Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Why do Ds worry so much, it's a 303 map we are gonna keep the Sen and possibly 53/47 Sen OH, WI, PA and 26/24 Govs with defeating DeSantis with Crist or Fried the H is a longshot but it's most likely gonna be a 234/201 H and a 53/47 Sen and 26/24 Govs with GA going to a Runoff and we gained 15 seats in 2018 we can gain 15 seats in 240, when Biden is on the Ballot that's the most Rs are gonna get of course they can get 217 and D's can win 54/46 Sen with IA, OH, WI and Pa

We are leading 45/43 in FL 13 Lynn was expecting to lose but he's winning and the Special is near the D Gubernatorial primary too

It's not gonna be called right away especially OR Gov because it's VBM that's why I make a wave insurance map it's not same day voting Steve Konraki already said this many times but of course Rs want it instant Trump made the projection he won last time and he lost on 300K state wide provision BALLOTS

It's gonna take a day or two maybe to count OR Gov it's tight Betsy Johnson can win by 500 votes , I doubt Drazen wins because Ron Wyden is on the ballot

That's why Liz Cheney is defending Biden Bush W and Cheney signed Provisions ballot before 2004 and Kerry if he picked GEPHARDT would have won not Edwards whom should of been the AG, but with Kennedy assassination you can't change it🤩🤩🤩

[Ferguson97]

If inflation recedes and gas prices go down to, say, $2.00 a gallon, will that even improve his approval any?

$2.00 a gallon? I've never seen it that low in my life. If gas prices get that low by November, Biden's approval would be in the mid-50s.

[GeorgiaModerate]

If inflation recedes and gas prices go down to, say, $2.00 a gallon, will that even improve his approval any?

$2.00 a gallon? I've never seen it that low in my life. If gas prices get that low by November, Biden's approval would be in the mid-50s.

Gas was below $2 here early in the pandemic when everyone was staying home.  I saw it go as low as $1.33.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The polls fouled up another primary, they aren't Gold standards for Biden Approvals they had FRANCHOT the fav for MD Gov he placed third and Moore  is beating Perez these polls are not the predictor for EDay, they can be wrong too

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Epic fàil by polling that had FRANCHOT winning and Perez not FRANCHOT placed second, FRANCHOT placed third, I said Perez not FRANCHOT has the momentum

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, July 16-19, 1500 adults including

Adults:

Approve 38 (+1)
Disapprove 55 (-1)

Strongly approve 14 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 41 (-1)

RV:

Approve 40 (nc)
Disapprove 54 (-1)

Strongly approve 15 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 42 (-1)

GCB (RV only): D 43 (nc), R 40 (nc)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Gas prices are falling so it won't matter in the Senate we have the Senate

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1549819753400762369?t=t7PopoG2sRby6GP9crd...

[MR DARK BRANDON]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1549819753400762369?t=t7PopoG2sRby6GP9crd...

This poll has D+1 GCB, they cannot be serious. How is Qpac still allowed to commission polls?

[President Johnson]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1549819753400762369?t=t7PopoG2sRby6GP9crd...

This poll has D+1 GCB, they cannot be serious. How is Qpac still allowed to commission polls?

Yeah, this is flat out ridiculous. You could argue the approval alone is an outlier, but a Democratic lead in the congressional ballot is just a joke. Just a reminder that Biden outperformed most Democratic candidates downballot in 2020. But what's new? Q has been a laughingstock for some years now.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1549819753400762369?t=t7PopoG2sRby6GP9crd...

This poll has D+1 GCB, they cannot be serious. How is Qpac still allowed to commission polls?

Yeah, this is flat out ridiculous. You could argue the approval alone is an outlier, but a Democratic lead in the congressional ballot is just a joke. Just a reminder that Biden outperformed most Democratic candidates downballot in 2020. But what's new? Q has been a laughingstock for some years now.

How they are even allowed to commission polls is beyond me

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/IAPolls2022/status/1549819753400762369?t=t7PopoG2sRby6GP9crd...

This poll has D+1 GCB, they cannot be serious. How is Qpac still allowed to commission polls?

Yeah, this is flat out ridiculous. You could argue the approval alone is an outlier, but a Democratic lead in the congressional ballot is just a joke. Just a reminder that Biden outperformed most Democratic candidates downballot in 2020. But what's new? Q has been a laughingstock for some years now.

