He's going to be a lameduck from day one, he's not going get his prefered cabinet picks, he's not going to get anything done with a narrow house majority and a 52-48 R majority in the senate, no court packings, no DC/PR Statehood. The Supreme Court is 6-3 conservative, they're going to dismantle the ACA, also the Democrats are going to get slaughtered in 2022/off-year elections.
The Democratic party is also going go in a state of civil war with radical leftists in the one side, and centrists on the other, now that Trump is not POTUS anymore/for now.
Then 2024 happens where Rs will have a favorable map for the senate, starting out with 3 automatic pickups (OH, MT, WV) and more toss-up races for pickings, possibly putting Rs with a 60 seat majority.
Enjoy it while it lasts!
Hmm...
I guess it depends on your definition of a lame duck but Biden has indeed gotten some things done, a large portion of his judges passed and quite a few of his policies passed. There's a 50-50 senate although some might say that because of Manchin and Sinema, it is effectively a 52-48 GOP senate so...I'll give you that.
I will give you that there hasn't been court packing and Biden himself has said he's not a fan and there's no new states but the Supreme Court has not dismantled the ACA. We don't know about 2022 yet so that has yet TBD.
Aside from Manchin and Sinema to a degree, the Dems have remained rather united as a party on most issues so...Not sure about this one chief.
I will concede that it IS possible for the GOP to wind up with 60 seats but it would require most everything go perfectly for them.
One year later. Some parts of this post have aged well, other parts extremely poorly.
It's looking like a mixed outlook for the GOP at best at this point, rather than an entirely positive one as you were saying it's going to be. Biden is not popular right now and re-districting will likely make the House a tough hold for the Dems but we're still a year out and it's entirely possible for Biden to turn things back around in a more positive direction for him and his party heading into 2022 and beyond.
