2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 651376 times)
n1240
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« Reply #11775 on: November 05, 2020, 07:09:40 PM »

Chatham is likely done with mail-in vote.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #11776 on: November 05, 2020, 07:09:45 PM »

GA updated.

WI - Biden WINS by > 20,000 (98% counted)

MI - Biden WINS by > 100,000 (98% counted)

AZ - Biden up by 68,129 (86% counted)

Of the remaining ~474,300 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 203,000 of them - (42.8%)

NV - Biden up by 11,438 (89% counted)

Of the remaining ~151,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 70,000 of them - (46.2%)

GA - Biden down by 3,635 (99% counted)

Of the remaining ~50,000 votes to be counted, Biden only needs to win 26,800 of them - (53.6%)

PA - Biden down by 75,427 (93% counted)

Of the remaining ~417,000 votes to be counted, Biden needs to win ~246,100 of them - (59.0%)

The ratios of votes coming in are:

AZ (Trump : Biden =  54.8%)
NV (Biden : Trump =  56.7%)
GA (Biden : Trump =  62.0%)
PA (Biden : Trump =  80.0%)

It is looking good in GA and PA for Biden.

President Biden can warm up the white Pontiac Trans Am.

He's getting ready man!

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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #11777 on: November 05, 2020, 07:09:49 PM »

Tbh, this is no more a partisan issue. 25th should be invoked. Mr. Trump is done.
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #11778 on: November 05, 2020, 07:09:52 PM »

If you’re a Democrat and are faux-raging about Trump (rightly) alleging a stolen election, then please shut up about George W. Bush 2000, and Trump 2016. Thanks.
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politics_king
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« Reply #11779 on: November 05, 2020, 07:09:55 PM »



The desperation is ridiculous.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #11780 on: November 05, 2020, 07:10:19 PM »

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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #11781 on: November 05, 2020, 07:10:44 PM »

If you’re a Democrat and are faux-raging about Trump (rightly) alleging a stolen election, then please shut up about George W. Bush 2000, and Trump 2016. Thanks.

This post is an embarrassment. It almost causes brain cancer.
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politics_king
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« Reply #11782 on: November 05, 2020, 07:10:54 PM »

If you’re a Democrat and are faux-raging about Trump (rightly) alleging a stolen election, then please shut up about George W. Bush 2000, and Trump 2016. Thanks.

I have two words for you, starts with a capital F and ends with a lower-case u.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
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« Reply #11783 on: November 05, 2020, 07:10:55 PM »

If you’re a Democrat and are faux-raging about Trump (rightly) alleging a stolen election, then please shut up about George W. Bush 2000, and Trump 2016. Thanks.

Not how that works friend.
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Meclazine for Israel
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« Reply #11784 on: November 05, 2020, 07:11:05 PM »

CNN fact checking burst pipe in Georgia (with binoculars)

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MasterJedi
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« Reply #11785 on: November 05, 2020, 07:11:10 PM »



The desperation is ridiculous.

PA SC will break their heart.
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Buffalo Mayor Young Kim
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« Reply #11786 on: November 05, 2020, 07:11:36 PM »

If you’re a Democrat and are faux-raging about Trump (rightly) alleging a stolen election, then please shut up about George W. Bush 2000, and Trump 2016. Thanks.

This post is an embarrassment. It almost causes brain cancer.
My first use of the ignore list.
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Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!
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« Reply #11787 on: November 05, 2020, 07:12:10 PM »

So I wrote a long post going over all the remaining counties with less than 90% reporting and Atlas decided to log me out so this is going to be brief.

Once all the suburban and urban votes are counted (including Allegheny, which inexplicably stopped) it should be in a near tie, give or take around 10k votes. Excluding those most of the remaining votes are mail ins from heavily Republican counties. The mail ins we've seen for comparable counties like Tioga and Blair have gone narrowly for Trump and it seems likely that most of the remaining counties will also be quite close. Depending on how reporting goes its possible people will overreact if a bunch of these Trump leaning mail ins drop all at once.

