2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Tender Branson]

CO is now basically done as well, because Gunnison County was the last county to certify yesterday after a Covid outbreak there.

There’s still a recount going on in CO and certification will happen next week.

[Tender Branson]

Electoral Vote tracker, based on official/certified states + DC

48/51:

222 Trump
283 Biden

November 5th
Delaware

November 6th
New Hampshire

November 10th
Oklahoma
South Dakota
Vermont

November 11th
South Carolina
Wyoming

November 12th
North Dakota

November 17th
Florida

November 18th
Idaho
Mississippi
Virginia

November 19th
Louisiana
Massachusetts

November 20th
Georgia
Kentucky

November 23rd
Alabama
Maine (3 EV Biden, 1 EV Trump)
Michigan
Utah

November 24th
Arkansas
Hawaii
Indiana
Minnesota
Nevada
New Mexico
North Carolina
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Texas

November 25th
Connecticut

November 30th
Alaska
Arizona
Iowa
Montana
Nebraska (4 EV Trump, 1 EV Biden)
Rhode Island
Wisconsin

December 1st
Kansas
Washington
West Virginia

December 2nd
District of Columbia
Tennessee

December 3rd
New York
Oregon

December 4th
California
Illinois
Maryland

December 8th
Missouri
New Jersey

December 14th
Electoral College votes

Unknown dates
Colorado (missed Nov. 30 deadline)

Results:

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html
https://cookpolitical.com/2020-national-popular-vote-tracker?

States that have already sent their Certificates of Ascertainment to the National Archives:

21/51

110 EV - Biden
104 EV - Trump
324 EV - None
538 EV - Total

https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/2020

[Tender Branson]

Kinda sad that CO takes so long to certify its results after being hyped for having such a „good“ election system ...

[Gass3268]

This is amazing:

https://twitter.com/AndrewPWeis/status/1335067623508365312?s=20

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

This is amazing:

https://twitter.com/AndrewPWeis/status/1335067623508365312?s=20

*Best performance for a Democratic presidential candidate since the racist Horatio Seymour in 1868.

[Hnv1]

This is amazing:

https://twitter.com/AndrewPWeis/status/1335067623508365312?s=20

Remarkable, but a ceiling, inevitable R swing in 2024. He even did well in conservative parts of the state

[Benjamin Frank]

'Borrowed' a VPN.  Got the Connecticut and Nevada official results.  Pennsylvania is a hybrid of saying the results are certified along with saying the results are 'unofficial' because they don't include the ballots received after election day.  

I had thought that the Idaho website was redirecting me, but, in fact, their website is still saying 'unofficial results' as is California.

I figured out Washington State, the results on their website are official and certified. 

This still leaves the following states without official or certified results on their website:
1.California
2.Colorado (due to the Covid outbreak)
3.Idaho
4.Minnesota
5.Missouri
6.New Jersey
7.New York (bunch of jerks)
8.Pennsylvania

[Annatar]

It is interesting that now that only 2 states have trended Republican in every election since 2004, Arkansas and Pennsylvania, states like West Virginia, Tennessee etc all trended democratic, but Arkansas and Pennsylvania remain the only 2 states that have trended Republican 4 times in a row.

[wbrocks67]

'Borrowed' a VPN.  Got the Connecticut and Nevada official results.  Pennsylvania is a hybrid of saying the results are certified along with saying the results are 'unofficial' because they don't include the ballots received after election day.  

I had thought that the Idaho website was redirecting me, but, in fact, their website is still saying 'unofficial results' as is California.

I figured out Washington State, the results on their website are official and certified. 

This still leaves the following states without official or certified results on their website:
1.California
2.Colorado (due to the Covid outbreak)
3.Idaho
4.Minnesota
5.Missouri
6.New Jersey
7.New York (bunch of jerks)
8.Pennsylvania

Yeah this is really confusing me. Those votes were supposed to count, and voters had expected them to count too. All court challenges to them failed. So I don't understand why they are not in the final totals.

[wbrocks67]

What was the case of Maryland specifically? Obviously it's super blue and Biden did well in the entire Northeast, but he should really be commended for that performance there.

[forsythvoter]

What was the case of Maryland specifically? Obviously it's super blue and Biden did well in the entire Northeast, but he should really be commended for that performance there.

MD seems like a state that is tailor made for a candidate like Biden, especially in an election where the opponent is Trump:
1) It's one of the most college educated states, primarily suburban and has a high black population (that's pretty highly educated too). On this point, MD isn't just suburban, it also contains the suburbs of the DC metro, which seems to dislike Trump more than any other major metro area in the country.
2) On top of that you have Biden being from next door and a lot of voters probably were familiar with his record / accomplishments just from the local media coverage over the years and liked what they saw.
3) Trump's unthoughtful comments about military members and their families hurt him among this voting bloc and this shows in Anne Arundel County, which has Ft. Meade and the  Naval Academy.

