June 13th Primaries: ME, ND, SC, VA

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

It looks like primary voting will be light in SC and that independents who vote will be voting in the GOP primary based on the results in my precinct so far.  My precinct edges Democratic in the general elections, but as of 9am it had 15 Republican and 2 Democratic ballots cast.  I am glad turnout is light, since I think a light turnout will hurt Sanford who doesn't have much in the way of enthusiastic support.

[Sam Spade]

If this SUSA Maine Republican Primary Governor's poll released yesterday is correct, we should see an interesting contest tonight:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReportPopup.aspx?g=ab8adcd9-cd11-4098-8f44-4259748f44b9&q=28413

[Keystone Phil]

Emery is the GOP's best candidate in Maine so I hope he pulls out a win. Otherwise, this night is going to be boring in terms of Gubernatorial races.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

SC results

Very early results don't look good for Sanford.  If they hold up he'll win the primary, but with under 60%.  However, with only 3 of 2,052 precints reporting, its way too early to gauge any trends.

They look even worse for Bauer with 4 precincts reporting Campbell has the lead, but not enough of prevent a runoff with Bauer.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Even if early results are coming from precincts that are tilted towards Moore, the early results look very very good for him.

Democratic Primary  -- 9 of 2,052 precincts reporting (0%)
Governor
   Tommy Moore   1,265   79%   
   Frank Willis   273   17%   
   Dennis Aughtry   59   4%   

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Early results from the down ticket offices appear to be going much as I expected.

Statewide Offices
Republican Primary -- 9 of 2,052 precincts reporting (0%)
Agriculture Commissioner
   Hugh Weathers (i)   716   58%   
   William Bell   516   42%   
Secretary of State
   Mark Hammond (i)   729   61%   
   Bill McKown   428   36%   
   L.W. Flynn   39   3%   
Supertendent of Education
   Karen Floyd   545   42%   
   Bob Staton   518   40%   
   Mike Ryan   103   8%   
   Elizabeth Moffly   71   5%   
   Kerry Wood   54   4%   
Treasurer
   Thomas Ravenel   510   40%   
   Greg Ryberg   386   30%   
   Rick Quinn   274   21%   
   Jeff Willis   120   9%   

[jokerman]

And runoff for Arkansas Democratic Lt. Gubernatorial primary.  Go Wooldridge.  County map should be very interesting.  I imagine Wooldridge will win a majority of our 75 counties but (sadly) will lose the vote.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Things are looking much better for Sanford now

Republican Primary  -- 47 of 2,052 precincts reporting (2%)
Governor
   Mark Sanford (i)   3,044   67%   
   Oscar Lovelace   1,469   33%

Other races are remaining pretty much as expected.  It looks like it will be Sanford and Moore contending for the governor's race in November.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Sanford has less to cheer about, but he will continue on to face Moore in November.

Republican Primary  -- 215 of 2,052 precincts reporting (10%)
Governor
   Mark Sanford (i)   15,717   62%   
   Oscar Lovelace   9,592   38%   

It looks like Bauer will have plenty of time to recover from his injuries.  Even if he is able to force a runoff, he might decide to conceed.

Republican Primary  -- 229 of 2,052 precincts reporting (11%)
Lieutenant Governor
   Mike Campbell   12,360   47%   
   Andre Bauer (i)   10,097   38%   
   Henry Jordan   3,901   15%   

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Well, as you can see, I've updated my signature to now include a Democrat, a Republican, and a Libertarian.  I'll have to wait until I've had a chance to digest the other races before I can start to put additional banners up, if any.  Even if Bauer decides to make the GOP hold a runoff, Campbell will win, so that race is now settled.  The same with Staton and Floyd in the SuperEd rac, tho Floyd may keep her total over 50%. Ravenel will be the GOP Treasurer candidate, but I have no reason at the moment to favor either him or Patterson in November, so I'll likely stay neutral in that election save in the voting booth. In the other races, I don't know enough about the non-GOP candidates to form an opinion yet.

Back to the election as a whole, Sanford didn't do as well as he hoped or as badly as he feared, but has to be disappointed that Moore won the Democratic nomination so handily.  With the Dems united and with considerable GOP and Independent discontent with him, while it will still be a battle, I think Moore has a shot and better than a long shot.

Sanford had no coattails either.  The candidates that he made strong endorsements of or that ran on a campaign of supporting Sanford have by and large lost.

[Sam Spade]

Looks like Woodcock (lol) pulled out (lol) the primary win in Maine.

[TheresNoMoney]

Does anyone have a link to the Maine primary results?

[Sam Spade]

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2006/by_state/ME_Page_0613.html?SITE=MSGULELN&SECTION=POLITICS

Interesting to note that yet another McCain-supported Republican goes down tonight.

That guy just ain't popular within his own party.  Isn't that what I've been saying for the last year? 

[TheresNoMoney]

Thanks Sam.

I'm extremely surprised that Jean Hay Bright has a lead in the Democratic Senate primary (not that either candidate has a chance in the general).

[Keystone Phil]

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2006/by_state/ME_Page_0613.html?SITE=MSGULELN&SECTION=POLITICS

Interesting to note that yet another McCain-supported Republican goes down tonight.

Yeah, I noticed on Emery's website that McCain did a video for him. Why did he go out of his way in a Maine Gubernatorial primary? I guess it's 2008 related but it doesn't matter now. I thought Emery would win this but he is in last place, trailing the second place candidate by nine points!

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Oh, the GOP is going to be having fun!

In the Treasurer race the final unofficial tally is:
Thomas Ravenel: 115,579 — 48 percent
Greg Ryberg: 62,374 — 26 percent
Rick Quinn: 45,689 — 19 percent
Jeff Willis: 16,059 — 7 percent

Ryberg conceded the race yesterday and said he won't force a runoff, so you'd think that would be that.  NOT SO FAST!

Our State Election Commission requires not just Ryberg, but also Quinn and Willis to drop out of the runoff.  Quinn considered his options and decided today to not force a runoff.  However, Willis is forcing the issue, and thus we will be having a runoff for Treasurer anyway, in this case between the first and fourth place finishers!

[minionofmidas]

Eh... he only has to improve by about 715%.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

  I am not happy.  Leadfoot Bauer, the boy Lt. Governor has the GOP nomination.  The runoff was close, and if Jenny Sanford had just kept her fool mouth closed, Campbell might have won.  Being connected politically to a Sanford, any Sanford, is not a way to endear oneself to the GOP base in SC right now, and Campbell did not run a good campaign. I'm undecided about the Democratic candidate Robert Barber, as I just don't know enough about him. His website didn't help either, so for now I'll just decline to back anyone in my signature for Lt. Gov. tho I may end up backing Barber to shave Bauer.

[minionofmidas]

How did the treasurer runoff go?

[SCDem07]

Ravenel won by a 3 to 1 margin.

[MODU]

Tom Davis plastered Prince William Parkway with his signs yesterday.  You can't drive anywhere near the county complex without seeing rows upon rows of little blue campaign signs lining the roads.