Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[American2020]

https://twitter.com/djrothkopf/status/1387364281738579969

[Sir Mohamed]

So. much. winning.

The world was laughing at us. NO MORE. We made America great again. Greater than EVER before. THANK YOU, VERY COOL, WORKING HARD.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, April 25-27, 1500 adults including 1219 RV

Adults:

Approve 51 (+2)
Disapprove 39 (+1)

Strongly approve 28 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 30 (+2)

RV:

Approve 52 (+1)
Disapprove 41 (-1)

Strongly approve 32 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 34 (+1)

[pbrower2a]

New CNN poll actually has Harris's approval higher than Biden's!

Biden job approval: 53/43 (+10)
Harris VP job approval: 53/38 (+15)

http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2021/images/04/28/rel3bbiden100days.pdf

Usually something goes slightly awry within a few days and takes down Presidential approval. It hasn't yet. No President can fully avoid controversy, and Joe Biden is no exception. He has handled everything well enough to keep his approval numbers steady.

This Approvals is the same exact number Biden got on Election night 53/39

Now what isn't so steady?

 

Yuck!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Insurrectionists Trump should not be back as Prez, Rs still want him back, naturally he wants to be back on TV but he won't

[pbrower2a]

Insurrectionists Trump should not be back as Prez, Rs still want him back, naturally he wants to be back on TV but he won't

He still has support within the GOP, but that would seem to be about it now. He craves publicity, but he no longer gets it and has no control over its content when he gets it. 32% of 45% is still over two-thirds.  Whether even that sticks is much in doubt, and I am not going to make any speculations upon any legal troubles that "45" might have.

I obviously can't speak for the 8% of adults who have gone from having a positive image of Donald Trump to those who no longer do, as I despised Donald Trump from long before he became President. I'm guessing that people on the Right side of the political spectrum are starting to discuss the insurrection and its political consequences.   

[pbrower2a]

States for which I would love to see polls:

Colorado
Indiana
Iowa
Maine
Minnesota
Ohio
Pennsylvania

,,, and then the fifty-state polling (if it was interactive) that we used to see much of.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

QU hasn't polled anything but Biden Approvals, they haven't polled NJ Gov race, yet

[Vladimir Leninov]

I'm sure polls that completely shat on measuring Trump  by getting none of the low propensity Rs magically got it corrected now

Looks

*D+16 sample*

Ah

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I'm sure polls that completely shat on measuring Trump  by getting none of the low propensity Rs magically got it corrected now

Looks

*D+16 sample*

Ah

Trump was near 50 percent on Election night before the Insurrectionists, Females have turned on Rs since Jan 6th, which Rs aren't taking responsibility over


Trump and Mccarthy and Mcconnell are at 25 to 32 percent Approvals

[GeorgiaModerate]

Ipsos Core Political Data (weekly), April 27-28, 1005 adults

Approve 55 (+1)
Disapprove 38 (-1)

Approval by party:

D: 91 (-1)
I: 59 (+9) outlier? A big jump to the highest approval among I's to date.
R: 19 (+2)

[GeorgiaModerate]

As mentioned previously, I don't usually post about Rasmussen or other daily trackers unless they do something interesting.  However, today's Ras is amusing.  They've mixed up their columns, creating the following rather odd result:

Approve 30
Disapprove 41

Strongly approve 48
Strongly disapprove 50

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1387464714318454785

[pbrower2a]

As mentioned previously, I don't usually post about Rasmussen or other daily trackers unless they do something interesting.  However, today's Ras is amusing.  They've mixed up their columns, creating the following rather odd result:

Approve 30
Disapprove 41

Strongly approve 48
Strongly disapprove 50

approve and disapprove -- but of what?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's interesting, that Sir Mohommad posts these 60 percent Approvals and he doesn't believe in blue waves, he believes Rs are gonna sweep FL, OH and FL statewide races, I have debated with him many times

Rs don't have a monopoly on IA, OH, FL or NC, we were n them in 2008/12 and Brown won in 2018 Senate race, just like Rs never had a monopoly on GA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We don't have to worry about DeSantis he is losing by 17 pts to Biden, he is a ROOKIE

[Tender Branson]

CO (Keating Research):

60% approve
38% disapprove

Also:

The KOM Colorado Poll from Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs and Mike Melanson shows 56% of Colorado voters say they have a favorable opinion of Biden, who completed his 100th day in office on Thursday, while 42% give the president thumbs down.

