CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD

[S019]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1325889625441923077
No mention of NJ-07.

NJ-07 is over, Malinowski is leading by 5, I really don't see Kean coming back. Kean is doing worse or the same as Lance in each of the GOP counties, I think in one he might be outperforming Lance by 1, but given Lance lost by 5, it won't be enough

[VAR]

Apparently people are annoyed at Wasserman calling CA-48 "LA suburbs"

[VAR]

https://twitter.com/JMilesColeman/status/1324909912242139137

People really slept on Senator Tillis...

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

Apparently people are annoyed at Wasserman calling CA-48 "LA suburbs"

I'm annoyed at him calling it LA suburbs

[lfromnj]

If Hunterdon is fully in then Malinowski almost certainly has this, Kean isn't even netting 8k votes from there while Trump netted 10k in 2016.

[n1240]

If Hunterdon is fully in then Malinowski almost certainly has this, Kean isn't even netting 8k votes from there while Trump netted 10k in 2016.

Counties won't start counting provisionals until 3-7 days to now (generally depends on when they finish counting their mail-in votes) and it probably ends up being around 5-7% of total vote I'd guess, but it's probably going to be very Republican. I don't think it will be enough though but this probably ends up scary close (maybe Malinowski wins by 1-2 points).

[VAR]

UT-04
Owens (R) 47.60%
McAdams (D, inc.) 47.35%

[lfromnj]

Looks like Butterfield is only leading by 8 points, almost the same as Richard Hudson, there was redistricting but still.

[VAR]

NJ-07
Malinowski (D, inc.) 52.08%
Kean Jr. (R) 47.92%

The race has been called, but Van Drew is now up by 5.8% in NJ-02. Richter narrowed the gap to 8.2% in NJ-03.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Call the race.


https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1325927103645233156?s=19

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

UT-04
Owens (R) 47.60%
McAdams (D, inc.) 47.35%

F***, Owens is a real sleazeball and a crackpot to boot.

[VAR]

UT-04 update
Owens (R) 154,217 (47.54%)
McAdams (D, inc.) 153,522 (47.33%)

[AncestralDemocrat.]

UT-04 update
Owens (R) 154,217 (47.54%)
McAdams (D, inc.) 153,522 (47.33%)

Supposedly a very good drop from SLC, for Owens..

https://twitter.com/RobertGehrke/status/1325936682521161729?s=19

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Looks like Butterfield is only leading by 8 points, almost the same as Richard Hudson, there was redistricting but still.

I am in this district and his opponent was a real hardcore law and order type. Ran ads calling the protestors communist revolutionaries bent on chaos.

[Matty]

SLCo just dumped 17k ballots and it only decreased Owens lead by 60 votes

That is an awful sign for mcadams

[Tekken_Guy]

SLCo just dumped 17k ballots and it only decreased Owens lead by 60 votes

That is an awful sign for mcadams

If that’s the case, Jared Golden is the only super-vulnerable freshmen to survive.

Why are these ballots so favorable for Owens?

[LimoLiberal]

SLCo just dumped 17k ballots and it only decreased Owens lead by 60 votes

That is an awful sign for mcadams

NYT has McAdams up by 1600, where are you getting your numbers?

[2016]

SLCo just dumped 17k ballots and it only decreased Owens lead by 60 votes

That is an awful sign for mcadams

NYT has McAdams up by 1600, where are you getting your numbers?

NYT is outdated. The new Numbers are from the Utah Lt. Governors Office!

[Young Conservative]

SLCo just dumped 17k ballots and it only decreased Owens lead by 60 votes

That is an awful sign for mcadams

NYT has McAdams up by 1600, where are you getting your numbers?

They are talking about this vote dump. McAdams needs a bigger lead than her currently has to overcome the rest of the suburban/exurban dumps remaining. The fact he only netted 60 in the most liberal part of the district is not good.

[LimoLiberal]

SLCo just dumped 17k ballots and it only decreased Owens lead by 60 votes

That is an awful sign for mcadams

NYT has McAdams up by 1600, where are you getting your numbers?

They are talking about this vote dump. McAdams needs a bigger lead than her currently has to overcome the rest of the suburban/exurban dumps remaining. The fact he only netted 60 in the most liberal part of the district is not good.

I believe the suburban/exurban counties are done, leaving about 32K ballots in SLC. But yeah, if McAdams is barely winning these SLC drops that's not going to be enough.

[Roll Roons]

https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/margin-in-nj-7-down-to-14405-votes/

Per NJ Globe, Malinowski is up 14K in NJ-07, with 70K uncounted (presumably including provisionals, which are expected to be heavily R). For comparison, he was up by 28K on election night. A lot of the uncounted ballots are from Morris, where Kean has been gaining with each ballot drop. This one isn't over.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1325952297839390720?s=19

Excellent drop for Kim..

[wbrocks67]

You know what's funny, for all the handwringing about Spanberger's close margin, she... got the same margin she got in 2018.

Which, given the trends we've seen in House Dems doing worse than 2018, actually shows that Spanberger is a very good candidate. But was she not expecting a close race? She only won by 2 in 2018 and did the same again this year, even with Trump on the ballot. I just find it funny how in reality, she probably ended up doing better than she should've, given the circumstances.

[LimoLiberal]

https://newjerseyglobe.com/congress/margin-in-nj-7-down-to-14405-votes/

Per NJ Globe, Malinowski is up 14K in NJ-07, with 70K uncounted (presumably including provisionals, which are expected to be heavily R). For comparison, he was up by 28K on election night. A lot of the uncounted ballots are from Morris, where Kean has been gaining with each ballot drop. This one isn't over.

Kean will win, probably with a 5K margin or more.

Kim looks golden in CA-39, Steele has won in CA-48 and Valadao will probably win in CA-21. I think Garcia is favored in CA-25 as well. If Owens holds on in Utah and Marianette Miller-Meeks somehow takes the lead in the recount Rs will net 12 seats for a 220-214 Democratic majority. Republicans would then have been like 20,000 votes (IA-03, IL-14, TX-15) from a House majority.

Holy sh**t.

[2016]

https://twitter.com/rpyers/status/1325952297839390720?s=19

Excellent drop for Kim..

Still incredibly nervous! Hopefully Kim can hang on here!

Cisneros now needs giant favorable Vote dump from LA County to have a chance. 4,000 Votes is a lot!