2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 647253 times)
ProgressiveModerate
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« Reply #11600 on: November 05, 2020, 06:33:13 PM »
My guess of AZ:

AP and FOX have both called it for Biden, and they're the ones with precinct level data, they have not retracted their calls, and seem quite confident. AP is generally pretty reliable and I don't get why Fox News would call if for Joe if they weren't sure, especially since they lean right overall.

One thing that makes the county results difficult is that the counties are so big, and in Maricopa for instance, there is a mix of D and R strongholds. The thing is, just with the county data, we don't necessarily know whether those ballots that have already been cast are from Phoenix proper, or some of the redder exurbs or suburbs, but they do. My guess is based on the precinct results, enough of the vote is still out of Phoenix for them to be able to call it for Joe, and most of the current vote is from the traditionally redder parts of Maricopa. That's my guess
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HillGoose
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« Reply #11601 on: November 05, 2020, 06:33:32 PM »
Quote from: musicblind on November 05, 2020, 06:31:47 PM
I still can't get over Steven Bannon.

How ... like ... what is wrong with him?

he beat us all to Oregon
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
New Frontier
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« Reply #11602 on: November 05, 2020, 06:33:59 PM »
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #11603 on: November 05, 2020, 06:34:13 PM »

No
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Starry Eyed Jagaloon
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« Reply #11604 on: November 05, 2020, 06:34:55 PM »

She's narrowly down. Again, her race depends on where the outstanding ballots are in Maricopa. If Fountain Hills/North Scottsdale/Cave Creek are what dropped, she's fine--but if it's a representative sample including Paradise Valley/South Scottsdale she's screwed.
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #11605 on: November 05, 2020, 06:35:14 PM »
[/img]
Quote from: ηєω ƒяσηтιєя on November 05, 2020, 06:33:59 PM


#DrainTheSwamp
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gf20202
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« Reply #11606 on: November 05, 2020, 06:35:24 PM »
Quote from: BudgieForce on November 05, 2020, 06:29:44 PM
At the very least, we're getting two Maricopa drops tonight. Should tell us more on where Arizona stands.
We are only getting one tonight and then one in the morning.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #11607 on: November 05, 2020, 06:35:32 PM »
CNN has added a sidebar graphic: "US President votes ahead" currently showing:

GA - Trump + 9426
NV - Biden +11438
AZ - Biden +65179
PA - Trump +75427
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Thunder98
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« Reply #11608 on: November 05, 2020, 06:35:36 PM »
Biden is just few hours away from being President-Elect.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #11609 on: November 05, 2020, 06:35:47 PM »
Guys, are you ready for Trump's press meltdown? I can't hesitate to gloat, this may be the worst day of Trump's life.
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Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin
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« Reply #11610 on: November 05, 2020, 06:36:05 PM »
Quote from: 7sergi9 on November 05, 2020, 06:32:09 PM



Sneak peek (already posted earlier on Atlas, though I can't find the post right now) available here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c75QP9LqG94
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Non Swing Voter
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #11611 on: November 05, 2020, 06:36:20 PM »
seriously what is going on in Georgia.  There aren't that many ballots to count in some of these counties.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #11612 on: November 05, 2020, 06:36:39 PM »
I'm hearing that in Trump's speech he's going to complain about "suppressive polling." The idea that the media spread bad polls for Trump to suppress Republican turnout.

Never mind that turnout was through the roof on both sides. Or that pollsters might never recover from this miss.
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gf20202
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« Reply #11613 on: November 05, 2020, 06:36:49 PM »
Quote from: ottermax on November 05, 2020, 06:27:52 PM
In 2018 in Arizona I remember in the weeks after the election the counting favored Democrats quite a lot. Enough to push Katie Hobbs over the edge for SOS. Will we not see similar patterns this year? Why not?
It won't be as exclusively as Dem heavy because the Dems voted earlier in this cycle so these will be more red than any of those will. But Trump won't win it 59% the rest of the way which is the only thing that mattered.
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Beet
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« Reply #11614 on: November 05, 2020, 06:36:59 PM »
Quote from: Non Swing Voter on November 05, 2020, 06:36:20 PM
seriously what is going on in Georgia.  There aren't that many ballots to count in some of these counties.

They are all trying to release last so they know how many ballots they have to pull out of the hat. Smiley
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HillGoose
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« Reply #11615 on: November 05, 2020, 06:37:26 PM »
Quote from: Liberty Prime on November 05, 2020, 06:31:45 PM
does it look possible rn that north korea might flip

carlina
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Rand
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« Reply #11616 on: November 05, 2020, 06:37:36 PM »
Just like the current page count, I’m also for 69.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #11617 on: November 05, 2020, 06:37:48 PM »
Quote from: You Reap What You Sow on November 05, 2020, 06:37:36 PM
Just like the current page count, I’m also for 69.

Nice.
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skbl17
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« Reply #11618 on: November 05, 2020, 06:37:52 PM »
Regarding Georgia, looks like we will get more Chatham County (Savannah) numbers tonight:
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GP270watch
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« Reply #11619 on: November 05, 2020, 06:38:08 PM »
NBC News predicting Perdue-Ossoff US Senate race is headed to a runoff election.
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Angel of Death
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« Reply #11620 on: November 05, 2020, 06:38:36 PM »

This is meaningless unless you state how many of the most recent votes this is based on.
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HisGrace
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« Reply #11621 on: November 05, 2020, 06:38:59 PM »
Quote from: Liberty Prime on November 05, 2020, 06:31:45 PM
does it look possible rn that north korea might flip

North Korea is historically a very pro Fatherland Front district so it will be interesting to see how Trump and Biden do.
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WD
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« Reply #11622 on: November 05, 2020, 06:39:06 PM »

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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #11623 on: November 05, 2020, 06:39:13 PM »
Quote from: skbl17 on November 05, 2020, 06:37:52 PM
Regarding Georgia, looks like we will get more Chatham County (Savannah) numbers tonight:



And that's the flip!
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rhg2052
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« Reply #11624 on: November 05, 2020, 06:40:14 PM »
Quote from: Dread it, Run from it, President Biden arrives all the same on November 05, 2020, 06:39:06 PM



Oh s***
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