Joe Biden & Lucy McBath up double digits in GA-06, according to private GOP polls

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

https://twitter.com/NilesGApol/status/1323450582737309696

[Hammy]

Was McBath ever at risk in the first place or is this a significantly larger margin than one would normally expect here? I don't have a good understanding of CD polling.

[redjohn]

Biden is taking Georgia by storm. It's going to be one of the major cracks in the red wall as results trickle in tomorrow. Republicans who think Trump stands a good chance of winning this election are in for a shock.

[forsythvoter]

McBath won by 1% in 2018 and GA-6 went for Trump by 2% in 2016, so a double digit margin for Biden and McBath would be pretty significant.

Was McBath ever at risk in the first place or is this a significantly larger margin than one would normally expect here? I don't have a good understanding of CD polling.

[Progressive Pessimist]

What movie scares Trump the most: 'The Burbs!'

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Abrams won here by 3% and she only lost by 1% statewide. A double digit win here and in GA-07 means lights out for the GOP.

[Podgy the Bear]

Was McBath ever at risk in the first place or is this a significantly larger margin than one would normally expect here? I don't have a good understanding of CD polling.

She has remained popular throughout her term and has run a good race.  It will be a rout over Handel tomorrow.

The concern will be for 2022 after redistricting.  

[Bootes Void]

thats a suburban bloodbath, and Georgia is tilt Biden if true. Eric Erickson was talking out of his own ass of a potential comeback

[Holmes]

Yeah, this seat is gone for Republicans along with the rest of the Atlanta suburbs, and with them, the state, most likely.

[Not Me, Us]

Was McBath ever at risk in the first place or is this a significantly larger margin than one would normally expect here? I don't have a good understanding of CD polling.

She has remained popular throughout her term and has run a good race.  It will be a rout over Handel tomorrow.

The concern will be for 2022 after redistricting.  

Do Dems have a shot at either state legislative chamber? That could be a check on Kemp and the GA GOP.

[Buzz]

Doubt the margin, but I never thought Handel had a chance.  She has had a lot of ads though...

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

Was McBath ever at risk in the first place or is this a significantly larger margin than one would normally expect here? I don't have a good understanding of CD polling.

She has remained popular throughout her term and has run a good race.  It will be a rout over Handel tomorrow.

The concern will be for 2022 after redistricting.  

She can just threaten to run statewide if they gerrymander her out.

[Devils30]

Biden is winning Georgia if he wins here by 10, there's no way around it. Even Ossoff might get to 50.01% then.

[Pericles]

Gosh, some of the swings tomorrow could be truly glorious.

[forsythvoter]

GA-6 was a district that Romney won by 25%, just so folks have a sense of how hard the northern ATL burbs have swung D under Trump. Mirrors my own political evolution too.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Thank You Alpharetta Wine Moms

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

thats a suburban bloodbath, and Georgia is tilt Biden if true. Eric Erickson was talking out of his own ass of a potential comeback

A quick read through Erik Erickson's twitter feed would tell you that he's nothing but a GOP hack who peddles right-wing bullsh*t while pretending to be a legitimate journalist.

[lfromnj]

Was McBath ever at risk in the first place or is this a significantly larger margin than one would normally expect here? I don't have a good understanding of CD polling.

She has remained popular throughout her term and has run a good race.  It will be a rout over Handel tomorrow.

The concern will be for 2022 after redistricting.  

She can just threaten to run statewide if they gerrymander her out.

Not a legitimate threat IMO, the best bet for her is HR1 passing.

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Was McBath ever at risk in the first place or is this a significantly larger margin than one would normally expect here? I don't have a good understanding of CD polling.

She has remained popular throughout her term and has run a good race.  It will be a rout over Handel tomorrow.

The concern will be for 2022 after redistricting.  

She can just threaten to run statewide if they gerrymander her out.

Not a legitimate threat IMO, the best bet for her is HR1 passing.

GA is getting a 5th VRA district. She can always carpetbag down to South Cobb and run from there.

[lfromnj]

Was McBath ever at risk in the first place or is this a significantly larger margin than one would normally expect here? I don't have a good understanding of CD polling.

She has remained popular throughout her term and has run a good race.  It will be a rout over Handel tomorrow.

The concern will be for 2022 after redistricting.  

She can just threaten to run statewide if they gerrymander her out.

Not a legitimate threat IMO, the best bet for her is HR1 passing.

GA is getting a 5th VRA district. She can always carpetbag down to South Cobb and run from there.

Or yeah a more specific and updated VRA with strict descriptions. The current VRA would require only 3 VRA seats in Atlanta, maybe after a lot of Appeals the SW GA seat too.

[EJ24]

#burbstomped

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

Confirms that GA is VA 2.0

[GeorgiaModerate]

I used to be in GA-06 every day (my office is there, but I've been working from home since March) and my observation was that even some Republicans approved of McBath. I would have guessed she'd win by high single digits.

[Podgy the Bear]

GA-6 was a district that Romney won by 25%, just so folks have a sense of how hard the northern ATL burbs have swung D under Trump. Mirrors my own political evolution too.

Think about it--this was Newt Gingrich's district.  

[DaleCooper]

GA-6 was a district that Romney won by 25%, just so folks have a sense of how hard the northern ATL burbs have swung D under Trump. Mirrors my own political evolution too.

Think about it--this was Newt Gingrich's district.  

I thought Newt represented a rural district. Is it just the same number?