Largest city in each state that Trump won (user search)
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  Largest city in each state that Trump won (search mode)
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Author Topic: Largest city in each state that Trump won  (Read 10392 times)
forsythvoter
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« on: November 12, 2020, 02:06:20 PM »


I seriously doubt Trump won Warner Robbins.  In 2010, Warner Robbins was only 50% White and (per DRA) the precincts that most correspond to the city limits were 51% Clinton/56% Abrams.

Of the NF cities, Trump might have only won Milton (was 58/40 Kemp).  Roswell and Alpharetta were narrow Kemp wins in 2018, but probably flipped to Biden based on his overall statewide performance (Trump maybe eked out a narrow win in either of these, we'll have to wait and see for certified results though).

After the NF cities, Gainesville is my next instinct (but it looks like Abrams actually narrowly won there in 2018, too.)  So then comes Newnan, which was likewise a narrow Abrams win 2018.

In terms of size, that takes us back to Milton (pop. 40k) as the biggest Trump city in Georgia.  If Biden somehow manages to eke out a win in Milton (I'd be very surprised if he did), then the answer would have to be next on the list:  Rome.

I think Trump won Milton 54-45, so it's probably the largest city in GA that Trump won. Biden carried Roswell and Alpharetta by margins ranging from 7%-10% last time I checked.
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forsythvoter
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Posts: 736


« Reply #1 on: January 20, 2021, 07:37:16 PM »

Probably Fort Wayne for Indiana, but Biden may have narrowly won it. After Fort Wayne it would be Noblesville, given that Biden won Carmel and Fishers by very narrow margins.

Biden did narrowly win Fort Wayne 50% to 47%

Of states this is what I have

Alabama: Hoover? (Might be Tuscaloosa, but probably Hoover but need confirmation)
Alaska: Fairbanks
Arizona: Mesa
Arkansas: Fort Smith
California: Bakersfield
Colorado: Colorado Springs
Connecticut: Shelton
Delaware: ?
Florida: Hialeah
Georgia: Not sure, but think Valdosta
Hawaii: Laie (not sure but I believe it was this)
Idaho: Meridian
Illinois: Orland Park
Indiana: Muncie (not certain, but likely this one)
Iowa: Sioux City
Kansas: Wichita
Kentucky: Owensboro (possibly Bowling Green, but I think Owensboro)
Louisiana: Lafayette
Maine: Brewer
Maryland: Westminster (not certain but looks like it)
Massachusetts: Dracut
Michigan: Sterling Heights
Minnesota: Lakeville
Mississippi: Southaven (not certain on this)
Missouri: Springfield
Montana: Billings
Nebraska: Bellevue
Nevada: Henderson
New Hampshire: Derry
New Jersey: Lakewood
New Mexico: Rio Rancho (not certain on this)
New York: North Tonowanda (not 100% certain on this)
North Carolina: Concord (not certain as don't split absentee by precinct)
North Dakota: Bismarck
Ohio: Parma
Oklahoma: Oklahoma City
Oregon: Medford
Pennsylvania: Altoona
Rhode Island: Coventry
South Carolina: Mount Pleasant
South Dakota: Sioux Falls
Tennessee: Johnson City (might be Murfreesboro have to double check)
Texas: Lubbock (Trump definitely won Lubbock, might have won Plano not 100% sure)
Utah: Provo
Vermont: Highgate
Virginia: Salem? (Largest independent city, not sure if larger of those within county)
Washington: Spokane Valley
West Virginia: Parkersburg
Wisconsin: Waukesha
Wyoming: Cheyenne


Clinton won Muncie by a few points, so it's unlikely Biden lost it. Valdosta appears to be narrowly Biden based on precinct results.

I'm pretty sure for Georgia, it's Milton in North Fulton County, which Trump won 54-45.
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forsythvoter
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Posts: 736


« Reply #2 on: January 20, 2021, 11:51:53 PM »

I'm pretty sure for Georgia, it's Milton in North Fulton County, which Trump won 54-45.


Valdosta has more people than Milton according to 2010 census.  Now maybe 2020 census changes that.

I don't think Trump won city of Valdosta though if you look at the precinct map (https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=5d930a3281ad403391b1d9b3f7f9d145). It actually looks like the city itself is quite heavily Democratic with Biden winning it by around 5k or so votes.
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