Is Texas winnable for Democrats?
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  Is Texas winnable for Democrats?
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Author Topic: Is Texas winnable for Democrats?  (Read 1000 times)
AGA
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Junior Chimp
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« on: November 07, 2020, 06:15:23 PM »

I think a lot of the thoughts about how blue Texas was inevitable have been debunked in 2020 when Republicans made inroads with Hispanics. Is it possible for Democrats to win Hispanics back and possibly put blue Texas on table?
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2020, 06:18:56 PM »

Definately. Population growth alone in the metro areas should help shift the state left a little more every cycle, and if Biden had gotten Hillary numbers in the Rio Grande Valley, he would've come within a Beto margin of winning statewide. Are they favored? No. Can they win? Yes.
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SN2903
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2020, 06:22:45 PM »

Maybe in the early 2030s not until dems change their message.
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HisGrace
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2020, 06:26:19 PM »

Texas could be the Georgia of the next election with an extremely close vote. So yes. Obviously huge for the Dems, the Republicans just have no path in the EC without it no matter how well they do in the rust belt. For all the talk about the EC favoring Republicans due to 2000/16 their potential winning maps are shrinking and it will be tough for them going forward.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2020, 06:34:17 PM »

No
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Computer89
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« Reply #5 on: November 07, 2020, 06:35:21 PM »

If Trump had won the election yes, but with them in the white house for the next 4 years the answer is no
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jfern
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« Reply #6 on: November 07, 2020, 06:39:34 PM »

It was fools gold like California was for Bush in 2000.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2020, 06:40:24 PM »

I think it’s too soon to write off ANY state that was within 10-12% this cycle for 2024. You never know how different things may look in 4 years
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #8 on: November 07, 2020, 06:48:43 PM »

I think it’s too soon to write off ANY state that was within 10-12% this cycle for 2024. You never know how different things may look in 4 years

Lol D's were supposed to win the state House so they can control reapportionment, the 4 seats that Rs gain from reappointment, thanks  to a 6/3 Crt will be gerrymandered towards the Rs

But, in North, the D's are gonna take some of those seats back due to D Govs,, FL and GA are expected to gain 2 seats each for Rs
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Bootes Void
iamaganster123
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« Reply #9 on: November 07, 2020, 06:56:16 PM »

No, and it voted about R+10 more than the country, no different than R+11 in 2016
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Adem 45
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« Reply #10 on: November 07, 2020, 06:56:46 PM »

Yes, of course it is. Not the easiest state for them to flip, and Republicans look like they have some more options going forward than to simply run it up with rural whites, but it is winnable.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #11 on: November 07, 2020, 06:59:37 PM »

It was fools gold like California was for Bush in 2000.

Except California was not trending GOP at the time.
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Radical Leftist
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« Reply #12 on: November 07, 2020, 07:17:27 PM »

I think that yes, if we nominate someone that will appeal to Latino voters AND white suburban voters, like Beto O'Rourke (Assuming he gets into national/statewide politics again) or Julian Castro.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #13 on: November 07, 2020, 07:21:25 PM »

I think that yes, if we nominate someone that will appeal to Latino voters AND white suburban voters, like Beto O'Rourke (Assuming he gets into national/statewide politics again) or Julian Castro.

I don’t think Beto has much of a future in Texas after all his gun comments.
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Radical Leftist
rainbow20
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« Reply #14 on: November 07, 2020, 07:35:13 PM »

I think that yes, if we nominate someone that will appeal to Latino voters AND white suburban voters, like Beto O'Rourke (Assuming he gets into national/statewide politics again) or Julian Castro.

I don’t think Beto has much of a future in Texas after all his gun comments.

As a Texas native, I respectfully disagree with this. What he said was that we will take people's assault weapons. They are military use weapons that should not be in civilian hands.
After Beto first proposed AR-15 and AK-47 buyback, he went to a gun show in Arkansas, and the people buying AR-15s said to him, that they did not need them, and that they are weapons of war, and they would willingly give it up. So while I see where you are coming from on this, I do think that Beto has a future in Texas.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #15 on: November 07, 2020, 07:48:49 PM »

I think that yes, if we nominate someone that will appeal to Latino voters AND white suburban voters, like Beto O'Rourke (Assuming he gets into national/statewide politics again) or Julian Castro.

I don’t think Beto has much of a future in Texas after all his gun comments.

As a Texas native, I respectfully disagree with this. What he said was that we will take people's assault weapons. They are military use weapons that should not be in civilian hands.
After Beto first proposed AR-15 and AK-47 buyback, he went to a gun show in Arkansas, and the people buying AR-15s said to him, that they did not need them, and that they are weapons of war, and they would willingly give it up. So while I see where you are coming from on this, I do think that Beto has a future in Texas.

"Hell yes, we're going to take your AR-15s."

Beto is going to need to spend time in executive or legislative office proving that he no longer believes in this if he's to have credibility on this issue again. There are simply too many marketable moments to single-issue gun rights voters otherwise and in the state of Texas, those make him a weak candidate.
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Statilius the Epicurean
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« Reply #16 on: November 07, 2020, 08:06:50 PM »

Not merely the gun comment, but his proposal to remove tax-exempt status from churches which opposed same-sex marriage was extremely idiotic.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #17 on: November 07, 2020, 08:23:57 PM »

I'd rather be a Texas Democrat in the mid-2020s than a Florida Democrat.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #18 on: November 07, 2020, 08:25:15 PM »

Yes but its gonna take more work than the Demographics are destiny that is happening in Georgia.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #19 on: November 07, 2020, 08:31:15 PM »

I think it can, but there needs to be candidate that can appeal to Hispanics  and suburban White voters.
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