Largest city in each state that Trump won (user search)
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  Largest city in each state that Trump won (search mode)
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Author Topic: Largest city in each state that Trump won  (Read 10360 times)
mileslunn
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 26, 2020, 07:39:17 PM »

Oregon- #8- MEDFORD- TRUMP HOLD

I already looked at precinct results for Portland, Gresham, and scanned over Hillsboro & Beaverton.

It's also pretty clear unless something totally bizarre happened that Biden won Salem, Eugene, and Bend.

2020 GE PRES:

Trump:   22,170   (50.3%)       +4.0% R       (+8.1% D Swing 2016 to 2020)
Biden:    20,402   (46.3%)
Misc:       1,466    ( 3.3%)
TOTAL:  44,038                       +20.6% increase from 2020 TV

2016 GE PRES:

Trump:   18,463   (50.6%)       +12.1% R
HRC:      14,045   (38.5%)
Misc:       4,013    (11.0%)
TOTAL:   36,521

I will be exploring in further detail on my 2020 OR PRES GE Thread before too long.

It does look like my assessment prior to the election was pretty close in that if Biden flipped Medford, he would likely end up winning Jackson County, Oregon.


Which is odd as usually biggest city votes to left of county.  But it appears in Jackson County, its Ashland that makes it close as while smaller in size, Biden won that by close to 60 points.  Large university there so not a total surprise as usually Democrats win big in college towns.
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mileslunn
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: November 27, 2020, 07:16:13 PM »


Makes sense, seeing as the one time I've been to Medford, OR, the experience consisted of me buying oil for my car and having some guys come up to me and tell me I was putting oil in my engine wrong, the car was broken, and they could "take it off my hands" for a couple thousand dollars.

Must be a relative of the gas station attendant who once told me that my car needed a new water pump.

It was a 1969 Volkswagen Beetle.

Off topic, but Oregon is one of the two states you still cannot pump your own gas legally although I think from certain hours if in a rural county self service allowed.  New Jersey is other one that bans self service.
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mileslunn
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2020, 11:14:35 PM »

Should make a central list here of largest.  While not everything is in yet, probably can add some states.
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mileslunn
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: December 24, 2020, 01:23:56 AM »

What was Bayside Village and Westlake for Romney as those I believe you saw similar shift but in opposite direction.  Parma is very white working class.  A lot of people of Slavic and Italian ancestry while the western suburbs are more upper middle class college educated types.  Essentially east side suburbs always go Democrat due to large African-American and younger population, west side suburbs traditionally went GOP but flipped Democrat under Trump, while south side traditionally went Democrat but flipped GOP under Trump.
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mileslunn
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: January 12, 2021, 03:02:57 AM »

For Montana, I can confirm it is Billings.  Its also largest city in state too.

Trump: 34,562 (56.27%)
Biden: 24,695 (40.21%)
Total: 61,417
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mileslunn
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: January 20, 2021, 06:55:44 PM »

Probably Fort Wayne for Indiana, but Biden may have narrowly won it. After Fort Wayne it would be Noblesville, given that Biden won Carmel and Fishers by very narrow margins.

Biden did narrowly win Fort Wayne 50% to 47%

Of states this is what I have

Alabama: Hoover? (Might be Tuscaloosa, but probably Hoover but need confirmation)
Alaska: Fairbanks
Arizona: Mesa
Arkansas: Fort Smith
California: Bakersfield
Colorado: Colorado Springs
Connecticut: Shelton
Delaware: ?
Florida: Hialeah
Georgia: Not sure, but think Valdosta
Hawaii: Laie (not sure but I believe it was this)
Idaho: Meridian
Illinois: Orland Park
Indiana: Muncie (not certain, but likely this one)
Iowa: Sioux City
Kansas: Wichita
Kentucky: Owensboro (possibly Bowling Green, but I think Owensboro)
Louisiana: Lafayette
Maine: Brewer
Maryland: Westminster (not certain but looks like it)
Massachusetts: Dracut
Michigan: Sterling Heights
Minnesota: Lakeville
Mississippi: Southaven (not certain on this)
Missouri: Springfield
Montana: Billings
Nebraska: Bellevue
Nevada: Henderson
New Hampshire: Derry
New Jersey: Lakewood
New Mexico: Rio Rancho (not certain on this)
New York: North Tonowanda (not 100% certain on this)
North Carolina: Concord (not certain as don't split absentee by precinct)
North Dakota: Bismarck
Ohio: Parma
Oklahoma: Oklahoma City
Oregon: Medford
Pennsylvania: Altoona
Rhode Island: Coventry
South Carolina: Mount Pleasant
South Dakota: Sioux Falls
Tennessee: Johnson City (might be Murfreesboro have to double check)
Texas: Lubbock (Trump definitely won Lubbock, might have won Plano not 100% sure)
Utah: Provo
Vermont: Highgate
Virginia: Salem? (Largest independent city, not sure if larger of those within county)
Washington: Spokane Valley
West Virginia: Parkersburg
Wisconsin: Waukesha
Wyoming: Cheyenne
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mileslunn
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: January 20, 2021, 09:46:15 PM »

Probably Fort Wayne for Indiana, but Biden may have narrowly won it. After Fort Wayne it would be Noblesville, given that Biden won Carmel and Fishers by very narrow margins.

