2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Scottholes 2.0]

I have confidence that Biden will win Georgia and Pennsylvania and hold onto Arizona. However, my biggest fear is that Trump will be successful in trying to steal this election, with false claims of voter fraud. He makes me ashamed to be an American.

[Badger]

Fulton County just came through with 5.1K ballots.

+2,818 Biden. His statewide lead now stands at 7,248 votes.

It looks like Fulton counted their military, oversees and provisional ballots and it came out more Democratic than the existing counted votes. It's over for Trump in GA.

How many are left now? 15000? Less?

Probably less than 10,000 left when you take into account that half of Provisionals end up not getting counted. A 7,248 vote margin is pretty much impossible to overcome at this point.

What do you expect the final PV margin in GA to be?

Probably Joe Biden by about 5,000.

More like 10k+ IMHO.

[BlueSwan]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1325087011464749056?s=19

I know I shouldn't worry about this, but still.

[DaleCooper]

I was going to say, is there any reason to believe that the outstanding votes would actually favor Trump? I wouldn't be surprised if they were less favorable to Biden given that fewer are probably from Atlanta, but I wouldn't expect them to be much worse for him than a wash.

[DaleCooper]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1325087011464749056?s=19

I know I shouldn't worry about this, but still.

Legitimate legal announcements don't tend to be presented at landscaping stores.

[Badger]

I have confidence that Biden will win Georgia and Pennsylvania and hold onto Arizona. However, my biggest fear is that Trump will be successful in trying to steal this election, with false claims of voter fraud. He makes me ashamed to be an American.

Never ever be ashamed of your country because of scumf##ks like Trump and his venile cronies.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Fulton County just came through with 5.1K ballots.

+2,818 Biden. His statewide lead now stands at 7,248 votes.

It looks like Fulton counted their military, oversees and provisional ballots and it came out more Democratic than the existing counted votes. It's over for Trump in GA.

How many are left now? 15000? Less?

Probably less than 10,000 left when you take into account that half of Provisionals end up not getting counted. A 7,248 vote margin is pretty much impossible to overcome at this point.

What do you expect the final PV margin in GA to be?

Probably Joe Biden by about 5,000.

More like 10k+ IMHO.

This is what I'm thinking too.

[Fmr. Gov. NickG]

At this point, it appears that Biden will win Arizona by less than 1%, but Pennsylvania by more than 1%.  Which means if you shifted every state 1% to the right, we would have actually had the 269-269 map.

[BigSerg]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1325096422799237120?s=20

[DaleCooper]

Twitter should seriously consider banning all Breitbart articles from their platform at this point. If there's ever once been a legitimate story from them, I've not heard of it.

[Tender Branson]

LOL:

https://twitter.com/Jasonmjarrett/status/1325083311698481153

[Crumpets]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1325096422799237120?s=20

Oh no! Maybe we'll need to invalidate Spalding, Morgan, and Antrim Counties' vote totals, netting Joe Biden an additional 11,000 votes in Georgia and 2,500 votes in Michigan! Sad!

[redjohn]

Twitter should seriously consider banning all Breitbart articles from their platform at this point. If there's ever once been a legitimate story from them, I've not heard of it.

The alternate narrative on every right-leaning site has nothing do with Biden's triumph; it's all easily disproven disinformation about voter fraud. These sites have zero shame and zero problem posting complete lies because they know the MAGA crowd will spread it like wildlife because they can't ever accept a loss.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/benyc/status/1325096265911324678

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

From about twenty minutes ago -- Nate Cohn on Pennsylvania:

Mr. Biden has built a lead of just over four-tenths of a percentage point, or around 28,000 votes, as mail absentee ballots trickle in from across the state.

His lead will almost certainly continue to expand. The secretary of state’s website reports 89,282 absentee ballots remaining, and he has won the absentee vote by more than a three-to-one margin. At that pace, when those votes are counted, his lead would expand to around 75,000 votes, or to around one percentage point.

There is no source of clearly favorable remaining vote for President Trump. The handful of remaining Election Day precincts are in Philadelphia, where Mr. Biden will undoubtedly pad his lead.

[GeorgiaModerate]

From the Arizona SoS:

https://twitter.com/katiehobbs/status/1325089479091056640

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://twitter.com/benyc/status/1325096265911324678

11:01am:  Sorry folks, a migrating goose rammed into the power lines outside the county offices and they lost their Wi-Fi.  Gonna be a few days before they can report. 

[brucejoel99]

https://twitter.com/benyc/status/1325096265911324678

I really hope this allows the non-AP/Fox outlets to just f**king call this thing already.

[Splash]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1325099845045071873

[ProgressiveModerate]

https://twitter.com/benyc/status/1325096265911324678

Seems like the remaining Maricopa vote is from AZ-6 and AZ-9

[Panda Express]

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1325099845045071873

Flagged within ninety seconds.

[redjohn]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1325099845045071873

Really glad everyone's waiting until Biden's lead increases 0.07% to call PA.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/1324970987473997824

[Inmate Trump]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1325099845045071873

The truly sad thing is, a significant percentage of his voters will believe this and chant it nonstop.