New Mexico in 1976
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  New Mexico in 1976
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Question: Why did New Mexico spoil its PV bellwether streak in 1976?
#1
Because they voted in favor of Ford.
#2
Because they voted against Carter.
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Author Topic: New Mexico in 1976  (Read 723 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« on: November 05, 2020, 10:34:41 PM »

Why did New Mexico vote for Gerald Ford in 1976?
This question is particularly interesting as the state spoiled its perfect popular-vote bellwether streak by refusing to vote for the peanut farmer from Georgia?
New Mexico, down to the present day, has always voted for the popular vote winner - bar 1976.
Is there a reason for that strange aberrant voting behavior? Were it just some considerable reservations about a Southern Democrat becoming president, or was Ford just very popular in the Southwest?

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Red Wall
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« Reply #1 on: November 06, 2020, 09:15:49 AM »

The Missouri river is the geographical reference that better depicts the Ford-Carter divide. New Mexico lies west of it so Ford won it. Just like he won every state in the Western Region (by the census bureau definiton of West).
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: November 07, 2020, 05:32:28 AM »

The Missouri river is the geographical reference that better depicts the Ford-Carter divide. New Mexico lies west of it so Ford won it. Just like he won every state in the Western Region (by the census bureau definiton of West).

That's certainly true, but why do you think it is?
Did Gerald Ford bear some certain appeal for Westerners, or did they bear widespread resentment for Carter for being a Southerner?
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Alcibiades
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« Reply #3 on: November 07, 2020, 05:44:21 AM »

The Missouri river is the geographical reference that better depicts the Ford-Carter divide. New Mexico lies west of it so Ford won it. Just like he won every state in the Western Region (by the census bureau definiton of West).

That's certainly true, but why do you think it is?
Did Gerald Ford bear some certain appeal for Westerners, or did they bear widespread resentment for Carter for being a Southerner?


Carter was a terrible fit for the West, not just because he was a Southerner, but because he was perceived to have a poor understanding of Western issues, such as water rights.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #4 on: November 07, 2020, 06:29:22 AM »

Actually, NM voted to the right of the national PV each election, 1964-1988.  In a narrow Democratic PV victory, a Republican carrying NM shouldn’t be surprising.  The entire Interior West was quite Republican at the presidential level during the time.
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