Chile Constitutional Referendum, September 4th 2022

[Mike88]

Other live feeds:

TVN Chile
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nhU5Tgie9-4

T13
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vE6owBg1FU877

*Is it me or isn't TVN using the UK ITV 2010 general election theme? xD

[Lumine]

The turnout drop, besides being a disappointment (participation for the pblescite was already too low), is going to create quite a few surprises tonight. I still think it's more likely that the right wing electorate is too demoralized to show up - with places like Vitacura being the exception, not the rule - and Chile Vamos will still get the predicted shellacking, but it's hard to tell just what the devil is going on.

[seb_pard]

Very messy process (the Chilean way), some places started counting Constitutional (as it should be, according to SERVEL), others Mayors, others councilors. Is going to be a long night.

[seb_pard]

Honestly, by seeing the counting, the right is doing pretty bad (and actually the crazy ones like Teresa Marinovic are doing well).


Independents are doing very very good. I don't see a big drop in turnout, lower but not that significant (is even higher in places like Nunoa). We will see later.

[seb_pard]

Final result from a polling station in Santiago

[seb_pard]

Stingo (Ind within Broad Front) slaughtering his district.

Final result from Maipu

[seb_pard]

La Lista del Pueblo doing really really good.

[seb_pard]

Constitutional Convention with 1.2% of the vote (slower than real count):

[Mike88]

La Lista del Pueblo doing really really good.

Indeed, although it is still early. They have 14% of the votes so far, but the Independents results are way above what was expected.

[Former President tack50]

I know it is very very early but it seems Vamos Por Chile is winning a plurality? (Admittedly a weak one)

I thought the Chilean right was in a horrible spot?

[Mike88]

I know it is very very early but it seems Vamos Por Chile is winning a plurality? (Admittedly a weak one)

I thought the Chilean right was in a horrible spot?

It seems that they will in fact with a very small plurality, however, from what I'm hearing in the TV broadcasts, it's a disastrous result for Vamos por Chile as they are well bellow 30%. IMO, the divisions on the left are benefiting Vamos por Chile, but it's still an abysmal result, so far, for them.

[seb_pard]

I know it is very very early but it seems Vamos Por Chile is winning a plurality? (Admittedly a weak one)

I thought the Chilean right was in a horrible spot?

There are all together in just one list, while the rest is divided across several lists. But what the right is aiming is to get a third of the seats in the Constitutional Convention, and apparently they are not obtaining that, anything less than that is a total failure for them, despite winning a plurality.

[seb_pard]

Results with 8.3% of the vote (lower than SERVEL)

[seb_pard]

I love my country

[Mike88]

Results with 8.3% of the vote (lower than SERVEL)

The results are the same in SERVEL, from what I'm seeing. The 8.3% number is the turnout, right?

[skbl17]

Results with 8.3% of the vote (lower than SERVEL)

The results are the same in SERVEL, from what I'm seeing. The 8.3% number is the turnout, right?

Yeah, the SERVEL count is on 23% - the 8% is turnout.

And yeah, this result is absolutely awful for the right so far - they need 52 seats to control at least a third of the chamber...they're currently on ~36.

[seb_pard]

Results with 8.3% of the vote (lower than SERVEL)

The results are the same in SERVEL, from what I'm seeing. The 8.3% number is the turnout, right?

Yeah you are right, that 8.3% is turnout with current vote (assuming universe of 14m voters)

[Mike88]

It seems that Evelyn Matthei could be in danger in her mayoral race. They just showed a precinct where she got 110 votes against the 108 votes of her challenger.

[Former President tack50]

How do the independents lean politically?

[kaoras]

How do the independents lean politically?

90% of them are leftist (as a rule of thumb, every independent outside district 11)

Also: BEST ELECTION EVER

[seb_pard]

How do the independents lean politically?

I would say mostly to the left, as is a mix of academics, NGOs members and social activists. One example is Benito Baranda (first in District 12, with 12.63% of the vote) was the historic leader of Home of Christ, a very important jesuit NGO working for people in extreme poverty. He focus a lot on poverty and stuff like that and is center-left but he comes from a right-wing background (his brother was a minister of Pinera).

[seb_pard]

The best for me is seeing the Apruebo Dignidad's good results (18%, 3% higher than Lista del Apruebo). In Chile it has been very easy to blame them for everything, while the rest of the opposition acted in a terrible way (I'm aiming particularly at leaders of DC and PPD). Today, the were able of becoming the main opposition group, reaching high percentages in working-class neighborhoods. Proud of them.

[Estrella]

I see that a Republican is getting 30% in the race for mayor of Las Condes. Is that just local protest vote (I assume it's a place where UDI have been in power since forever), or is it indicative of something re: the kind of people who live there?

[Estrella]

Piñera's press conference is bordering on absurd. He's acting as if the whole thing (including gender parity and Indigenous seats) was his idea and basically saying that it's going to be a wake-up call for the government, but immediately segueing into some fluffy hogwash about hopes of the future generations and such. Given the history of Chilean right, I guess seeing him patting himself on the back about how amazing and caring he is was the best possible outcome, but even those five minutes were enough to make me repulsed by him: he had one opportunity to show a sign of humility, and he went and did this.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Top bantz. Some of the best in a while tbh.