CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD

[LimoLiberal]

Garcia will take back the lead with Tuesday and Thursday's updates from Ventura County

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

Garcia will take back the lead with Tuesday and Thursday's updates from Ventura County

Gotta hope man.

[LimoLiberal]

Garcia will take back the lead with Tuesday and Thursday's updates from Ventura County

Gotta hope man.

What are you hearing (if anything) from the campaign?

[Matty]

Garcia losing would be very very surprising, considering how well the gop has done nationally in house elections

In fact, as results were coming in in east coast house districts, I thought for sure Garcia would be called victor as polls closed

Why is he losing?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Garcia will take back the lead with Tuesday and Thursday's updates from Ventura County

Dude, just change your avatar

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1325984732690133000?s=19

[2016]

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1325984732690133000?s=19

Thank You TEXAS

Democrats targetted 10 GOP House Seats! They didn't win a single one of them!

[GALeftist]

https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1325984732690133000?s=19

[BudgieForce]

Given what has happened in the House races the last week, it would truly be something if Smith of all people made a come back and won.

One-term rental it is. Garcia will win it back in 2022.

Would be funny if this turns into another NH-1 where Garcia and Smith just keep switching every two years.

[Tekken_Guy]

Given what has happened in the House races the last week, it would truly be something if Smith of all people made a come back and won.

One-term rental it is. Garcia will win it back in 2022.

Would be funny if this turns into another NH-1 where Garcia and Smith just keep switching every two years.

I don't know. Garcia could become another Valadao.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

The NYT now has Miller-Meeks (R) up by 36 votes in IA-2

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

Garcia will take back the lead with Tuesday and Thursday's updates from Ventura County

Gotta hope man.

What are you hearing (if anything) from the campaign?

He felt confident on Saturday, but because of school I'm not connected much now that the campaigning is over. According to some number crunching and data buys, on election day at 1 pm, counting the election day ballots we lead by around 2k. We expected to lose that lead as mail ins came in, but we hoped that late ballots would make up the gap. Mike only thought he had 60%ish odds, while he gave Trump better odds than that, so I really don't know if they did their math right anymore.

[2016]

The NYT now has Miller-Meeks (R) up by 36 votes in IA-2

YEEEEEEESSSSS,
Almost certainly going to be a Districtwide Recount tho so I don't count my chickens just yet

[Roll Roons]

So is this an accurate summary of all the flips/uncertain races?

Confirmed D to R flips:
FL-26
FL-27
IA-01
MN-07
NM-02
OK-05
SC-01

Confirmed R to D flips:
GA-07
NC-02
NC-06

Uncalled but likely staying R:
AK-AL
CA-08
NY-01
NY-02
NY-24
TX-24 (Called by DDHQ but not AP/NYT)

Uncalled but likely flipping from D to R:
CA-39
CA-48
NY-11
NY-22

Unclear:
CA-21
CA-25
IA-02
NJ-07 (AP call was likely premature)
UT-04

Uncalled but likely staying D:
AZ-01
IL-14
NY-03
NY-18
NY-19
WA-08

[2016]

So is this pretty much all the flips/uncertain races?

Confirmed D to R flips:
FL-26
FL-27
IA-01
MN-07
NM-02
OK-05
SC-01

Confirmed R to D flips:
GA-07
NC-02
NC-06

Uncalled but likely staying R:
AK-AL
CA-08
NY-01
NY-02
NY-24
TX-24 (Called by DDHQ but not AP/NYT)

Uncalled but likely flipping from D to R:
CA-39
CA-48
NY-11
NY-22

Unclear:
CA-21
CA-25
IA-02
NJ-07 (AP call was likely premature)
UT-04

Uncalled but likely staying D:
AZ-01
IL-14
NY-03
NY-18
NY-19
WA-08

We have 8 confirmed Flips! You forgot MI-3 (Justin Amash's District). Amash caucused more with Dems than with GOP since he switched to Independent.

[Tekken_Guy]

If the GOP has a clean sweep in CA, and Miller-Meeks, Owens, and Kean win, they’ll be in striking distance of the majority.

[jimrtex]

So is this an accurate summary of all the flips/uncertain races?