Biden's favorability has ticked up slightly and his unfavorably has dropped in the six months since the firms last surveyed state voters just before the November election, when candidate Biden polled at 53%-46% favorable.

https://www.coloradopolitics.com/news/poll-shows-majority-of-colorado-voters-like-biden-but-most-republicans-think-election-was-stolen/article_57eb389c-a95b-11eb-9d0b-27724baab898.html

https://bloximages.newyork1.vip.townnews.com/coloradopolitics.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/f/10/f10d7ff4-a982-11eb-9b87-9b437846510b/608bad7452ed0.pdf.pdf

[pbrower2a]

CO (Keating Research):

60% approve
38% disapprove

Also:

The KOM Colorado Poll from Keating Research, OnSight Public Affairs and Mike Melanson shows 56% of Colorado voters say they have a favorable opinion of Biden, who completed his 100th day in office on Thursday, while 42% give the president thumbs down.

Biden's favorability has ticked up slightly and his unfavorably has dropped in the six months since the firms last surveyed state voters just before the November election, when candidate Biden polled at 53%-46% favorable.

https://www.coloradopolitics.com/news/poll-shows-majority-of-colorado-voters-like-biden-but-most-republicans-think-election-was-stolen/article_57eb389c-a95b-11eb-9d0b-27724baab898.html

https://bloximages.newyork1.vip.townnews.com/coloradopolitics.com/content/tncms/assets/v3/editorial/f/10/f10d7ff4-a982-11eb-9b87-9b437846510b/608bad7452ed0.pdf.pdf

Do you remember when Colorado typically voted R in Presidential races? It split on Bill Clinton, voting against him when Bill Clinton got 377 electoral votes.

That is over. Oh, is that over!   

Key:

30% red shade: Biden up 1-5%
40% red shade: Biden up 5-10%
50% red shade: Biden up 10-15%
60% red shade: Biden up 15-20%
70% red shade: Biden up 20-25%
80% red shade: Biden up 25-30%
90% red shade: Biden up 30%+

50% green shade: tie

30% blue shade: Biden down 1-5%
40% blue shade: Biden down 5-10%
50% blue shade: Biden down 10-15%
60% blue shade: Biden down 15-20%
70% blue shade: Biden down 20-25%
80% blue shade: Biden down 25-30%
90% blue shade: Biden down 30%+


It is approval ratings, and not favorability ratings. Favorability ratings are relevant when they are blatant  (as in states that are not close and usually do not get polled, like New York Rhode Island or Oklahoma) because the states rarely decide an election, but they always must defer to approval. Would I use a favorability rating for Illinois? Sure. Wisconsin? Absolutely not.

A poll for Pennsylvania showed a significant edge (high single digits) for Biden in favorability.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rs ignore the Approvals they keep thinking 2018 is the end all be all and in order to win OH, IA, NC and FL it must be a 8 or 12 pt Election and polls show OH SEN and FL Gov as potential pickups

The Rs are losing on Generic ballot  as we speak 47/4# and havent won the PVI since 2016 and have lost seats in Congress since then

We won KS and AZ, and in 2008/12 we won IA, FL, OH and NC and even IN in a 5 to 6 pt PVI

Which is what I expect.xt Generic ballot to be next Nov, since 1400 checks and more potential on the way.

Warren is trying to set up automatic payments of 500 or 600 respectively, we need them especially for people not on Unemployment whom aren't getting extra money

[pbrower2a]

President Biden has done a fine job dodging ideological controversies. He may not be verbally confrontational. When one has been in the US Senate from ages 30 to 66 and Vice President for the next eight years as the understudy of an above-average President, you learn some things.

There are no knock-down drag-out fights as there was on Obamacare, and over 100 million people have herded themselves into inoculation sites to get herd immunity. There is pent-up demand for plenty of goods and services. We are seeing fundamental changes in the relationship between management and labor, with the 40-year habit of overworking and underpaying workers so that investors and executives can live like princes while others scrape by despite their efforts likely at an end.

The Republican Party has to use dirty tricks to have a chance of winning elections in many places that suddenly got close. I'd rather have take the chances of winning with integrity than trying to win by cheating. This is the closest thing to a halcyon time for a President since perhaps JFK. The main difference is that Ike left the Presidency with his integrity intact.

I did find the old article from Rollin Stone by Sean Wilentz:

George W. Bush’s presidency appears headed for colossal historical disgrace. Barring a cataclysmic event on the order of the terrorist attacks of September 11th, after which the public might rally around the White House once again, there seems to be little the administration can do to avoid being ranked on the lowest tier of U.S. presidents. And that may be the best-case scenario. Many historians are now wondering whether Bush, in fact, will be remembered as the very worst president in all of American history.

