due to these results while before they almost never put in the effort there

[Red Velvet]

Texas Republicans probably will put more effort into the RVG now due to these results while before they almost never put in the effort there

It will only work if they follow Trump’s populism route, not only on rhetoric but policies as well.

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

Filemón Vela is underperforming Clinton 2016 by almost 8 points and himself by 10 points (2016) or 5 points (2018).
Vicente González is underperforming Clinton 2016 by 13 points and himself by 17/18 points.
Henry Cuéllar is barely budging compared to Clinton 2016 but underperforming himself by 16 points (2016).

Therefore lol to your take.

[SevenEleven]

Latinos voted against Harris. She is not well liked by Latinos. Latinos already tend to go with incumbent parties, Harris did not assuage any concerns and exacerbated many.

[Woody]

Explain TX-15th.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Trends tend to start at the top of the ticket and when their way down over time. Note how lots of southern Dems continued to win election way after their states/districts were out of reach for Democratic presidential candidates.