Biden did narrowly win Fort Wayne 50% to 47%

Of states this is what I have

Alabama: Hoover? (Might be Tuscaloosa, but probably Hoover but need confirmation)
Alaska: Fairbanks
Arizona: Mesa
Arkansas: Fort Smith
California: Bakersfield
Colorado: Colorado Springs
Connecticut: Shelton
Delaware: ?
Florida: Hialeah
Georgia: Not sure, but think Valdosta
Hawaii: Laie (not sure but I believe it was this)
Idaho: Meridian
Illinois: Orland Park
Indiana: Muncie (not certain, but likely this one)
Iowa: Sioux City
Kansas: Wichita
Kentucky: Owensboro (possibly Bowling Green, but I think Owensboro)
Louisiana: Lafayette
Maine: Brewer
Maryland: Westminster (not certain but looks like it)
Massachusetts: Dracut
Michigan: Sterling Heights
Minnesota: Lakeville
Mississippi: Southaven (not certain on this)
Missouri: Springfield
Montana: Billings
Nebraska: Bellevue
Nevada: Henderson
New Hampshire: Derry
New Jersey: Lakewood
New Mexico: Rio Rancho (not certain on this)
New York: North Tonowanda (not 100% certain on this)
North Carolina: Concord (not certain as don't split absentee by precinct)
North Dakota: Bismarck
Ohio: Parma
Oklahoma: Oklahoma City
Oregon: Medford
Pennsylvania: Altoona
Rhode Island: Coventry
South Carolina: Mount Pleasant
South Dakota: Sioux Falls
Tennessee: Johnson City (might be Murfreesboro have to double check)
Texas: Lubbock (Trump definitely won Lubbock, might have won Plano not 100% sure)
Utah: Provo
Vermont: Highgate
Virginia: Salem? (Largest independent city, not sure if larger of those within county)
Washington: Spokane Valley
West Virginia: Parkersburg
Wisconsin: Waukesha
Wyoming: Cheyenne


Clinton won Muncie by a few points, so it's unlikely Biden lost it. Valdosta appears to be narrowly Biden based on precinct results.

Then probably Noblesville
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mileslunn
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 5,820
Canada


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« Reply #7 on: January 20, 2021, 09:47:21 PM »

Probably Fort Wayne for Indiana, but Biden may have narrowly won it. After Fort Wayne it would be Noblesville, given that Biden won Carmel and Fishers by very narrow margins.


Biden did narrowly win Fort Wayne 50% to 47%

Of states this is what I have

Alabama: Hoover? (Might be Tuscaloosa, but probably Hoover but need confirmation)
Alaska: Fairbanks
Arizona: Mesa
Arkansas: Fort Smith
California: Bakersfield
Colorado: Colorado Springs
Connecticut: Shelton
Delaware: ?
Florida: Hialeah
Georgia: Not sure, but think Valdosta
Hawaii: Laie (not sure but I believe it was this)
Idaho: Meridian
Illinois: Orland Park
Indiana: Muncie (not certain, but likely this one)
Iowa: Sioux City
Kansas: Wichita
Kentucky: Owensboro (possibly Bowling Green, but I think Owensboro)
Louisiana: Lafayette
Maine: Brewer
Maryland: Westminster (not certain but looks like it)
Massachusetts: Dracut
Michigan: Sterling Heights
Minnesota: Lakeville
Mississippi: Southaven (not certain on this)
Missouri: Springfield
Montana: Billings
Nebraska: Bellevue
Nevada: Henderson
New Hampshire: Derry
New Jersey: Lakewood
New Mexico: Rio Rancho (not certain on this)
New York: North Tonowanda (not 100% certain on this)
North Carolina: Concord (not certain as don't split absentee by precinct)
North Dakota: Bismarck
Ohio: Parma
Oklahoma: Oklahoma City
Oregon: Medford
Pennsylvania: Altoona
Rhode Island: Coventry
South Carolina: Mount Pleasant
South Dakota: Sioux Falls
Tennessee: Johnson City (might be Murfreesboro have to double check)
Texas: Lubbock (Trump definitely won Lubbock, might have won Plano not 100% sure)
Utah: Provo
Vermont: Highgate
Virginia: Salem? (Largest independent city, not sure if larger of those within county)
Washington: Spokane Valley
West Virginia: Parkersburg
Wisconsin: Waukesha
Wyoming: Cheyenne


Clinton won Muncie by a few points, so it's unlikely Biden lost it. Valdosta appears to be narrowly Biden based on precinct results.

I'm pretty sure for Georgia, it's Milton in North Fulton County, which Trump won 54-45.


Valdosta has more people than Milton according to 2010 census.  Now maybe 2020 census changes that.
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