How they are even allowed to commission polls is beyond me

Well, it's not like you have to get a polling license.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

19% approval among Hispanics is beyond pathetic.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

19% approval among Hispanics is beyond pathetic.

Approvals are flawed FRANCHOT was supposed to be the winner the users keep believing in Polls it's a 303 map with wave insurance how many times are polls gonna be wrong before users realize they are FLAWED
The ceiling for Rs in the H is 235 and the Floor is 217 and D's are gonna keep the S 51/55

For heaven sake it's still a war going on

Polls said FRANCHOT was supposed be winner he placed third just like sports, betting on sports is flawed we still have to vote, stop Dooming until the results are in, it doesn't help

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

https://twitter.com/QuinnipiacPoll?t=x1MSpTKDWMvPr4KV2arYTw&s=09


QU NOW HAS DS LEAD ON GCB 45/44 HA ALL THOSE 33 APPROVALS

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

As I said before after the poll flubbed the MD Gov the Polls are FLAWED, the Approvals are flawed why are Ds winning the state by state polls and doing badly in the Approvals numbers

Flawed poll had FRANCHOT 21, King 20, Prerez 16 and Moore 12 and final was Moore 34 Perez 27 and FRANCHOT 20 and King 3.4

The same with FL 13 we have seen large Luna leads and Lynn now is tied

That's why I make a wave insurance seats, all the states are blank on EDay they said D's would gain seats in 2018 TN, TX 2018 and H seats in 2020 we lost seats

Johnson and Sir Muhammad believe in flawed polling to some degree and most Rs that's why they all say despite the polls that Lake, SUNUNU and Vance will win, it's flawed polls we were suppose to net gain seats in H in 2020 and win the S in 2018 we didn't😊😊😊

Wave insurance maps believe in blank maps not red maps on EDay cause we have to vote and not only that there are 300 K provision ballots statewide that are counted at the end, making MI, PA and WI, NV, AZ and GA bluer

[Hermit For Peace]

CNN Poll: 75% of Democratic voters want someone other than Biden in 2024

A new CNN poll finds 75% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters want the party to nominate someone other than President Joe Biden in the 2024 election, a sharp increase from earlier this year.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/26/politics/cnn-poll-biden-2024/index.html

[GeorgiaModerate]

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, July 23-26, 1500 adults including 1311 RV

Adults:

Approve 38 (nc)
Disapprove 54 (-1)

Strongly approve 14 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 40 (-1)

RV:

Approve 40 (nc)
Disapprove 54 (nc)

Strongly approve 16 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 41 (-1)

GCB (RV only): D 44 (+1), R 38 (-2)

[Sir Mohamed]

CNN Poll: 75% of Democratic voters want someone other than Biden in 2024

A new CNN poll finds 75% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters want the party to nominate someone other than President Joe Biden in the 2024 election, a sharp increase from earlier this year.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/26/politics/cnn-poll-biden-2024/index.html

Horrible for a sitting prez. Did Clinton, W Bush, Obama and Trump also have numbers like this in the midterm years?

Tbh, if I were Biden, I'd probably consider not running again. Unlikely he'll have congress in a 2nd term, so all he can do is govern via executive actions which would be pretty much gone on January 21, 2029.

[wbrocks67]

Interesting that while Bidens approval is 40/54 among RV in the YouGov poll, his favorability is 44/51. Goes to show again that voters are not only removing administrations performance from D candidates locally, but voters also have somewhat of a different mindset in terms of how the admin is performing vs their personal like for Biden.

This is another thing that is different from 2018. Trumps personal brand/favorability was truly toxic and unpalatable for the voters that disapproved of him. This year, however, Biden's not universally disliked. People may be unhappy with what he is getting done or lack thereof, but they personally don't hate him like the electorate did for Trump.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Steve Konraki already stopped taking Biden Approvals into account and started taking GCB because D's are doing much better in state by state polls that's why he has on the big board WI, PA,, OH, NC and FL as Tossups and we won last time on provisions ballots especially GA, we were losing to Loeffler and Perdue until Provisional ballots were counted, don't forget Walker and Bevin were leading as well until Provisional ballots were counted


