Biden approval ratings thread, 1.0

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/NumbersMuncher/status/1461337274206072839?t=55JFbjUNkSP9j5Eo...

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/TomBevanRCP/status/1461336086270160902?t=MXQS98lcpxE6AdaeqRG...

[MR DARK BRANDON]

The Winston Group

45% approve
47% disapprove

https://s-corp.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/S-Corp-National-Survey-Key-Findings-Nov-2021.pdf

[wbrocks67]

The Winston Group

45% approve
47% disapprove

https://s-corp.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/S-Corp-National-Survey-Key-Findings-Nov-2021.pdf

Honestly, these polls are all over the place, ranging from like -2 (this/Marquette) to like -6/-7 (YouGov) to like -17 (Qunnipiac) so it's still just best to look at the 538 average at this point.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

The Winston Group

45% approve
47% disapprove

https://s-corp.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/S-Corp-National-Survey-Key-Findings-Nov-2021.pdf

All-time low from (A/B)-rated The Winston Group
NOV 10-12, 2021
1,000 RV

RV:
45 (-1 since SEP 4-8)
47 (+3)


Btw, the last poll of Trump had him at 46/47 at October 2020, so it confirms my "hot take", that Biden right now is less popular than Trump right before election.

[wbrocks67]

The Winston Group

45% approve
47% disapprove

https://s-corp.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/S-Corp-National-Survey-Key-Findings-Nov-2021.pdf

All-time low from (A/B)-rated The Winston Group
NOV 10-12, 2021
1,000 RV

RV:
45 (-1 since SEP 4-8)
47 (+3)


Btw, the last poll of Trump had him at 46/47 at October 2020, so it confirms my "hot take", that Biden right now is less popular than Trump right before election.

Not sure how this is relevant, since a proper comparison would be Trump's -18 average net approval at this time in 2017

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

The Winston Group

45% approve
47% disapprove

https://s-corp.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/S-Corp-National-Survey-Key-Findings-Nov-2021.pdf

All-time low from (A/B)-rated The Winston Group
NOV 10-12, 2021
1,000 RV

RV:
45 (-1 since SEP 4-8)
47 (+3)


Btw, the last poll of Trump had him at 46/47 at October 2020, so it confirms my "hot take", that Biden right now is less popular than Trump right before election.

Not sure how this is relevant, since a proper comparison would be Trump's -18 average net approval at this time in 2017

Who decided, that it's a proper comparison?

[BigSerg]

Other poll...
https://twitter.com/PollProjectUSA/status/1461383742941896709?s=20

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/PollProjectUSA/status/1461349927724806161?s=20

[roxas11]

The Winston Group

45% approve
47% disapprove

https://s-corp.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/S-Corp-National-Survey-Key-Findings-Nov-2021.pdf

All-time low from (A/B)-rated The Winston Group
NOV 10-12, 2021
1,000 RV

RV:
45 (-1 since SEP 4-8)
47 (+3)


Btw, the last poll of Trump had him at 46/47 at October 2020, so it confirms my "hot take", that Biden right now is less popular than Trump right before election.

Honestly, this poll just shows how easy it is for Biden or any other incumbent president to win reelection these days. Because of the extreme polarization in the country they really don't have to do much in order to get another 4 more years because ​even Trump almost won the 2020 election

In 2024 all Biden would have to do is get slighly better numbers than Trump did in 2020 and he wins reelection

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah Prez polls 1000 days before the next inauguration matter so much

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a Neutral Environment not a Red Wave Environment because of the 304 blue wall, Blue tates aren't gonna be swayed by Trump again with his insurrection

If the Election were held today D's would replicate the blue wall, but it isn't held today, outside of TX and FL due to bad policy on immigration, OH and NC can fall, they aren't under Abbott or DeSantis

That's Nate Silver 304 blue wall not anyone else, lol the Rs haven't cracked it since 2016 six yrs ago

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

The Winston Group

45% approve
47% disapprove

https://s-corp.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/S-Corp-National-Survey-Key-Findings-Nov-2021.pdf

All-time low from (A/B)-rated The Winston Group
NOV 10-12, 2021
1,000 RV

RV:
45 (-1 since SEP 4-8)
47 (+3)


Btw, the last poll of Trump had him at 46/47 at October 2020, so it confirms my "hot take", that Biden right now is less popular than Trump right before election.

Honestly, this poll just shows how easy it is for Biden or any other incumbent president to win reelection these days. Because of the extreme polarization in the country they really don't have to do much in order to get another 4 more years because even Trump almost won the 2020 election

In 2024 all Biden would have to do is get slighly better numbers than Trump did in 2020 and he wins reelection

Probably, but imo a lot of Dems thought, that Biden would be fairly popular only because he isn't "terribly despised" Trump. Well, guess what, it isn't happening and Biden's now equally/more hated than Trump was in 2018 (and 2020) and it will have YUUUUGE consequences during 2022 midterms and on. 2024 is, though, a different story and obviously as an incumbent Biden is much more likely to hold WH than Dems to hold House/Senate.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/PollsandOdds/status/1461078273975324678?s=20

[Matty]

Gallup is out

42 approve

55 disapprove

[roxas11]

The Winston Group

45% approve
47% disapprove

https://s-corp.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/S-Corp-National-Survey-Key-Findings-Nov-2021.pdf

All-time low from (A/B)-rated The Winston Group
NOV 10-12, 2021
1,000 RV

RV:
45 (-1 since SEP 4-8)
47 (+3)


Btw, the last poll of Trump had him at 46/47 at October 2020, so it confirms my "hot take", that Biden right now is less popular than Trump right before election.

