CONGRESSIONAL RESULTS MEGA THREAD

[VAR]

IL-13: Davis is leading Londrigan by double digits with 82% of the vote in.
IL-17: Bustos is leading her opponent by only 2762 votes with 75% of the vote in.
MI-03: Meijer is up by 6 over Scholten with 96% of the vote in.
PA-08: Cartwright leads Bognet by 2 with 89% of the vote in.
PA-10: Perry leads by 10 points with 88% of the vote in.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Young Kim has taken the lead in CA-39..?

[Vespucci]

Young Kim has taken the lead in CA-39..?

Pretty sure she already had the lead. This race shifted to the Democrats with late ballots in 2018 so it might happen again.

[VAR]

CA-25 (86% in): Smith (D) leads 50.3-49.7.
CA-39 (87% in): Kim (R) leads 50.2-49.8.
CA-48 (94% in): Steel (R) leads 50.4-49.6.

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

CA-25 (86% in): Smith (D) leads 50.3-49.7.
CA-39 (87% in): Kim (R) leads 50.2-49.8.

Seems like I might be out of a job. To my understanding in person isn't fully counted in CA-25

[lfromnj]

Young Kim has taken the lead in CA-39..?

Pretty sure she already had the lead. This race shifted to the Democrats with late ballots in 2018 so it might happen again.

She trailed early on, counting is weird this time .

[GALeftist]

Maybe I should revisit that post about Democrats ignoring blue dogs at their own peril because without them they would lose all those districts...

[OSR stands with Israel]

Will Fletcher be in trouble in 2022

[riceowl]

Will Conor Lamb win?

[Vespucci]

Will Conor Lamb win?

They're basically tied, Lamb will probably take the lead with late ballots

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/mattgaetz/status/1324056663305969666
Gaetz and his fellow congresswoman are a great adventure                                                                                           

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

https://twitter.com/mattgaetz/status/1324056663305969666
Gaetz and his fellow congresswoman are a great adventure                                                                                           

Lmao, amazing

[2016]

Generally Speaking, this was a very bad Night for Congressional Democrats. There was talk about a 15 Seats Net Gain in the House and a Senate Takeover. Both won't be happening.

And when all the dust settles Republicans may actually have gained Seats in the House and are within striking Distance of a House Takeover in 2022.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

It's a shame about CA-50. The Ammar Campa-Najjar of 2018 would have won.

[MT Treasurer]

KS-SEN: Marshall leads Bollier by 13 points with 98% of the vote in.

Strong candidate Roger Marshall was real. With the eventual NUT map, he'll ascend not only to the Senate but to Valhalla where electoral titans like John Cornyn reside.

Marshall, Cornyn, Graham, Tuberville, and Collins all significantly outperformed expectations last night.

Don’t forget UTSD

[Person Man]

How many seats in the House after everything is said and done?

[Torie]

The Torie guess is 226 D to 209 R. The Pub max might be 223 D to 212 R.

One reason I avoided this orgy of predictions around here is my crystal ball revealed a quite flat bell curve, particularly when the vibe of a Hispanic (particularly male) Dem collapse in so many closely contested places stated agitating the air molecules. As Muon2 will tell you, Hispanics are law and order voters. I don't think those riots went unnoticed by them.

I think also some the Dem chat also pushed some higher SES centrist voters who are cross conflicted to split their tickets down ballot. The Pub survival rate was amazing. Two Pubs were redistricted out of their seats in NC, and the Pub in CA-25 who won in that special election is more likely than not to lose.  

The Torie man is old enough to tend to know what is an educated guess and what is a rather wild one.

In other news, I suspect Fox News called AZ prematurely because it did not know that late absentee or perhaps pre election in person voters (if AZ has those voters) in AZ were a much more Pub tranche than those who voted earlier. I did not know that either.

You will be hearing a lot less from Nancy Pelosi. The Pub minority leader McCarthy was boasting that Nancy may have lost effective control of the House more often than not, and he might be right. A fair number  of Dems in vulnerable seats going forward have not vested their pension benefits sufficiently yet, and will want to try to hang around to juice them up.

[VAR]

Herrera Beutler (R) leads by double digits in WA-03 with 98% of the vote in.

[Roll Roons]

Herrera Beutler (R) leads by double digits in WA-03 with 98% of the vote in.

Yeah, not sure why that one hasn't been called.

[Torie]

And why have NY-11, NY-22 and NY-24 not been called? The Pubs there have very fat margins.

[VAR]

A couple updates.

IL-14
Oberweis (R) 50.1%
Underwood (D) 49.9%

IL-17
Bustos (D) 51.8%
King (R) 48.2%

NV-03
Lee (D) 48.2%
Rodimer (R) 46.7%

NV-04
Horsford (D) 49.7%
Marchant (R) 47.3%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

IL17's been called for Bustos by AP/the NYT, saving House leadership an embarrassment.

[The Dowager Mod]

Watching Max Rose get squished was very satisfying. 

[ChiefFireWaterMike]

IL17's been called for Bustos by AP/the NYT, saving House leadership an embarrassment.

Still an embarrassment. What is this, Tom Daschle, way too close, show's Bustos shouldn't have been in charge.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

The AP calls it for Haley Stevens. That's late, though, and it should be clear that gun control rhetoric should be silenced, yesterday.