Why do you think Scott Walker and Paul Ryan told Trump to concede, he lost to Evers by provision ballots margin but since Walker served 3 terms there was no recount

I keep saying the same thing especially to Sir Muhammad stop worrying about Approvals there are late breaking ballots called provision ballots 300 K statewide and we won 65/35 and it's mostly under 30 yr olds that don't have a permanent afdress

Like OR Gov since Ron Wyden is on the ballot he will pull Kotek over the top late breaking ballots they have yet to poll the OR Sen race in conjunction with the OR Gov so that they can make it more competent that's how you munipulate polls


I keep saying over and over wait until we vote these aren't EXIT POLLS

[Koharu]

Horrible for a sitting prez. Did Clinton, W Bush, Obama and Trump also have numbers like this in the midterm years?

Tbh, if I were Biden, I'd probably consider not running again. Unlikely he'll have congress in a 2nd term, so all he can do is govern via executive actions which would be pretty much gone on January 21, 2029.

He's actually not super far off where Reagan was sitting at the midterms for his first term. GWB is an anomaly due to 9/11, but Obama and Clinton were certainly doing better, approval-wise.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

CNN Poll: 75% of Democratic voters want someone other than Biden in 2024

A new CNN poll finds 75% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters want the party to nominate someone other than President Joe Biden in the 2024 election, a sharp increase from earlier this year.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/26/politics/cnn-poll-biden-2024/index.html

Horrible for a sitting prez. Did Clinton, W Bush, Obama and Trump also have numbers like this in the midterm years?

Tbh, if I were Biden, I'd probably consider not running again. Unlikely he'll have congress in a 2nd term, so all he can do is govern via executive actions which would be pretty much gone on January 21, 2029.

Yeah, it might make sense for him to not run again. However every President to not run again or not be renominated after no more than 4 years as President happened to be 8 of the 11 elections from 1844 to 1884.

[Hermit For Peace]

Interesting that while Bidens approval is 40/54 among RV in the YouGov poll, his favorability is 44/51. Goes to show again that voters are not only removing administrations performance from D candidates locally, but voters also have somewhat of a different mindset in terms of how the admin is performing vs their personal like for Biden.

This is another thing that is different from 2018. Trumps personal brand/favorability was truly toxic and unpalatable for the voters that disapproved of him. This year, however, Biden's not universally disliked. People may be unhappy with what he is getting done or lack thereof, but they personally don't hate him like the electorate did for Trump.

Biden is a decent moral man. Calm and not easily excitable. What's to dislike, except that his calm demeanor makes for boring entertainment. And after Trump, we want our President to be entertaining. The swing of the pendulum to two extremes. We need some refreshing face in between these two.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

CNN Poll: 75% of Democratic voters want someone other than Biden in 2024

A new CNN poll finds 75% of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters want the party to nominate someone other than President Joe Biden in the 2024 election, a sharp increase from earlier this year.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/26/politics/cnn-poll-biden-2024/index.html

Horrible for a sitting prez. Did Clinton, W Bush, Obama and Trump also have numbers like this in the midterm years?

Tbh, if I were Biden, I'd probably consider not running again. Unlikely he'll have congress in a 2nd term, so all he can do is govern via executive actions which would be pretty much gone on January 21, 2029.

Yeah, it might make sense for him to not run again. However every President to not run again or not be renominated after no more than 4 years as President happened to be 8 of the 11 elections from 1844 to 1884.

Lol stop Dooming there is a GCB that have D's way out in front

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1552324255316119553?t=UmHdw0064-zXoXH38VKGIw&s=19

D's lead 50/48 GREENBERG you always Doom and we haven't had an Election yet, Biden is we get wiped out with a landslide loss of losing both H will step aside but it's not it's a 50 percent chance we get a Divided Govt RH and 52/48 S, 40 chance of a Secularist Trifecta and only a 10 percent chance of R Congress, if Rs get in control they are gonna shutdown the Govt McConnell said no new program and Trump said cut Govt employees, we had a shutdown during Trump over too many Govt employees

James Carville and Carol Moseley Braun already sent me emails endorsing Tim Ryan for Senate and confirmed Biden is in it on 24 we have a 303map in 24 and in PA and WI we have Baldwin and Casey incumbentts instead of R incumbentts we're gonna win the 303 map