2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Tender Branson]

7/51 certificates of ascertainment have already arrived at the National Archives.

[Tender Branson]

What's wrong with using the Atlas map with proper Atlas colors? The "official" color scheme is stupid anyway.

[Tender Branson]

According to my count, 30/51 „states“ are now official.

Cook Political Report shows 26.

According to them, HI/ID/MS/NV remain unofficial.

Original post updated.

[Annatar]

Does anyone know why Richland county IL swung so much in 2016-2020, is there some specific thing going on in that county.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

NY update:

Absentee count:

Biden 573847 (73.5%)
Trump 193539 (24.8%)
Total 780330

Margin of 48.7%, average weighted final eday margin of Trump +2.6%, so average swing of 51.3%.

Statewide total:

Biden 4272479 (57.5%)
Trump 3044309 (40.9%)
Total 7296726

standard map:



swings:

Excellent, thank you!!

Kinda disappointed in the North Country honestly. The Essex swing made me hope that it'd come back as a block or almost, but in the end Biden only won 2 of the 4 core counties and one of them even swung to the right. At least the other 3 clearly trended left. Guess I'll take it.

A Dem assemblywoman in a seat drawn to be safe Dem went down in defeat in 2018, so I guess the result in the counties bordering Quebec this time around isn't entirely shocking.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Does anyone know why Richland county IL swung so much in 2016-2020, is there some specific thing going on in that county.

Trump secured similar swings in other nearby counties in Southern IL. So whatever caused this must not have been Richland-specific.

[n1240]

Dane/Milwaukee recount status:

Dane: 11.2% of vote recounted, Biden loses 35 votes, Trump loses 13 votes, Trump net of 22 votes
Milwaukee: 12.6% of vote recounted, Biden gains 1 vote, Trump gains 1 vote, net of 0 votes

Milwaukee City and Madison currently do not have any votes tabulated for their recounts yet.

update:

Dane: 23.2% of vote recounted, Biden loses 51 votes, Trump loses 10 votes, Trump net of 41 votes
Milwaukee: no change, will check later

Dane: 36.2% of vote recounted, Biden loses 81 votes, Trump loses 15 votes, Trump net of 66 votes
Milwaukee: 25.7% of vote recounted, Biden gains 3 votes, Trump loses 6 votes, Biden net of 9 votes

note: nothing from Milwaukee city or Madison (they don't seem to report results until full municipalities are counted)

Dane: 46.7% of vote recounted, Biden loses 83 votes, Trump loses 17 Votes, Trump net of 66 votes
Milwaukee: 41.0% of vote recounted, Biden gains 10 votes, Trump loses 4 votes, Biden net of 14 votes

Dane: no change
Milwaukee: 45.8% of vote recounted, Biden gains 4 votes, Trump loses 3 votes, Biden net of 7 votes

note: vote changes are cumulative, not single day, so Trump net of 59 overall as is.

[Skill and Chance]

Dane/Milwaukee recount status:

Dane: 11.2% of vote recounted, Biden loses 35 votes, Trump loses 13 votes, Trump net of 22 votes
Milwaukee: 12.6% of vote recounted, Biden gains 1 vote, Trump gains 1 vote, net of 0 votes

Milwaukee City and Madison currently do not have any votes tabulated for their recounts yet.

update:

Dane: 23.2% of vote recounted, Biden loses 51 votes, Trump loses 10 votes, Trump net of 41 votes
Milwaukee: no change, will check later

Dane: 36.2% of vote recounted, Biden loses 81 votes, Trump loses 15 votes, Trump net of 66 votes
Milwaukee: 25.7% of vote recounted, Biden gains 3 votes, Trump loses 6 votes, Biden net of 9 votes

note: nothing from Milwaukee city or Madison (they don't seem to report results until full municipalities are counted)

Dane: 46.7% of vote recounted, Biden loses 83 votes, Trump loses 17 Votes, Trump net of 66 votes
Milwaukee: 41.0% of vote recounted, Biden gains 10 votes, Trump loses 4 votes, Biden net of 14 votes

Dane: no change
Milwaukee: 45.8% of vote recounted, Biden gains 4 votes, Trump loses 3 votes, Biden net of 7 votes

note: vote changes are cumulative, not single day, so Trump net of 59 overall as is.

Milwaukee and Dane have to be counting different types of ballots first?  Or using different rejection criteria altogether?  They have similar populations so this makes no sense.