Confirmed D to R flips:
FL-26
FL-27
IA-01
MN-07
NM-02
OK-05
SC-01

Confirmed R to D flips:
GA-07
NC-02
NC-06

Uncalled but likely staying R:
AK-AL
CA-08
NY-01
NY-02
NY-24
TX-24 (Called by DDHQ but not AP/NYT)

Uncalled but likely flipping from D to R:
CA-39
CA-48
NY-11
NY-22

Unclear:
CA-21 I'd move this to the next level.
CA-25
IA-02
NJ-07 (AP call was likely premature)
UT-04

Uncalled but likely staying D:
AZ-01
IL-14
NY-03
NY-18
NY-19
WA-08

All the late California votes appear to be more favorable to the Republican than the Democrat, than they were on election night.

CA-8 went from +16,680 to +24,925 based on Monday's results.

CA-21 closed a tiny bit, but it appears that votes were released from only one county.

CA-25 Smith took the lead, but only votes from Los Angeles county were updated.

California is really horrible about letting counties count at their own pace.

CA-39 Kim's lead expanded from +2940 to +3550.

CA-48 Steele's lead increased from +6191 to +7346.

[wbrocks67]

It appears Cox and Smith have the best chance to hold on. Rouda and Cisneros though... (I guess Cisneros has a small chance still)

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1326146687015006209

[Frenchrepublican]

So is this an accurate summary of all the flips/uncertain races?

Confirmed D to R flips:
FL-26
FL-27
IA-01
MN-07
NM-02
OK-05
SC-01

Confirmed R to D flips:
GA-07
NC-02
NC-06

Uncalled but likely staying R:
AK-AL
CA-08
NY-01
NY-02
NY-24
TX-24 (Called by DDHQ but not AP/NYT)

Uncalled but likely flipping from D to R:
CA-39
CA-48
NY-11
NY-22

Unclear:
CA-21 I'd move this to the next level.
CA-25
IA-02
NJ-07 (AP call was likely premature)
UT-04

Uncalled but likely staying D:
AZ-01
IL-14
NY-03
NY-18
NY-19
WA-08

All the late California votes appear to be more favorable to the Republican than the Democrat, than they were on election night.

CA-8 went from +16,680 to +24,925 based on Monday's results.

CA-21 closed a tiny bit, but it appears that votes were released from only one county.

CA-25 Smith took the lead, but only votes from Los Angeles county were updated.

California is really horrible about letting counties count at their own pace.

CA-39 Kim's lead expanded from +2940 to +3550.

CA-48 Steele's lead increased from +6191 to +7346.

CA and NY officials should be ashamed of their voting system. What a mess.

[jimrtex]

It appears Cox and Smith have the best chance to hold on. Rouda and Cisneros though... (I guess Cisneros has a small chance still)

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1326146687015006209

The thing is that the votes in CA-21 are not low because of outstanding ballots, but because there are fewer adult citizens in the district.

The district has 62% of the average number of registered voters per district statewide.

[Torie]

Miller Meeks lead now 22 votes. Johnson county showed up with a 14 vote margin from somewhere. The other change was a Pub precinct was missed.

https://twitter.com/LauraRBelin/status/1326041766173302789

[VAR]

Dems losing two House seats in Iowa while expecting to defeat Ernst would be hilarious.

[Calthrina950]

Dems losing two House seats in Iowa while expecting to defeat Ernst would be hilarious.

And Axne may be on borrowed time, and could easily go down to defeat in 2022. Moreover, what happened in the race between Feenstra and Scholten? I'm assuming that Feenstra won by double digits, since he's not Steve King?

[2016]

Miller Meeks lead now 22 votes. Johnson county showed up with a 14 vote margin from somewhere. The other change was a Pub precinct was missed.

https://twitter.com/LauraRBelin/status/1326041766173302789

Miller-Meeks lead is now confirmed by the Iowa Secretary of State's Office
https://electionresults.iowa.gov/IA/106279/web.264614/#/summary
They have it at 34 Votes.

[lfromnj]

Dems losing two House seats in Iowa while expecting to defeat Ernst would be hilarious.

And Axne may be on borrowed time, and could easily go down to defeat in 2022. Moreover, what happened in the race between Feenstra and Scholten? I'm assuming that Feenstra won by double digits, since he's not Steve King?

They might just gerrymander iowa 3 1.