2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 646772 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #15575 on: November 07, 2020, 11:15:18 AM »
Quote from: BlueSwan on November 07, 2020, 11:14:29 AM
So I guess we're getting like another 100 vote drop from PA??

2-3K votes from Philadelphia by noon EST, they're saying.
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DaleCooper
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« Reply #15576 on: November 07, 2020, 11:15:37 AM »
BREAKING: Pennsylvania will announce how long its next delay with be at 12pm EST on Monday, November 16.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #15577 on: November 07, 2020, 11:15:56 AM »
Quote from: n1240 on November 07, 2020, 11:15:02 AM
Provisional votes are a bit difficult to predict, which is most of what is left in AZ. On one hand they are mostly cast in-person so would be favorable to Trump, on other hand, they are demographically more favorable to Biden.

Does AZ make people fill out a provisional if they vote in person after requesting a mail-in ballot?
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BigSerg
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« Reply #15578 on: November 07, 2020, 11:16:00 AM »
Quote from: DaleCooper on November 07, 2020, 11:12:40 AM
Wasserman says that the Maricopa ballots weren't enough to put Trump on track to beat Biden in AZ. He'll need to perform even better in the remaining votes.
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Splash
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« Reply #15579 on: November 07, 2020, 11:16:21 AM »
This election is never going to end if the networks don't call PA for Biden once he crosses the 0.5% threshold...

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #15580 on: November 07, 2020, 11:16:30 AM »
Quote from: DaleCooper on November 07, 2020, 11:15:37 AM
BREAKING: Pennsylvania will announce how long its next delay with be at 12pm EST on Monday, November 16.

You should be glad there's not a dis-recommend button. Wink
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #15581 on: November 07, 2020, 11:17:05 AM »
NYT "calling" Maricopa County for Biden.  

Quote
This is the first time Maricopa County voters chose a Democrat for president in more than 70 years.

That oft-dismissed scenario where Biden wins Maricopa County but loses the state is not out of the question.  
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Mike88
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« Reply #15582 on: November 07, 2020, 11:18:09 AM »
So, from Pennsylvania its 2-3K from Philly and 7K from Pittsburg, right?
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charcuterie
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« Reply #15583 on: November 07, 2020, 11:18:11 AM »
Quote from: Splash on November 07, 2020, 11:16:21 AM
This election is never going to end if the networks don't call PA for Biden once he crosses the 0.5% threshold...


Unfortunately, with only 7,000 ballots being reported at that time, we're going to probably have to wait for ANOTHER dump for a call. Unbelievable.
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BigSerg
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« Reply #15584 on: November 07, 2020, 11:18:24 AM »
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #15585 on: November 07, 2020, 11:18:27 AM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 07, 2020, 11:17:05 AM
NYT "calling" Maricopa County for Biden.  

Quote
This is the first time Maricopa County voters chose a Democrat for president in more than 70 years.

That oft-dismissed scenario where Biden wins Maricopa County but loses the state is not out of the question.  

It really is 2M+ cities vs. everything else now. 
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Splash
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« Reply #15586 on: November 07, 2020, 11:19:38 AM »
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #15587 on: November 07, 2020, 11:19:38 AM »
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on November 07, 2020, 11:17:05 AM
NYT "calling" Maricopa County for Biden.  

Quote
This is the first time Maricopa County voters chose a Democrat for president in more than 70 years.

That oft-dismissed scenario where Biden wins Maricopa County but loses the state is not out of the question.  

Odd that they'd call a county, no?
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #15588 on: November 07, 2020, 11:19:39 AM »
It seems like their should be some minimum number of ballots required to refer to something as a “dump”.
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ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #15589 on: November 07, 2020, 11:20:53 AM »
So was the FOX news and AP call of AZ premature or do they really know something we don't know?
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #15590 on: November 07, 2020, 11:21:02 AM »
Are there really 45K Maricopa ballots left, or are they done?  That's a big difference for whether Arizona is callable or not.
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Inmate Trump
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« Reply #15591 on: November 07, 2020, 11:21:17 AM »
The year is 2085.

Climate change has rendered most parts of the planet virtually uninhabitable.

The next vote drop from PA is expected any minute.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #15592 on: November 07, 2020, 11:21:18 AM »
Quote from: ProgressiveModerate on November 07, 2020, 11:20:53 AM
So was the FOX news and AP call of AZ premature or do they really know something we don't know?

The call was probably premature, but it's looking like it'll be correct.
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Splash
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« Reply #15593 on: November 07, 2020, 11:22:38 AM »
Quote from: Pro-Life Single Issue Voter on November 07, 2020, 11:21:02 AM
Are there really 45K Maricopa ballots left, or are they done?  That's a big difference for whether Arizona is callable or not.

From the reporting, my understanding is that the remaining votes left to count in Maricopa consist mainly of provisional ballots.
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BudgieForce
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« Reply #15594 on: November 07, 2020, 11:22:42 AM »
Quote from: Pro-Life Single Issue Voter on November 07, 2020, 11:21:02 AM
Are there really 45K Maricopa ballots left, or are they done?  That's a big difference for whether Arizona is callable or not.
l
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V
Quote from: Splash on November 07, 2020, 11:19:38 AM
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Mike88
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« Reply #15595 on: November 07, 2020, 11:23:25 AM »
Philly dumped some more votes. Biden's lead above 30,000 now.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #15596 on: November 07, 2020, 11:23:46 AM »
Eh, guys, if 116.000 ballots are left AZ-wide and Trump just netted 7.5k out of a 48.5k dump, that means he's on track to net 18k out of the remaining.

The current Biden lead is 20k and outside Maricopa, the state is more Trump-leaning ...

This will go down the wire.
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #15597 on: November 07, 2020, 11:23:49 AM »
So it sounds like about 45k left in Maricopa, 30k left in other Biden counties, and 40k left in Trump counties.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #15598 on: November 07, 2020, 11:23:52 AM »
Quote from: Fmr. Gov. NickG on November 07, 2020, 11:19:39 AM
It seems like their should be some minimum number of ballots required to refer to something as a “dump”.

"Nevada officials announced we can expect the next soupçon of ballots from Clark County at the top of the hour."
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #15599 on: November 07, 2020, 11:24:02 AM »
Call the race now! Biden is elected prez!
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