From time to time, after hours, I kick back with my colleagues at Princeton to argue idly about which president really was the worst of them all. For years, these perennial debates have largely focused on the same handful of chief executives whom national polls of historians, from across the ideological and political spectrum, routinely cite as the bottom of the presidential barrel. Was the lousiest James Buchanan, who, confronted with Southern secession in 1860, dithered to a degree that, as his most recent biographer has said, probably amounted to disloyalty — and who handed to his successor, Abraham Lincoln, a nation already torn asunder? Was it Lincoln’s successor, Andrew Johnson, who actively sided with former Confederates and undermined Reconstruction? What about the amiably incompetent Warren G. Harding, whose administration was fabulously corrupt? Or, though he has his defenders, Herbert Hoover, who tried some reforms but remained imprisoned in his own outmoded individualist ethic and collapsed under the weight of the stock-market crash of 1929 and the Depression’s onset? The younger historians always put in a word for Richard M. Nixon, the only American president forced to resign from office.

Dubya was awful. He got us into a war in Iraq when we should have been finishing off the one in Afghanistan. Just imagine Afghanistan as a central-Asian Switzerland, at least for ski resorts heavily used by rich Chinese and South Koreans who have money to burn at ski lodges.  OK, that may be an excessive expression of contrafactual optimism, but that is something that I cannot rule out.  Maybe Saddam would have done something incredibly stupid while Obama was President... and ended up quite seriously dead because Obama doesn't mess around. I fault Dubya for sponsoring a speculative boom much like that of the 1920's which, unsurprisingly, ended up much the same way.

Bad as Wilentz could see Dubya, Trump has been far worse.

  How does any president’s reputation sink so low? The reasons are best understood as the reverse of those that produce presidential greatness. In almost every survey of historians dating back to the 1940s, three presidents have emerged as supreme successes: George Washington, Abraham Lincoln and Franklin D. Roosevelt. These were the men who guided the nation through what historians consider its greatest crises: the founding era after the ratification of the Constitution, the Civil War, and the Great Depression and Second World War. Presented with arduous, at times seemingly impossible circumstances, they rallied the nation, governed brilliantly and left the republic more secure than when they entered office.

Calamitous presidents, faced with enormous difficulties — Buchanan, Andrew Johnson, Hoover and now Bush — have divided the nation, governed erratically and left the nation worse off. In each case, different factors contributed to the failure: disastrous domestic policies, foreign-policy blunders and military setbacks, executive misconduct, crises of credibility and public trust. Bush, however, is one of the rarities in presidential history: He has not only stumbled badly in every one of these key areas, he has also displayed a weakness common among the greatest presidential failures — an unswerving adherence to a simplistic ideology that abjures deviation from dogma as heresy, thus preventing any pragmatic adjustment to changing realities. Repeatedly, Bush has undone himself, a failing revealed in each major area of presidential performance.

Trump is far worse. Trump never got the second term in which he could have had the chance to do even greater destruction to civil liberties, to the rule of law, and any modicum of social justice. We will never quite know what would happen in a second term of Donald Trump. Let's put it this way: I have gout attacks, and I can assure you that you are better off not knowing how those feel.

How does any president’s reputation sink so low? The reasons are best understood as the reverse of those that produce presidential greatness. In almost every survey of historians dating back to the 1940s, three presidents have emerged as supreme successes: George Washington, Abraham Lincoln and Franklin D. Roosevelt. These were the men who guided the nation through what historians consider its greatest crises: the founding era after the ratification of the Constitution, the Civil War, and the Great Depression and Second World War. Presented with arduous, at times seemingly impossible circumstances, they rallied the nation, governed brilliantly and left the republic more secure than when they entered office.

Calamitous presidents, faced with enormous difficulties — Buchanan, Andrew Johnson, Hoover and now Bush — have divided the nation, governed erratically and left the nation worse off. In each case, different factors contributed to the failure: disastrous domestic policies, foreign-policy blunders and military setbacks, executive misconduct, crises of credibility and public trust. Bush, however, is one of the rarities in presidential history: He has not only stumbled badly in every one of these key areas, he has also displayed a weakness common among the greatest presidential failures — an unswerving adherence to a simplistic ideology that abjures deviation from dogma as heresy, thus preventing any pragmatic adjustment to changing realities. Repeatedly, Bush has undone himself, a failing revealed in each major area of presidential performance.

