2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[ultraviolet]

This was never not gonna be the longest thread (unless it was split)

[Meclazine for Israel]

Updates from GA and PA.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 46,257 (90% counted)

Of the remaining ~340,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 146,500 of them - (43.2%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 1,902 (>99% counted)

Of the remaining ~25,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 13,541 of them - (53.8%)

PA - Biden down by 42,142 (94.5% counted)

Of the remaining ~320,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~181,100 of them - (56.6%)

The ratios of late votes coming in are roughly:

AZ (Trump : Biden =  57.0%)
NV (Biden : Trump =  57.0%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  66.0%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  75.0%)

Latest GA dump was 79.4% Biden.

Latest PA dump was 72.4% Biden.

[GP270watch]

A bunch of votes from Monroe County, PA came in - Joe Biden now leads there.

 Trump PA lead down to 42,154.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Al Gross declaring victory is clearly the most insane thing said today.

I take it you didn't watch Trump's press conference.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Trump lead in GA down to 1902 per CNN.  Don't know where this came from.

Rockdale County per MSNBC.

Biden is winning it fam 🙌

[Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook]

There's probably going to be a recount in Georgia so I doubt it'll be really called.

[ProgressiveModerate]

Al Gross declaring victory is clearly the most insane thing said today.

Is there any rhyme or reason to this? Is he just being optimistic or annoying?

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

A bunch of votes from Monroe County, PA came in - Joe Biden now leads there.

Very nice

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1324542383229456384

Trump+42k in PA

[Rookie Yinzer]

There's probably going to be a recount in Georgia so I doubt it'll be really called.

There's going to be a recount in Wisconsin and it was called. They will just call Biden the apparent winner vs the projected winner.

Unless Biden's win is under 500 votes, the Georgia results are not going to change.

[Horus]

There's probably going to be a recount in Georgia so I doubt it'll be really called.

Between the recount and two runoffs, GA will be the center of the political world for the next few months.

[European Lefty]

Al Gross declaring victory is clearly the most insane thing said today.

Is there any rhyme or reason to this? Is he just being optimistic or annoying?

He was asked why he hadn't conceded with only about half counted and basically said "because I can still win"

[forsythvoter]

There's probably going to be a recount in Georgia so I doubt it'll be really called.

Yeah, GA will probably end up Biden by 3k. Networks won't call until after a recount, but it's also pretty far above the level that I think could reasonably be reversed.

[Pyro]

Al Gross declaring victory is clearly the most insane thing said today.

Is there any rhyme or reason to this? Is he just being optimistic or annoying?

I think, in theory, if the remaining mail-ins and early votes end up overwhelming Democratic, there could be a path (?).

https://twitter.com/DrAlGrossAK/status/1324520484885667845

[ultraviolet]

Al Gross declaring victory is clearly the most insane thing said today.

Is there any rhyme or reason to this? Is he just being optimistic or annoying?

He's probably just being optimistic. Though, he didn't declare victory, he just said "We believe we will win" like Biden

[charcuterie]

Al Gross declaring victory is clearly the most insane thing said today.

Wtf, that is the most bizarre one I've heard.

Edit - to anyone reading this later, this was false, it was just "we think we'll win when the votes are counted".

[South Dakota Democrat]

Are the military ballots likely to be upwards of 60% Dem?

No, military ballots skew R. They're basically all that's keeping Trump alive in GA once Clayton drops the rest of its' vote.

It's military and expats, though.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Monroe Co PA: Biden +10841, Trump +4129

[GeneralMacArthur]

Al Gross declaring victory is clearly the most insane thing said today.

Wtf, that is the most bizarre one I've heard.

It's fake news.  Gross didn't declare victory.

[Roronoa D. Law]

Monroe county pa flipped!

[TopShelfGoal]

Biden won Virginia Beach so I would not take it for granted that military vote will be heavy republican.

The CNN Exit Poll has them 52-45 for Trump, but I don't know if overseas military would be different and there are likely differences depending on the state.

Of course, those are for all veterans, not just those in the active service.

I would imagine active service members are more D than vets. Active Service members are less whiter and less male than older vets(43%+ of current service members are non-white),

[rhg2052]

Page 500, hit me!

Edit: nope

[Alben Barkley]

Will Trump bother to pay for a recount in GA after he loses anyway with PA?

I mean Obama could have triggered a recount in MO in 2008, didn’t bother because he won anyway. I can see Trump doing it just to be a sore loser, but I can also see him just calling it “rigged anyway” and not bothering.

[charcuterie]

Biden might pull into the lead for GA tonight. It's not enough for a call, though.

[Lewist123]

Is this going to be finished tonight? I can't see how Biden isn't winning PA..