2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Fargobison]

This is unhinged....

https://twitter.com/jaketapper/status/1325615685578477570

[Non Swing Voter]

This is unhinged....

https://twitter.com/jaketapper/status/1325615685578477570

Perhaps Rudy is afraid of criminal prosecution if Trump isn't in the WH?

[ucscgaldamez1]

327 Arizona votes, source unknown

Biden 55.2% / 44.8% Trump   

33+ votes to Biden

Biden leads 16,985

where did you see this from?

[Fargobison]

Perhaps Rudy is afraid of criminal prosecution if Trump isn't in the WH?

Sometimes it is hard for me to tell who is worse between him and Graham, whatever Trump has on them must be amazing. 

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

TBF, he didn’t say that, he just said ‘change the system’ to what is left unsaid. But this is the proposal that’s been floating around wingnut circles for a long time.

Yeah, the thing is, like randomusername said, he can't mean to change the system to a national popular vote, because the GOP lost that 7 of the last 8 times. It sure sounds from that like Graham doesn't want to live in a country with a democratically elected government.

The especially bad part about that is:

1) Graham was literally just re-elected a few days ago. There is no real argument that he has to say this in order to win his Republican primary or something like that which might serve as an excuses (not that it would really be an excuse, but at least it could be a rationalization).
2) As far as the GOP has any "elder statesman" type figures left - someone who has been around for a while and who should be committed to upholding American institutions - Graham would (or should) probably be one of them.

If people like him are not going to help steer the GOP back towards basic American democratic values, and indeed are going to actively push it in the other direction, then God help us all. Despite Trump being defeated, there is grave danger that things are going to get worse before they get better.

[Non Swing Voter]

Perhaps Rudy is afraid of criminal prosecution if Trump isn't in the WH?

Sometimes it is hard for me to tell who is worse between him and Graham, whatever Trump has on them must be amazing. 

Rudy is definitely worse.  He's a freaking lunatic at this point.  A total traitor.  I truly hope he's charged with something. 

Graham is just a self-serving slime ball with no dignity or self worth.

[GP270watch]

327 Arizona votes, source unknown

Biden 55.2% / 44.8% Trump   

33+ votes to Biden

Biden leads 16,985

where did you see this from?

https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-election-scraper/battleground-state-changes.html

[NOVA Green]

Once this is released, rip up the Jackson ones and take them to the bank to get Tubman's. As long as both serial numbers on the ripped ones match, it's legal.

Fact Check.... wait until the Jackson's are no longer legit before anyone on Atlas / TE rips up their $20 Bills and takes them to the bank.

Stockdale for VP gotta point that the Jacksons will likely be replaced by Tubman's under a Biden Gvt, but I would highly suggest not tearing up your money quite yet, until the new bills come around.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/12/politics/harriet-tubman-20-mnuchin-trnd/index.html

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Trump is surging on predictit.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Trump is surging on predictit.

Free money if anyone is so inclined.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Trump is surging on predictit.

Lol by 4.

Probably just some rando who is hoping the SC is going to Bush v. Gore the results of six states.

[brucejoel99]

Once this is released, rip up the Jackson ones and take them to the bank to get Tubman's. As long as both serial numbers on the ripped ones match, it's legal.

Obviously, priority #1 is gonna be a stimulus package, but I really do hope that Secretary Brainard does eventually get around to expediting the process of putting Tubman on the $20 bill.

[S019ian Liberal]

Me neither, lol!

[Frodo]

This is the perfect page number to end this thread at. 

[Skill and Chance]

California keeps tightening with each update.  Biden is likely to end up with a lower CA margin of victory than Hillary when all is said and done.  WA/OR and NJ/MD are also tightening with late ballots.  I wouldn't expect the NPV margin to balloon like it did in 2016.  The NY absentees could be near unanimous Biden, but that could be last big PV swing he will get.

[BudgieForce]

California keeps tightening with each update.  Biden is likely to end up with a lower CA margin of victory than Hillary when all is said and done.  WA/OR and NJ/MD are also tightening with late ballots.  I wouldn't expect the NPV margin to balloon like it did in 2016.  The NY absentees could be near unanimous Biden, but that could be last big PV swing he will get.