Fortunately Biden still has outstanding votes left in Center and Monroe, both of which favour him. My guess is that those two counties will secure Biden victory, but quite possibly by less than 1%. The remaining ballots definitely aren't likely to continue the Erie/Cumberland trend except for Monroe and Center.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #11788 on: November 05, 2020, 07:12:26 PM »

Anderson Cooper:

“Like an obese turtle in the sun, flailing on his back.”
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Crumpets
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« Reply #11789 on: November 05, 2020, 07:12:46 PM »

NYT now showing the 64K vote difference in PA. Looks like some of the recent ballots have come in from Erie and Lehigh counties, since they've both flipped to Biden on the map as well.
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Storr
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« Reply #11790 on: November 05, 2020, 07:13:07 PM »

He is being dragged thoroughly on CNN.
Even by Rick Santorum "No elected Republican is going to stand behind that statement".
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Roronoa D. Law
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« Reply #11791 on: November 05, 2020, 07:13:22 PM »

But what people are forgetting about Bush v. Gore. Is that Bush was in the lead at the time. Trump is not in the lead. If you stop the voting NV and AZ will still put Biden at 270. Not mention GA or PA may have Biden in the lead by tomorrow morning.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #11792 on: November 05, 2020, 07:13:36 PM »

Just so unhinged. Count the votes in some states but not anywhere else. Babbles about the great Republican success but somehow the election is being stolen at the same time. So the election is stolen but yet somehow the people that stole it are fine with the GOP holding ground or in some cases making gains. This election was clearly a referendum on Trump and he lost.
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #11793 on: November 05, 2020, 07:13:40 PM »

Someone come pick my a** up off the floor!!!
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Diabolical Materialism
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« Reply #11794 on: November 05, 2020, 07:13:55 PM »

If you’re a Democrat and are faux-raging about Trump (rightly) alleging a stolen election, then please shut up about George W. Bush 2000, and Trump 2016. Thanks.
Imagine thinking the electoral college isn't an undemocratic institution that needs to be abolished. Couldn't be me.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #11795 on: November 05, 2020, 07:14:01 PM »

He is being dragged thoroughly on CNN.
Even by Rick Santorum "No elected Republican is going to stand behind that statement".

No elected Republican, but maybe a Party Advisor or two. Tongue
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #11796 on: November 05, 2020, 07:14:07 PM »

So I wrote a long post going over all the remaining counties with less than 90% reporting and Atlas decided to log me out so this is going to be brief.

Once all the suburban and urban votes are counted (including Allegheny, which inexplicably stopped) it should be in a near tie, give or take around 10k votes. Excluding those most of the remaining votes are mail ins from heavily Republican counties. The mail ins we've seen for comparable counties like Tioga and Blair have gone narrowly for Trump and it seems likely that most of the remaining counties will also be quite close. Depending on how reporting goes its possible people will overreact if a bunch of these Trump leaning mail ins drop all at once.

Fortunately Biden still has outstanding votes left in Center and Monroe, both of which favour him. My guess is that those two counties will secure Biden victory, but quite possibly by less than 1%. The remaining ballots definitely aren't likely to continue the Erie/Cumberland trend except for Monroe and Center.

This must be some of that new math.
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Rep Jessica
Jessica
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« Reply #11797 on: November 05, 2020, 07:14:16 PM »

Trump needs to prove it with real evidence or he needs to shut up. He doesn't have the right to attack our democracy and to divide this country. I'll say the same thing about the far left and their behavior this summer but Trump is ripping this country apart.

Prove it or I'll probably never vote for a Trump in the future. Idiots.
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Kalimantan
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« Reply #11798 on: November 05, 2020, 07:14:22 PM »




As a huge Trekkie, I love this.

But "normal Republicans?"  Do those exist anymore?

Um, yeah?

Why would someone making 1 Mil a year vote for Biden when he made it clear he would tax them much more, especially if the other Rep. candidate is respectable.

'normal' republicans earn 1 Mil a year? OK
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DrScholl
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« Reply #11799 on: November 05, 2020, 07:14:26 PM »

That press conference makes the ending scenes of Sunset Boulevard and Whatever Happened To Baby Jane? look completely normal.
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