https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/george-w-bush-the-worst-president-in-history-192899/

Donald Trump has sunk lower -- much lower -- than Dubya  and in less time except for not starting a speculative that leads to a financial panic such as in 1929 or 2008. . Before him we had a President who did what was right for bringing a country together, at least to the extent that a hostile Congress allowed. America was severely divided and facing an economic meltdown threatening to be as bad as that that began the Great Depression. We got the Obama recovery about a year and a half after the start of the stock market peak of 2007, in contrast to at least three years (when Hoover was a lame duck)  after the Great Stock Market Crash. Trump stoked religious and ethnic bigotry, saw anything other than his agenda as treachery, and went on an erratic course in foreign policy. Toward the end of his disastrous administration we had indications of a secret police responsible to the President that could bust any dissidents who got in the way.   

Joe Biden starts with a severely divided country, one in which extremists had plotted to kidnap a Governor, in which racist violence became severe and commonplace, and in which the President with only two weeks left as such had fanatics attempting to nullify an election that he lost, and in which a dangerous infectious disease that we thought that countries with advanced economies killed on the scale of a bad war in a short time. About every eighty years America goes through a particularly dangerous time, and we are going through one. We have yet to see how well President Biden does.   
   
I see Joe Biden getting re-elected if his body doesn't give out on him. Maybe he can't dodge all controversy.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

He hasn't Eradicated Covid and he hasn't Prosecuted Trump like the base wants leaving Trump able to monkey with the 2022 Election, all the Justice Dept did was raid Guiliani Apt with copies of Hunter Biden probe on the Laptop they retrieved.


A wave can come but there is alot of work still left with Covid

All the Swing state D's are pretty much against PR Statehood and Crt packing, because they know Crt would Federalize SSM, but I'd they get the Trifecta again, they are gonna pass DC Statehood but if it's not a Constitutional Amendment it can be overturned by SCOTUS


Transgender rights were passed by H recently, you know if it's a 7/6 D Crt they would approve LGBT rights and that's what swing states D's are running against

[pbrower2a]

He hasn't Eradicated Covid and he hasn't Prosecuted Trump like the base wants leaving Trump able to monkey with the 2022 Election, all the Justice Dept did was raid Guiliani Apt with copies of Hunter Biden probe on the Laptop they retrieved.

It's now up to people to get vaccinated, and they are fools if they don't get the inoculation that can save the quality of their lives, let alone their lives.

The President does not do prosecutions, but there is much to prosecute involving Donald Trump. The collateral damage to the Republican party is hard to predict. Between the January 6 insurrection and the Michigan plot (the ideology is much the same) there will be much to prosecute. Organizations that coordinated anything criminal will likely vanish.

The President seems to keep a safe distance from the investigation and will do so in the prosecution, which is the safest thing to do.   

A wave can come but there is alot of work still left with Covid

All the Swing state D's are pretty much against PR Statehood and Crt packing, because they know Crt would Federalize SSM, but I'd they get the Trifecta again, they are gonna pass DC Statehood but if it's not a Constitutional Amendment it can be overturned by SCOTUS

What do the people of Puerto Rico want?

Same-sex marriage is a done deal. The only way in which to undo it is to get a Constitutional amendment either outlawing same-sex marriage or allowing states to have the option to outlaw SSM and even homosexuality. America has made its adjustments.

Transgender rights were passed by H recently, you know if it's a 7/6 D Crt they would approve LGBT rights and that's what swing states D's are running against

I saw a legal code of Michigan from the post-Obergfell v. Hodges era , and I noticed that several sections were missing. I was referred to a commentary on why those sections were missing; they involved the outlawry of homosexuality. In practice in Michigan, police forces left homosexuality alone unless it involved adults and children (that ban remains, but it applied to heterosexual acts between adults and children, too.   

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

TX 6 shows the limits of a 413 map instead of a  306 map we are still 500 days out from an Election and we are gonna win our base states in 2021 VA, NJ and Cali it remains to be seen in 500 days we can expand the battleground beyond 306

Senate WI, PA, NH and GA Leans D just like our Govs 278 FREIWAL

I knew that this was gonna happen no Prosecution of Trump, Hunter Biden still in the middle of a probe and 1400 checks wasn't enough

[It’s so Joever]

Petition to rename this thread to “Den of Delusion”.
Seriously, did TX-06 not tell you enough?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

pbower2A always makes maps like these just like the media to keep voters interested, if it's the same old 306 FREIWAL it would be a boring Election but it will be a Resurrection of the 306 FREIWAL