[Non Swing Voter]

so basically everyone has certified and Trump's pathetic attempts to overturn this should no longer be given news coverage...

[BudgieForce]

so basically everyone has certified and Trump's pathetic attempts to overturn this should no longer be given news coverage...

We're still waiting on Georgia's re-certification, but basically.

[Skye]

Biden won Mission Hills, KS by 39%. Clinton won it by a point in 2016. Also Romney +40

You have your numbers wrong. He won it by 12.

[Non Swing Voter]

What was the case of Maryland specifically? Obviously it's super blue and Biden did well in the entire Northeast, but he should really be commended for that performance there.

MD is trending blue the same way VA is, people just haven't paid as much attention to it because it was already a solid blue state.

There are generally 3 main population centers in Maryland. 

1) You have the Baltimore area which has historically been Democrat, but the suburbs are turning more Democratic.

2) You have minority areas just outside of DC, mainly Prince George's but now also growing into Anne Arundel County which have historically been Democrat but are gaining in population and shifting counties like Anne Arundel more towards Democrats.

3) You have extremely wealthy areas outside of DC, mainly heavily populated Montgomery County.  This is kind of where the movement is.  It's basically very similar to Fairfax County in Virginia.  It's filled with educated upper middle class white, asian, and other minority voters who have been trending Democratic for years.

The more rural parts of Maryland are extremely sparsely populated and some of them aren't super religious conservative in the same way that Southern Virginia is (though some are). 

So basically the three main population centers have been trending blue to varying degrees for years and there's little to nothing to offset that. 

[Skye]

Biden won Mission Hills, KS by 39%. Clinton won it by a point in 2016. Also Romney +40

How did it vote for senate?

Bollier won it 52.7-43.

[VAR]

Biden won Mission Hills, KS by 39%. Clinton won it by a point in 2016. Also Romney +40

You have your numbers wrong. He won it by 12.

Oops, my bad.

[Benjamin Frank]

so basically everyone has certified and Trump's pathetic attempts to overturn this should no longer be given news coverage...

The U.S Supreme Court still hasn't weighed in yet, one way or the other.

[Wiz in Wis]

so basically everyone has certified and Trump's pathetic attempts to overturn this should no longer be given news coverage...

The U.S Supreme Court still hasn't weighed in yet, one way or the other.

I hate to break this to you, but by not expediting any of the appeals to them yet, they HAVE spoken.

[Benjamin Frank]

so basically everyone has certified and Trump's pathetic attempts to overturn this should no longer be given news coverage...

The U.S Supreme Court still hasn't weighed in yet, one way or the other.

I hate to break this to you, but by not expediting any of the appeals to them yet, they HAVE spoken.

Hrm, I hadn't thought of it that way.  Thanks.

[2952-0-0]

The Michigan electors had their addresses posted on the certificate. Isn't that...a problem?

[neostassenite31]

The Michigan electors had their addresses posted on the certificate. Isn't that...a problem?

They're all Democrats chosen by the Michigan Democratic party. Failure to vote for the Democratic candidates will result in their automatic resignation and cancellation of their vote per Michigan election law. 

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

The Michigan electors had their addresses posted on the certificate. Isn't that...a problem?

They're all Democrats chosen by the Michigan Democratic party. Failure to vote for the Democratic candidates will result in their automatic resignation and cancellation of their vote per Michigan election law. 

I think the worry is more that they'll face personal threats from the Trump cult. We are talking about a state where Trump's supporters planned on kidnapping or murdering the governor. What happens to their votes if they're unable to show up and vote? And even if they do, violent retaliation afterward instigated by Mr. Trump seems worryingly likely.

[South Dakota Democrat]

Are we going to get to 800 pages?

[Hammy]

The Michigan electors had their addresses posted on the certificate. Isn't that...a problem?

They're all Democrats chosen by the Michigan Democratic party. Failure to vote for the Democratic candidates will result in their automatic resignation and cancellation of their vote per Michigan election law. 

I think the worry is more that they'll face personal threats from the Trump cult. We are talking about a state where Trump's supporters planned on kidnapping or murdering the governor. What happens to their votes if they're unable to show up and vote? And even if they do, violent retaliation afterward instigated by Mr. Trump seems worryingly likely.

Pretty sure they'll ask to be replaced first.