Honestly, this poll just shows how easy it is for Biden or any other incumbent president to win reelection these days. Because of the extreme polarization in the country they really don't have to do much in order to get another 4 more years because even Trump almost won the 2020 election

In 2024 all Biden would have to do is get slighly better numbers than Trump did in 2020 and he wins reelection

Probably, but imo a lot of Dems thought, that Biden would be fairly popular only because he isn't "terribly despised" Trump. Well, guess what, it isn't happening and Biden's now equally/more hated than Trump was in 2018 (and 2020) and it will have YUUUUGE consequences during 2022 midterms and on. 2024 is, though, a different story and obviously as an incumbent Biden is much more likely to hold WH than Dems to hold House/Senate.

The may be true right now but we dont know if that will that be the case by the time we get to November 2022

If a week is a "long time" when it comes to politics than 11 months until November 2022 must be an eternity. At this point, nobody really knows what the Economic and political environment will look like at the end of 2022.

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

The Winston Group

45% approve
47% disapprove

https://s-corp.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/S-Corp-National-Survey-Key-Findings-Nov-2021.pdf

All-time low from (A/B)-rated The Winston Group
NOV 10-12, 2021
1,000 RV

RV:
45 (-1 since SEP 4-8)
47 (+3)


Btw, the last poll of Trump had him at 46/47 at October 2020, so it confirms my "hot take", that Biden right now is less popular than Trump right before election.

Honestly, this poll just shows how easy it is for Biden or any other incumbent president to win reelection these days. Because of the extreme polarization in the country they really don't have to do much in order to get another 4 more years because even Trump almost won the 2020 election

In 2024 all Biden would have to do is get slighly better numbers than Trump did in 2020 and he wins reelection

Probably, but imo a lot of Dems thought, that Biden would be fairly popular only because he isn't "terribly despised" Trump. Well, guess what, it isn't happening and Biden's now equally/more hated than Trump was in 2018 (and 2020) and it will have YUUUUGE consequences during 2022 midterms and on. 2024 is, though, a different story and obviously as an incumbent Biden is much more likely to hold WH than Dems to hold House/Senate.

The may be true right now but we dont know if that will that be the case by the time we get to November 2022

If a week is a "long time" when it comes to politics than 11 months until November 2022 must be an eternity. At this point, nobody really knows what the Economic and political environment will look like at the end of 2022.

With that logic, there is no reasons to follow current polling, yet you do. Moreover there are a lot of different signs from historical patterns (incumbent's party gets punished) to fresh results from VA/NJ to current polling of Biden's approval.

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1461376150651998217

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Gallup is out

42 approve

55 disapprove

NOV 1-16

Trends from OCT 1-19.
42 (no change)
55 (+3)

[roxas11]

The Winston Group

45% approve
47% disapprove

https://s-corp.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/S-Corp-National-Survey-Key-Findings-Nov-2021.pdf

All-time low from (A/B)-rated The Winston Group
NOV 10-12, 2021
1,000 RV

RV:
45 (-1 since SEP 4-8)
47 (+3)


Btw, the last poll of Trump had him at 46/47 at October 2020, so it confirms my "hot take", that Biden right now is less popular than Trump right before election.

Honestly, this poll just shows how easy it is for Biden or any other incumbent president to win reelection these days. Because of the extreme polarization in the country they really don't have to do much in order to get another 4 more years because even Trump almost won the 2020 election

In 2024 all Biden would have to do is get slighly better numbers than Trump did in 2020 and he wins reelection

Probably, but imo a lot of Dems thought, that Biden would be fairly popular only because he isn't "terribly despised" Trump. Well, guess what, it isn't happening and Biden's now equally/more hated than Trump was in 2018 (and 2020) and it will have YUUUUGE consequences during 2022 midterms and on. 2024 is, though, a different story and obviously as an incumbent Biden is much more likely to hold WH than Dems to hold House/Senate.

The may be true right now but we dont know if that will that be the case by the time we get to November 2022

If a week is a "long time" when it comes to politics than 11 months until November 2022 must be an eternity. At this point, nobody really knows what the Economic and political environment will look like at the end of 2022.

With that logic, there is no reasons to follow current polling, yet you do. Moreover there are a lot of different signs from historical patterns (incumbent's party gets punished) to fresh results from VA/NJ to current polling of Biden's approval.

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1461376150651998217

Here is a poll that was taken a year before the 2016 election


If this old 2015 poll ​tells us anything, it's that nobody really knows how any election is going to really play out in the end. Sure, I follow and discuss the latest polls, but I definitely don't believe that they are perfect when it comes to predicting the outcome of an election a year from now..

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

Yawn. Harry Enten and basically all other election nerds say that, it tells us a lot (relatively speaking). But you know better.

[BigSerg]

Lol
https://twitter.com/PollProjectUSA/status/1461457171074355206?s=20

[Associate Justice PiT]

Yawn. Harry Enten and basically all other election nerds say that, it tells us a lot (relatively speaking). But you know better.

     Indeed it does tell us a lot. Certainly there is time for Dems to turn things around, but all indicators show that they are facing a heavy disadvantage in the midterms next year. Biden will have to swim upstream to keep his party in control in Congress, and pointing that out is just being realistic.

[BigSerg]

Fox

Compared to six months ago, approval of Biden is down 16 points on coronavirus, 15 points on the economy, and 7 points on immigration. Currently, 36 percent approve on the economy and 31 percent approve on immigration.  On Biden’s best issue, the pandemic, 48 percent approve.

https://twitter.com/DCLongIslander/status/1461470682739523589?s=20

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's not a Stimulus bill it's a Spending bill and DS on infrastructure are so giddy over a useless bill

[Vaccinated Russian Bear]

All-time low in (A)-rated Fox News
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/biden-ratings-down-voters-focused-wrong-things