Any chance we can get to 4%?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://twitter.com/RedEaglePatriot/status/1325534181477277697

Yes, we need a boring technocrat rn you simpleton.

[Bootes Void]

Hes gonna end up over 80 million votes. Anyways, california and some of the west coast states. are tightening, if this continues then the NPV and the tipping point state will not be as large as it was in 2016.

[Gass3268]

California keeps tightening with each update.  Biden is likely to end up with a lower CA margin of victory than Hillary when all is said and done.  WA/OR and NJ/MD are also tightening with late ballots.  I wouldn't expect the NPV margin to balloon like it did in 2016.  The NY absentees could be near unanimous Biden, but that could be last big PV swing he will get.

Really about Maryland? When I first looked Biden was ~60% and is now up to 63.33%.

Illinois still has ~600K, the vast majority are in Cook and Lake counties. There are also thousands of ballots left to count in predominantly Democratic areas in Virginia.

It would be nice if there was one place were we could see the total numbers of votes still outstanding.

[Skill and Chance]

California keeps tightening with each update.  Biden is likely to end up with a lower CA margin of victory than Hillary when all is said and done.  WA/OR and NJ/MD are also tightening with late ballots.  I wouldn't expect the NPV margin to balloon like it did in 2016.  The NY absentees could be near unanimous Biden, but that could be last big PV swing he will get.

Any chance we can get to 4%?

I think Biden will get to 4% with the NY absentees and the rest of Chicago, but I doubt he will get to 5%.  Also keep in mind that most downtowns are coming in a bit less Dem than 2016. 

[Skill and Chance]

California keeps tightening with each update.  Biden is likely to end up with a lower CA margin of victory than Hillary when all is said and done.  WA/OR and NJ/MD are also tightening with late ballots.  I wouldn't expect the NPV margin to balloon like it did in 2016.  The NY absentees could be near unanimous Biden, but that could be last big PV swing he will get.

Really about Maryland? When I first looked Biden was ~60% and is now up to 63.33%.

Illinois still has ~600K, the vast majority are in Cook and Lake counties. There are also thousands of ballots left to count in predominantly Democratic areas in Virginia.

It would be nice if there was one place were we could see the total numbers of votes still outstanding.

Maryland went up to 64ish and is now creeping down. 

[NOVA Green]

California keeps tightening with each update.  Biden is likely to end up with a lower CA margin of victory than Hillary when all is said and done.  WA/OR and NJ/MD are also tightening with late ballots.  I wouldn't expect the NPV margin to balloon like it did in 2016.  The NY absentees could be near unanimous Biden, but that could be last big PV swing he will get.

Really about Maryland? When I first looked Biden was ~60% and is now up to 63.33%.

Illinois still has ~600K, the vast majority are in Cook and Lake counties. There are also thousands of ballots left to count in predominantly Democratic areas in Virginia.

It would be nice if there was one place were we could see the total numbers of votes still outstanding.

Ohio votes outstanding will likely be quite beneficial to Biden as well in terms of not only RAW TOT Vote Margins, but additional in % Spread by Party.

[BudgieForce]

A few days ago Nate Silver estimated Biden's NPV would end up at 4.3%. Sounds about right.

[Skill and Chance]

California keeps tightening with each update.  Biden is likely to end up with a lower CA margin of victory than Hillary when all is said and done.  WA/OR and NJ/MD are also tightening with late ballots.  I wouldn't expect the NPV margin to balloon like it did in 2016.  The NY absentees could be near unanimous Biden, but that could be last big PV swing he will get.

Really about Maryland? When I first looked Biden was ~60% and is now up to 63.33%.

Illinois still has ~600K, the vast majority are in Cook and Lake counties. There are also thousands of ballots left to count in predominantly Democratic areas in Virginia.

It would be nice if there was one place were we could see the total numbers of votes still outstanding.

Ohio votes outstanding will likely be quite beneficial to Biden as well in terms of not only RAW TOT Vote Margins, but additional in % Spread by Party.

Yes, that's true.  Ohio is big enough to matter for NPV too.

[GoTfan]

Friendly reminder that the electoral college is still the dumbest system around for electing a President.