2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Roblox]

The media can’t accept that their ratings cash cow and malarkey has been banished.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KyleKulinski/status/1324735367610798081

lol

[Kuumo]

At what page number was this thread peak doomer? I want to see the funny hot takes

I think this one is particularly funny with hindsight:

Trump's leading Georgia.

America, we're so screwed.

[Hope For A New Era]

Trying to find a post I read some time ago that I think is in this thread. Something about how Democrats were hoping to raise turnout after the low-turnout 1996 election, and some Canadian pollster found that a lot of these people didn't turn out to vote because they were extremely conspiracist, or something?

[Pro-Israel, anti-Bibi]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KyleKulinski/status/1324735367610798081
lol

You don't get to mock any alternative analysis after how badly Mr. Electable flopped the Senate races.

[rhg2052]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KyleKulinski/status/1324735367610798081

lol

But how can Bernie still win, Kyle?

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

In the end, Biden only overperformed the polls in three states (as per 538)

California, Colorado and Louisiana

Every other state Trump overperformed the polls

Trump did really well as did the GOP. You can't categorize this election as anything else than a Democratic loss. Trumpism was re-inforced. If GOP abandons it they will lose millions of voters including myself. Won't vote dem: either third or don't vote.

The Republican victory in 2020 is the greatest most glorious victory since the great Labor victory in the 2017 UK election...

[GeorgiaModerate]

CNN's sidebar is now showing Biden +13371 in PA, up about 1000 from earlier.  Not sure if they announced where this came from.

[Hnv1]

Pittsburgh votes anytime today?

[Bootes Void]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KyleKulinski/status/1324735367610798081

lol

its embarassing how far their heads are up their own ass.

[BudgieForce]

I logged off after Florida, but i think the mood started to change on Twitter when Nate Cohn's needle started showing Biden as a slight favorite in Georgia.

[It's Perro Sanxe wot won it]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KyleKulinski/status/1324735367610798081
lol

The left is not going to get far if it keep believing in the delusion that a majority of voters are closet progressives who are just waiting to cast their ballots for Bernie Sanders or AOC.

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

I mean, if Republicans lost the White House, a net Senate seat at absolute minimum, and failed to take the House, but what is that but a loss?

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KyleKulinski/status/1324735367610798081
lol

You don't get to mock any alternative analysis after how badly Mr. Electable flopped the Senate races.

I do, because my guesses overall were incredibly accurate.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I'm certain that Bernie would have lost Georgia, for one.

[WD]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KyleKulinski/status/1324735367610798081
lol

You don't get to mock any alternative analysis after how badly Mr. Electable flopped the Senate races.

I wasn’t aware Biden was running for Senate.

[ultraviolet]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KyleKulinski/status/1324735367610798081
lol

You don't get to mock any alternative analysis after how badly Mr. Electable flopped the Senate races.

Yeah because Biden was running for senate

[Non Swing Voter]

In the end, Biden only overperformed the polls in three states (as per 538)

California, Colorado and Louisiana

Every other state Trump overperformed the polls

California isn't done counting.

I guess it depends what timeframe of polling averages we are talking about but from the ones I remember, I will add these to the list of Biden doing better than expected:

Minnesota

Connecticut

Georgia

Maryland is headed in that direction

California is headed in that direction

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/kaitlancollins/status/1324777323078520833

[Non Swing Voter]

I'm certain that Bernie would have lost Georgia, for one.

and Pennsylvania and Arizona. 

[Starry Eyed Jagaloon]

Jennifer Medina: Mike Noble, a Phoenix-based pollster, told me: “That’s a wrap for the presidential contest in AZ. Trump needed almost 60% on this ballot drop, he got very low 50s. #Ballgame.”

That is true unless each vote dump is substantially different. Why was this vote dump substantially more Dem than the last one? I don't know.

It came from AZ-06. Which is Maricopa's purplest district. The rest should be even bluer.

[Non Swing Voter]

https://twitter.com/kaitlancollins/status/1324777323078520833

Good thing the people there all have such stellar qualifications beyond their associations with Trump.

[Torie]

Jennifer Medina: Mike Noble, a Phoenix-based pollster, told me: “That’s a wrap for the presidential contest in AZ. Trump needed almost 60% on this ballot drop, he got very low 50s. #Ballgame.”

That is true unless each vote dump is substantially different. Why was this vote dump substantially more Dem than the last one? I don't know.

It came from AZ-06. Which is Maricopa's purplest district. The rest should be even bluer.

The dumps are by congressional district? Where did you get that info?

[Crumpets]

Dave Philipps: Nevada’s Clark County, home to Democratic stronghold Las Vegas, still has 63,000 ballots to be counted. So far every update from Clark has helped Biden. Next update by 7 p.m. ET.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/burgessev/status/1324771418945585155