[WD]

Ladies and gentlemen, we are reaching absolutely critical levels of cope:

https://mobile.twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1331987171700510720?s=20

[Mike88]

Ladies and gentlemen, we are reaching absolutely critical levels of cope:

https://mobile.twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1331987171700510720?s=20

Someone is sleeping a lot lately. Biden has more than 80 million votes since Tuesday morning.

[n1240]

Dane/Milwaukee recount status:

Dane: 11.2% of vote recounted, Biden loses 35 votes, Trump loses 13 votes, Trump net of 22 votes
Milwaukee: 12.6% of vote recounted, Biden gains 1 vote, Trump gains 1 vote, net of 0 votes

Milwaukee City and Madison currently do not have any votes tabulated for their recounts yet.

update:

Dane: 23.2% of vote recounted, Biden loses 51 votes, Trump loses 10 votes, Trump net of 41 votes
Milwaukee: no change, will check later

Dane: 36.2% of vote recounted, Biden loses 81 votes, Trump loses 15 votes, Trump net of 66 votes
Milwaukee: 25.7% of vote recounted, Biden gains 3 votes, Trump loses 6 votes, Biden net of 9 votes

note: nothing from Milwaukee city or Madison (they don't seem to report results until full municipalities are counted)

Dane: 46.7% of vote recounted, Biden loses 83 votes, Trump loses 17 Votes, Trump net of 66 votes
Milwaukee: 41.0% of vote recounted, Biden gains 10 votes, Trump loses 4 votes, Biden net of 14 votes

Dane: no change
Milwaukee: 45.8% of vote recounted, Biden gains 4 votes, Trump loses 3 votes, Biden net of 7 votes

note: vote changes are cumulative, not single day, so Trump net of 59 overall as is.

Milwaukee and Dane have to be counting different types of ballots first?  Or using different rejection criteria altogether?  They have similar populations so this makes no sense.

Dane seems to have more stringent rejection standards. They don't seem to be counting by type, rather by ward, they only display results by ward if the ward recount is complete.

[Tender Branson]

Ladies and gentlemen, we are reaching absolutely critical levels of cope:

https://mobile.twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1331987171700510720?s=20

All 73 million votes for President Trump are ok, legal and beautiful.

All 80 million votes for the devil Biden and succubus Harris are fake (news).

[Mike88]

The recounts so far have been a complete waste of time and money. The Georgia 2nd recount has already started, right?

[GeorgiaModerate]

The recounts so far have been a complete waste of time and money. The Georgia 2nd recount has already started, right?

Yes.

[Non Swing Voter]

good summary:

https://www.cnn.com/2020/11/26/politics/joe-biden-win-analysis/index.html

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

7/51 certificates of ascertainment have already arrived at the National Archives.

Which ones?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Does anyone know why Richland county IL swung so much in 2016-2020, is there some specific thing going on in that county.

that 85-15 thing is an error, this is what it really is

[n1240]

7/51 certificates of ascertainment have already arrived at the National Archives.

Which ones?

can find them here

AL, GA, LA, MI, ND, PA, SD

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

7/51 certificates of ascertainment have already arrived at the National Archives.

Which ones?

can find them here

AL, GA, LA, MI, ND, PA, SD

Lmao so that hack judge's injunction didn't even stop this step of the process in PA? WEAK!

[Antonio the Sixth]

Any word on when NYC is gonna finish?

[Panda Express]

People who lean left really didn't mess around this election. Howie Hawkins only got .25%. That's the worst performance for the Green Party I've ever seen. Howie Hawkins doesn't even seem that bad, he's not a clown like Stein but still, rather impressive how united the left was this election.

[Tender Branson]

Any word on when NYC is gonna finish?

2029 or so.

[President Johnson]

Ladies and gentlemen, we are reaching absolutely critical levels of cope:

https://mobile.twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1331987171700510720?s=20

[Bootes Void]

People who lean left really didn't mess around this election. Howie Hawkins only got .25%. That's the worst performance for the Green Party I've ever seen. Howie Hawkins doesn't even seem that bad, he's not a clown like Stein but still, rather impressive how united the left was this election.

That's true but there were some votes for Jorgensen and other third parties. Overall the third party vote is smaller this year because the bases were more supportive of their candidiates compared to 2016

[izixs]

People who lean left really didn't mess around this election. Howie Hawkins only got .25%. That's the worst performance for the Green Party I've ever seen. Howie Hawkins doesn't even seem that bad, he's not a clown like Stein but still, rather impressive how united the left was this election.

One side effect of being a clown (and supported via a rather corrupt support network) is that it meant Stein got attention, for better or worse. And was thus more of a known figure on the left compared to Hawkins.